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Players/MLB/Detroit Tigers/Troy Melton
Troy Melton

Troy Melton

Detroit Tigers•Pitcher•2026
1.84ERA76K87.9IP7.8K/915G
1.84ERA76K87.9IP7.8K/915G
100% OUT O 15.566.7% K O 4.553.3% BBA O 1.5
Season
Best Performer

Troy Melton goes over 15.5 outs recorded 100% of the time (4-0-1)

Props — 202617 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

17g
avg 1.1
20%Over: 3-12-2
2vs O 2.5+105
@Royals8/21
✗✓✗✗✗P✓✗✗✗
H: 66.7%(3)A: 0%(4)

Pitcher Ks

17g
avg 4.5
66.7%Over: 10-5-2
3vs O 4.5+100
@Royals8/21
✗✗✓✗✓P✓✓✓✓
H: 85.7%(7)A: 44.4%(9)

Hits Allowed

17g
avg 3.7
33.3%Over: 5-10-2
6vs O 4.5
@Royals8/21
✓✓✗✗✗P✓✗✗✗
H: 40%(5)A: 28.6%(7)

Walks Allowed

17g
avg 1.6
53.3%Over: 8-7-2
3vs O 1.5-125
@Royals8/21
✓✗✗✓✓P✓✓✗✗
H: 42.9%(7)A: 55.6%(9)

Outs Recorded

16g
avg 15.9
85.7%Over: 12-2-2
17vs O 14.5
@Royals8/21
✓✗✓✓✓P✓✓✗✓
H: 100%(1)A: 75%(4)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
6(40%)
Total Matchups
15
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Melton's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsEarned RunsO 1.5Pitcher KsO 4.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 15.5
★★★★★50%(2-2)50%(3-3)50%(3-3)66.7%(4-2)—
★★★★★0%(0-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)100%(1-0)
★★★★★0%(0-1)75%(3-1)0%(0-2)25%(1-3)50%(1-1)
★★★★★—100%(3-0)0%(0-2)33.3%(1-2)100%(2-0)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Noah Cameron
8/21

Current Royals hitters have an OPS of .683 against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Melton over the last two years.

★★★★★vs Anthony Kay
8/15

Current White Sox hitters have struck out 26.5% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Melton over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

★★★★★vs Logan Webb
8/9

Current Giants hitters have struck out 28.9% of the time against top-tier right-handed pitchers like Melton over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

Game Log

Bet
$
103-129-19 Over251 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/21@RoyalsOuts RecordedO 17.517L-118
8/21@RoyalsEarned RunsO 2.52L+105
8/21@RoyalsPitcher KsO 4.53L+100
8/21@RoyalsPitcher KsO 3.53L-220
8/21@RoyalsWalks AllowedO 1.53W-125
8/21@RoyalsPitcher KsO 6.53L+485
8/21@RoyalsHits AllowedO 4.56W—
8/21@RoyalsPitcher KsO 1.53W-3400
8/21@RoyalsPitcher KsO 8.53L—
8/21@RoyalsPitcher KsO 7.53L+1020
8/21@RoyalsPitcher KsO 2.53W-550
8/21@RoyalsPitcher KsO 5.53L+220
8/21@RoyalsPitcher KsO 9.53L—
8/21@RoyalsHits AllowedO 5.56W+110
8/21@RoyalsOuts RecordedO 14.517W—
8/21@RoyalsOuts RecordedO 20.517L—
8/21@RoyalsOuts RecordedO 23.517L—
8/15vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 4.54L-165
8/15vsWhite SoxHits AllowedO 4.59W-106
8/15vsWhite SoxOuts RecordedO 17.513L-130
8/15vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 3.54W-375
8/15vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 6.54L+225
8/15vsWhite SoxOuts RecordedO 16.513L—
8/15vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 5.54L+115
8/15vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 7.54L+450
8/15vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 2.54W-1840
8/15vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 8.54L+830
8/15vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 1.54W—
8/15vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 9.54L+1620
8/15vsWhite SoxEarned RunsO 1.53W-172
8/15vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 54L—
8/15vsWhite SoxWalks AllowedO 1.51L-128
8/15vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 10.54L—
8/15vsWhite SoxOuts RecordedO 20.513L—
8/15vsWhite SoxOuts RecordedO 14.513L—
8/15vsWhite SoxEarned RunsO 2.53W—
8/9@GiantsPitcher KsO 2.55W-1460
8/9@GiantsPitcher KsO 4.55W-165
8/9@GiantsPitcher KsO 6.55L+255
8/9@GiantsPitcher KsO 5.55L+124
8/9@GiantsPitcher KsO 3.55W-375
8/9@GiantsPitcher KsO 7.55L+548
8/9@GiantsPitcher KsO 8.55L+1120
8/9@GiantsPitcher KsO 1.55W—
8/9@GiantsPitcher KsO 9.55L—
8/9@GiantsPitcher KsO 10.55L—
8/9@GiantsOuts RecordedO 17.518W-136
8/9@GiantsWalks AllowedO 1.51L-136
8/9@GiantsPitcher KsO 55P—
8/9@GiantsHits AllowedO 4.54L-141

Detroit Tigers Teammates

View all
Kevin McGonigleSpencer TorkelsonDillon DinglerRiley GreeneColt KeithZach McKinstryGleyber TorresMatt VierlingHao-Yu LeeKerry CarpenterJames OutmanJake RogersJahmai JonesZack ShortMax Clark

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Troy Melton hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Troy Melton hits the over on earned runs 1.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 2-5 with an average actual of 1.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$265.
How often does Troy Melton hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Troy Melton hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 10-5-1 with an average actual of 4.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$461.
How often does Troy Melton hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Troy Melton hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 36.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-7-1 with an average actual of 4.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$291.
How often does Troy Melton hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Troy Melton hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 53.3% of the time in 2026, going 8-7-1 with an average actual of 1.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$85.
How often does Troy Melton hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Troy Melton hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 100% of the time in 2026, going 4-0-1 with an average actual of 16.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$296.
What are Troy Melton's best prop bets in 2026?
Troy Melton's highest-hitting props in 2026: Outs Recorded O 15.5 at 100% (4-0); Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 66.7% (10-5); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 53.3% (8-7).

Troy Melton 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.17 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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