Yordan Alvarez

Yordan Alvarez

Houston AstrosPosition Player2026
Reg0.293 / 14 HR / 30 RBI / 53 H / 1 SB / 50G
66.7% HRR O 0.550% SO O 0.550% 1B O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Yordan Alvarez goes over 0.5 hits 70.2% of the time (33-14-1)

Props — 202651 games with closing lines

Hits

51g
avg 0.9
30%Over: 15-35-1
0vs O 1.5+246
@Twins5/20
H: 38.5%(26)A: 20.8%(24)
avg 0.2
28%Over: 14-36-1
0vs O 0.5+390
@Twins5/20
H: 34.6%(26)A: 20.8%(24)

RBIs

51g
avg 0.3
38%Over: 19-31-1
0vs O 0.5+160
@Twins5/20
H: 46.2%(26)A: 29.2%(24)
avg 0.3
44%Over: 22-28-1
0vs O 0.5+105
@Twins5/20
H: 61.5%(26)A: 25%(24)
avg 1.5
44%Over: 22-28-1
0vs O 1.5+108
@Twins5/20
H: 57.7%(26)A: 29.2%(24)
avg 0.9
50%Over: 25-25-1
0vs O 0.5-176
@Twins5/20
H: 50%(26)A: 45.8%(24)
avg 0.4
42%Over: 21-29-1
0vs O 0.5-106
@Twins5/20
H: 42.3%(26)A: 41.7%(24)
avg 0
2%Over: 1-48-1
0vs O 0.5+1400
@Twins5/20
H: 4%(25)A: 0%(24)
avg 0.2
25%Over: 12-36-1
0vs O 0.5+320
@Twins5/20
H: 34.6%(26)A: 13.6%(22)
avg 1.5
66.7%Over: 32-16-1
0vs O 0.5-309
@Twins5/20
H: 80.8%(26)A: 50%(22)
avg 0.6
50%Over: 24-24-1
0vs O 0.5+121
@Twins5/20
H: 53.8%(26)A: 45.5%(22)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
4.8
5-Star Games
45(88%)
Total Matchups
51
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 1.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
34.1%(15-29)31.8%(14-30)43.2%(19-25)
0%(0-4)0%(0-4)0%(0-4)
0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)
0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Jameson Taillon
5/22

Alvarez is slugging .758 in his last 180 PA's against right-handers with low strikeout rates like Taillon over the last 2 seasons.

vs Joe Ryan
5/20

Alvarez has taken Ryan deep 3 times in his last 17 PA's against him.

vs Zebby Matthews
5/19

Alvarez has a wOBA of .390 with 6 HR's in his last 120 PA's against bottom tier right-handers like Matthews over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet
$
414-1184-34 Over1632 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
5/20@TwinsDoublesO 0.50L+320
5/20@TwinsHitsO 3.50L+7000
5/20@TwinsHitsO 2.50L+1300
5/20@TwinsHitsO 0.50L-220
5/20@TwinsHitsO 1.50L+246
5/20@TwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.50L+160
5/20@TwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.50L-309
5/20@TwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.50L-122
5/20@TwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.50L+290
5/20@TwinsHome RunsO 0.50L+390
5/20@TwinsHome RunsO 1.50L+5000
5/20@TwinsRBIsO 1.50L+500
5/20@TwinsRBIsO 0.50L+160
5/20@TwinsRuns ScoredO 0.50L+105
5/20@TwinsRuns ScoredO 1.50L+700
5/20@TwinsSinglesO 0.50L+121
5/20@TwinsStolen BasesO 0.50L+1400
5/20@TwinsTotal BasesO 1.50L+108
5/20@TwinsTotal BasesO 4.50L+650
5/20@TwinsTotal BasesO 2.50L+211
5/20@TwinsTotal BasesO 3.50L+300
5/20@TwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.50L+502
5/20@TwinsSinglesO 1.50L+740
5/20@TwinsTotal BasesO 5.50L+1080
5/20@TwinsStrikeoutsO 1.50L+365
5/20@TwinsStrikeoutsO 0.50L-176
5/20@TwinsWalksO 1.50L+563
5/20@TwinsWalksO 0.50L-106
5/20@TwinsRBIsO 4.50L+4000
5/20@TwinsRBIsO 2.50L+1500
5/20@TwinsRBIsO 3.50L+4500
5/20@TwinsRuns ScoredO 2.50L+4000
5/20@TwinsTotal BasesO 0.50L-250
5/19@TwinsHitsO 0.50L-260
5/19@TwinsDoublesO 0.50L+320
5/19@TwinsHitsO 3.50L+5000
5/19@TwinsHitsO 1.50L+203
5/19@TwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.50L-346
5/19@TwinsHitsO 2.50L+900
5/19@TwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.50L-139
5/19@TwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.50L+234
5/19@TwinsHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.50L+130
5/19@TwinsHome RunsO 0.50L+333
5/19@TwinsHome RunsO 1.50L+2800
5/19@TwinsRBIsO 0.50L+129
5/19@TwinsRuns ScoredO 1.50L+550
5/19@TwinsRBIsO 1.50L+380
5/19@TwinsRuns ScoredO 0.50L+100
5/19@TwinsSinglesO 0.50L+103
5/19@TwinsStolen BasesO 0.50L+1400

Houston Astros Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Yordan Alvarez hit the over on hits 1.5?
Yordan Alvarez hits the over on hits 1.5 30% of the time in 2026, going 15-35-1 with an average actual of 1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$362.
How often does Yordan Alvarez hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Yordan Alvarez hits the over on home runs 0.5 28% of the time in 2026, going 14-36-1 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$926.
How often does Yordan Alvarez hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Yordan Alvarez hits the over on rbis 0.5 38% of the time in 2026, going 19-31-1 with an average actual of 0.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$417.
How often does Yordan Alvarez hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Yordan Alvarez hits the over on runs scored 0.5 44% of the time in 2026, going 22-28-1 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$894.
How often does Yordan Alvarez hit the over on total bases 1.5?
Yordan Alvarez hits the over on total bases 1.5 44% of the time in 2026, going 22-28-1 with an average actual of 2.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$554.
What are Yordan Alvarez's best prop bets in 2026?
Yordan Alvarez's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 66.7% (32-16); Strikeouts O 0.5 at 50% (25-25); Singles O 0.5 at 50% (24-24).

Yordan Alvarez 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.51 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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