Detroit Tigers100% OUT O 15.585.7% K O 1.542.9% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Troy Melton propsProps — 20268 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
8g14.3%Over: 1-6-1
0vs O 2.5-155
@
Yankees7/1
Yankees7/1✗✗✗P✓✗✗✗
H: 33.3%(3)A: 0%(4)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
7Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Melton's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Pitcher KsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 75%(3-1) | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Will Warren
7/1Right-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .239 against the Yankees over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Tatsuya Imai
6/25Right-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .248 against the Astros over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Sean Newcomb
6/20Right-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .246 against the White Sox over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
1-9-1 Over8g · 11 props
Detroit Tigers Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Troy Melton hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Troy Melton hits the over on earned runs 2.5 16.7% of the time in 2026, going 1-5-1 with an average actual of 1.3.
Is Troy Melton over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Troy Melton over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$502 (-62.75% ROI). The hit rate is 16.7% with an average actual of 1.3.
What is Troy Melton's earned runs average this season?
Troy Melton averages 1.3 earned runs per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge