Athletics72.7% HA O 5.546.7% ER O 2.535.7% K O 3.5
Season
All Aaron Civale propsProps — 202615 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
15g46.7%Over: 7-8
4vs O 2.5-161
vs
Marlins7/4
Marlins7/4✓✓✗✓✓✓✗✗✗✗
H: 57.1%(7)A: 37.5%(8)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
13Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Civale's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 25%(1-3) | 66.7%(2-1) | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 60%(3-2) | 100%(3-0) | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Sandy Alcantara
7/4Marlins hitters have a 4.5 star average matchup against Civale.
★★★★★vs Sam Aldegheri
6/28Several hitters in the Angels lineup have a 5-star matchup against Civale today.
★★★★★vs Robbie Ray
6/23Current Giants hitters are batting .291 against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Civale over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
8-9 Over15g · 17 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/4 | vsMarlins | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +112 |
| 7/4 | vsMarlins | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -161 |
| 6/28 | @ Angels | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -110 |
| 6/23 | @ Giants | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -109 |
| 6/17 | vs Pirates | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -120 |
| 5/25 | vs Mariners | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -130 |
| 5/20 | @Angels | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -118 |
| 5/15 | vsGiants | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -120 |
| 5/9 | @ Orioles | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -154 |
| 5/3 | vs Guardians | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -109 |
| 4/28 | vs Royals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -120 |
| 4/22 | @Mariners | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -103 |
| 4/17 | vs White Sox | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +125 |
| 4/12 | @ Mets | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +115 |
| 4/12 | @Mets | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -158 |
| 4/7 | @ Yankees | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -105 |
| 3/31 | @ Braves | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -106 |
Athletics Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Aaron Civale hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Aaron Civale hits the over on earned runs 2.5 46.7% of the time in 2026, going 7-8 with an average actual of 2.8.
Is Aaron Civale over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 15 games in 2026, betting $100 on Aaron Civale over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$180 (-12% ROI). The hit rate is 46.7% with an average actual of 2.8.
What is Aaron Civale's earned runs average this season?
Aaron Civale averages 2.8 earned runs per game in 2026 across 15 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge