Inside Edge
Houston Astros67.3% HRR O 0.551% SO O 0.551% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Yordan Alvarez propsProps — 202652 games with closing lines
Home Runs
52g27.5%Over: 14-37-1
0vs O 0.5+470
@
Cubs5/22
Cubs5/22✗✗✗✗✗✓✗✓✗✗
H: 34.6%(26)A: 20%(25)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
45(88%)
Total Matchups
51Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 1.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(15-30) | 31.1%(14-31) | 42.2%(19-26) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-4) | 0%(0-4) | 0%(0-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jameson Taillon
5/22Alvarez is slugging .758 in his last 180 PA's against right-handers with low strikeout rates like Taillon over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Joe Ryan
5/20Alvarez has taken Ryan deep 3 times in his last 17 PA's against him.
★★★★★vs Zebby Matthews
5/19Alvarez has a wOBA of .390 with 6 HR's in his last 120 PA's against bottom tier right-handers like Matthews over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
14-115-3 Over51g · 132 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/22 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/22 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +470 |
| 5/20 | @ Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +390 |
| 5/20 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 5/19 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +333 |
| 5/19 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2800 |
| 5/19 | @Twins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/18 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3100 |
| 5/18 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +342 |
| 5/18 | @Twins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/17 | vs Rangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +260 |
| 5/17 | vsRangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2300 |
| 5/17 | vsRangers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/16 | vsRangers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +2700 |
| 5/16 | vsRangers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +290 |
| 5/15 | vsRangers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/15 | vsRangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/15 | vsRangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +270 |
| 5/14 | vs Mariners | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +2200 |
| 5/14 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +250 |
| 5/14 | vsMariners | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 5/13 | vsMariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2600 |
| 5/13 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +290 |
| 5/12 | vsMariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/12 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +250 |
| 5/12 | vsMariners | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/11 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +294 |
| 5/11 | vsMariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2700 |
| 5/11 | vsMariners | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/10 | @ Reds | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/10 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1860 |
| 5/10 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +235 |
| 5/9 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 5/9 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +245 |
| 5/9 | @Reds | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/8 | @Reds | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +2500 |
| 5/8 | @Reds | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +290 |
| 5/8 | @Reds | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 5/6 | vs Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +280 |
| 5/6 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 5/6 | vsDodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/5 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3000 |
| 5/5 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +300 |
| 5/4 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2700 |
| 5/4 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +304 |
| 5/3 | @ Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +463 |
| 5/3 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4600 |
| 5/2 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4200 |
| 5/2 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +405 |
| 5/1 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +390 |
Houston Astros Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Yordan Alvarez hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Yordan Alvarez hits the over on home runs 0.5 27.5% of the time in 2026, going 14-37-1 with an average actual of 0.3.
Is Yordan Alvarez over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 52 games in 2026, betting $100 on Yordan Alvarez over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$826 (+15.88% ROI). The hit rate is 27.5% with an average actual of 0.3.
What is Yordan Alvarez's home runs average this season?
Yordan Alvarez averages 0.3 home runs per game in 2026 across 52 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.