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Players/MLB/Houston Astros/Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez

Yordan Alvarez

Houston Astros•2026
.319AVG36HR90RBI85R147H1SB128G
.319AVG36HR90RBI85R147H1SB128G
56.7% SO O 0.552% 1B O 0.551.2% BB O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Yordan Alvarez goes over 0.5 strikeouts 56.7% of the time (72-55-2)

Props — 2026130 games with closing lines

Hits

130g
avg 1.1
32%Over: 41-87-2
0vs O 1.5+210
vsAthletics8/22
āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ—
H: 37.3%(67)A: 25.8%(62)

Home Runs

130g
avg 0.2
23.4%Over: 30-98-2
0vs O 0.5+300
vsAthletics8/22
āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ—
H: 26.9%(67)A: 19.4%(62)

RBIs

130g
avg 0.6
36.7%Over: 47-81-2
0vs O 0.5+130
vsAthletics8/22
āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ“
H: 44.8%(67)A: 27.4%(62)

Runs Scored

130g
avg 0.7
50.8%Over: 65-63-2
0vs O 0.5-125
vsAthletics8/22
āœ—āœ“āœ“āœ“āœ—āœ—āœ“āœ“āœ—āœ—
H: 58.2%(67)A: 41.9%(62)

Total Bases

130g
avg 1.9
45.3%Over: 58-70-2
0vs O 1.5+100
vsAthletics8/22
āœ—āœ“āœ“āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ—
H: 58.2%(67)A: 30.6%(62)

Strikeouts

129g
avg 0.8
56.7%Over: 72-55-2
1vs O 0.5-168
vsAthletics8/22
āœ“āœ—āœ—āœ“āœ“āœ“āœ—āœ—āœ“āœ—
H: 52.2%(67)A: 59%(61)

Walks

129g
avg 0.7
51.2%Over: 65-62-2
1vs O 0.5-104
vsAthletics8/22
āœ“āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ“āœ“āœ“āœ“
H: 49.3%(67)A: 52.5%(61)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

128g
avg 2.4
43.7%Over: 55-71-2
0vs O 2.5+125
vsAthletics8/22
āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ—
H: 55.2%(67)A: 30%(60)

Doubles

127g
avg 0.3
20.8%Over: 26-99-2
0vs O 0.5+347
vsAthletics8/22
āœ—āœ“āœ“āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—
H: 29.9%(67)A: 10.2%(59)

Singles

127g
avg 0.6
52%Over: 65-60-2
0vs O 0.5+100
vsAthletics8/22
āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ“āœ“āœ—
H: 55.2%(67)A: 47.5%(59)

Stolen Bases

126g
avg 0
0.8%Over: 1-123-2
0vs O 0.5+1700
vsAthletics8/22
āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ—
H: 1.6%(64)A: 0%(61)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
4.9ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…
5-Star Games
117(90%)
Total Matchups
130
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Alvarez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 1.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…33.9%(39-76)23.5%(27-88)38.3%(44-71)
ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…20%(2-8)30%(3-7)30%(3-7)
ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)
ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…0%(0-2)0%(0-2)0%(0-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…vs Brady Basso
8/23

Alvarez is slugging .719 in his last 36 PA's against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Basso over the last 2 seasons.

ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…vs Jacob Lopez
8/22

Alvarez is slugging .773 in his last 29 PA's against left-handers who rely heavily on the changeup like Lopez over the last 2 seasons.

ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…vs J.T. Ginn
8/21

Alvarez is slugging .681 in his last 145 PA's against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Ginn over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet
$
1165-3374-73 Over4612 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/22vsAthleticsHits+Runs+RBIsO 6.50L—
8/22vsAthleticsHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.50L-155
8/22vsAthleticsHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.50L+125
8/22vsAthleticsHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.50L—
8/22vsAthleticsHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.50L+390
8/22vsAthleticsHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.50L+220
8/22vsAthleticsHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.50L-400
8/22vsAthleticsSinglesO 0.50L+100
8/22vsAthleticsWalksO 0.51W-104
8/22vsAthleticsHome RunsO 0.50L+300
8/22vsAthleticsHitsO 0.50L-250
8/22vsAthleticsRuns ScoredO 0.50L-125
8/22vsAthleticsRBIsO 0.50L+130
8/22vsAthleticsTotal BasesO 1.50L+100
8/22vsAthleticsDoublesO 0.50L+347
8/22vsAthleticsHitsO 1.50L+210
8/22vsAthleticsHome RunsO 1.50L+2700
8/22vsAthleticsRBIsO 1.50L+390
8/22vsAthleticsRuns ScoredO 1.50L+450
8/22vsAthleticsStolen BasesO 0.50L+1700
8/22vsAthleticsTotal BasesO 3.50L+240
8/22vsAthleticsTotal BasesO 2.50L+180
8/22vsAthleticsTotal BasesO 4.50L+475
8/22vsAthleticsHitsO 2.50L+1000
8/22vsAthleticsTotal BasesO 0.50L-250
8/22vsAthleticsRBIsO 2.50L+1000
8/22vsAthleticsHitsO 3.50L+6500
8/22vsAthleticsTotal BasesO 6.50L—
8/22vsAthleticsTotal BasesO 5.50L+840
8/22vsAthleticsRBIsO 3.50L+2200
8/22vsAthleticsHome RunsO 2.50L—
8/22vsAthleticsSinglesO 1.50L+508
8/22vsAthleticsRuns ScoredO 2.50L+2200
8/22vsAthleticsStrikeoutsO 1.51L+344
8/22vsAthleticsWalksO 1.51L+584
8/22vsAthleticsStrikeoutsO 0.51W-168
8/22vsAthleticsHits+Runs+RBIsO 7.50L—
8/22vsAthleticsDoublesO 1.50L—
8/22vsAthleticsRBIsO 4.50L+4000
8/21vsAthleticsHits+Runs+RBIsO 6.55L—
8/21vsAthleticsHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.55L—
8/21vsAthleticsHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.55W-165
8/21vsAthleticsHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.55W+115
8/21vsAthleticsHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.55W+210
8/21vsAthleticsHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.55W-450
8/21vsAthleticsHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.55W+360
8/21vsAthleticsSinglesO 0.50L-104
8/21vsAthleticsWalksO 0.50L-155
8/21vsAthleticsHome RunsO 0.50L+260
8/21vsAthleticsHitsO 1.52W+190

Houston Astros Teammates

View all
Christian WalkerCam SmithIsaac ParedesDaulton VarshoJose AltuveYainer DiazTaylor TrammellBrice MatthewsJake MeyersNick AllenLaMonte Wade Jr.Joey LoperfidoCarlos CorreaBraden ShewmakeZach Dezenzo

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Yordan Alvarez hit the over on hits 1.5?
Yordan Alvarez hits the over on hits 1.5 32% of the time in 2026, going 41-87-2 with an average actual of 1.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$75.
How often does Yordan Alvarez hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Yordan Alvarez hits the over on home runs 0.5 23.4% of the time in 2026, going 30-98-2 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,077.
How often does Yordan Alvarez hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Yordan Alvarez hits the over on rbis 0.5 36.7% of the time in 2026, going 47-81-2 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,694.
How often does Yordan Alvarez hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Yordan Alvarez hits the over on runs scored 0.5 50.8% of the time in 2026, going 65-63-2 with an average actual of 0.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$796.
How often does Yordan Alvarez hit the over on total bases 1.5?
Yordan Alvarez hits the over on total bases 1.5 45.3% of the time in 2026, going 58-70-2 with an average actual of 2.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,334.
What are Yordan Alvarez's best prop bets in 2026?
Yordan Alvarez's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 56.7% (72-55); Singles O 0.5 at 52% (65-60); Walks O 0.5 at 51.2% (65-62).

Yordan Alvarez 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.130 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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