
73% HRR O 0.554.9% SO O 0.550.6% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Yordan Alvarez propsProps — 202693 games with closing lines
Home Runs
93g26.4%Over: 24-67-2
0vs O 0.5+310
@
Nationals7/7
✗✗✗✓✓✗✓✗✗P
H: 31.9%(47)A: 20%(45)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
82(88%)
Total Matchups
93Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 1.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(27-54) | 27.2%(22-59) | 35.8%(29-52) |
| ★★★★★ | 11.1%(1-8) | 22.2%(2-7) | 22.2%(2-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Andrew Alvarez
7/7Alvarez is slugging .667 in his last 107 PA's against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Alvarez over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Miles Mikolas
7/6Alvarez is slugging .766 in his last 175 PA's against right-handers with low strikeout rates like Mikolas over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Mason Englert
7/5Alvarez is slugging .602 in his last 268 PA's against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Jax over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
28-212-6 Over92g · 246 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/7 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +310 |
| 7/7 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 7/7 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/6 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 7/6 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 7/6 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 7/5 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 7/5 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +220 |
| 7/5 | vs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 7/4 | vs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +2200 |
| 7/4 | vs | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +260 |
| 7/4 | vs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 7/3 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1720 |
| 7/3 | vs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +220 |
| 7/3 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 7/1 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +240 |
| 7/1 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1800 |
| 7/1 | vs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/30 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +2000 |
| 6/30 | vs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +240 |
| 6/30 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 6/29 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 6/29 | vs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/29 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1660 |
| 6/28 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 6/28 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +276 |
| 6/28 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/27 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 6/27 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 6/27 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 6/26 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1840 |
| 6/26 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +250 |
| 6/26 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/25 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1920 |
| 6/25 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +240 |
| 6/25 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/24 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +280 |
| 6/24 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2600 |
| 6/24 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/23 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +250 |
| 6/23 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 6/23 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/22 | @ | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3100 |
| 6/22 | @ | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +317 |
| 6/22 | @ | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/21 | vs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1650 |
| 6/21 | vs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +230 |
| 6/21 | vs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +9800 |
| 6/20 | vs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 6/20 | vs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +280 |
Houston Astros Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Yordan Alvarez hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Yordan Alvarez hits the over on home runs 0.5 26.4% of the time in 2026, going 24-67-2 with an average actual of 0.3.
Is Yordan Alvarez over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 93 games in 2026, betting $100 on Yordan Alvarez over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$573 (+6.16% ROI). The hit rate is 26.4% with an average actual of 0.3.
What is Yordan Alvarez's home runs average this season?
Yordan Alvarez averages 0.3 home runs per game in 2026 across 93 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge