Inside Edge
Athletics50% HA O 4.537.5% OUT O 15.533.3% K O 3.5
Season
All Aaron Civale propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g30%Over: 3-7
5vs O 2.5-118
@
Angels5/20
Angels5/20✓✗✗✗✗✓✓✗✗✗
H: 25%(4)A: 33.3%(6)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Civale's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(1-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(1-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jack Kochanowicz
5/20Current Angels hitters are batting .248 against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Civale over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Tyler Mahle
5/15Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.15 against the Giants in the past 30 days.
★★★★★vs Shane Baz
5/9Pitchers with similar repertoires to Civale have an ERA of 4.32 against the Orioles over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-8 Over10g · 11 props
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Aaron Civale hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Aaron Civale hits the over on earned runs 2.5 30% of the time in 2026, going 3-7 with an average actual of 1.9.
Is Aaron Civale over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Aaron Civale over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$393 (-39.3% ROI). The hit rate is 30% with an average actual of 1.9.
What is Aaron Civale's earned runs average this season?
Aaron Civale averages 1.9 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.