Troy Melton

Troy Melton

Detroit TigersPitcher2026
Reg2.08 ERA / 32 K / 43.3 IP / 6.7 K/9 / 7G
100% OUT O 15.585.7% K O 1.542.9% BBA O 1.5
Season
Best Performer

Troy Melton goes over 15.5 outs recorded 100% of the time (4-0-1)

Props — 20268 games with closing lines

avg 1.3
14.3%Over: 1-6-1
0vs O 2.5-155
@Yankees7/1
P
H: 33.3%(3)A: 0%(4)
avg 4
85.7%Over: 6-1-1
7vs O 1.5
@Yankees7/1
P
H: 100%(3)A: 60%(5)
avg 3.1
28.6%Over: 2-5-1
2vs O 5.5+105
@Yankees7/1
P
H: 33.3%(3)A: 0%(3)
avg 1.3
42.9%Over: 3-4-1
1vs O 1.5-125
@Yankees7/1
P
H: 33.3%(3)A: 40%(5)
avg 16.7
100%Over: 6-0-1
19vs O 15.5
@Yankees7/1
P
H: 100%(1)A: 75%(4)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.9
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
7
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Melton's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsEarned RunsO 2.5Pitcher KsO 1.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 15.5
0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)
25%(1-3)75%(3-1)25%(1-3)25%(1-3)50%(1-1)
0%(0-2)100%(2-0)0%(0-2)50%(1-1)100%(2-0)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Will Warren
7/1

Right-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .239 against the Yankees over the last two years.

vs Tatsuya Imai
6/25

Right-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .248 against the Astros over the last two years.

vs Sean Newcomb
6/20

Right-handed starters have allowed a batting average of .246 against the White Sox over the last two years.

Game Log

Bet
$
43-50-13 Over106 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
7/1@YankeesPitcher KsO 5.57W+198
7/1@YankeesPitcher KsO 3.57W-250
7/1@YankeesPitcher KsO 7.57L+670
7/1@YankeesPitcher KsO 4.57W-108
7/1@YankeesPitcher KsO 6.57W+410
7/1@YankeesPitcher KsO 2.57W-650
7/1@YankeesPitcher KsO 8.57L+1340
7/1@YankeesPitcher KsO 1.57W
7/1@YankeesPitcher KsO 9.57L
7/1@YankeesEarned RunsO 3.50L+120
7/1@YankeesHits AllowedO 5.52L+105
7/1@YankeesWalks AllowedO 1.51L-125
7/1@YankeesOuts RecordedO 15.519W
7/1@YankeesOuts RecordedO 16.519W-110
7/1@YankeesEarned RunsO 2.50L-155
6/25vsAstrosPitcher KsO 6.56L+580
6/25vsAstrosPitcher KsO 2.56W-485
6/25vsAstrosPitcher KsO 5.56W+270
6/25vsAstrosPitcher KsO 3.56W-188
6/25vsAstrosPitcher KsO 4.56W+119
6/25vsAstrosPitcher KsO 7.56L+1200
6/25vsAstrosPitcher KsO 1.56W-1820
6/25vsAstrosPitcher KsO 9.56L
6/25vsAstrosPitcher KsO 8.56L
6/25vsAstrosEarned RunsO 2.51L-115
6/25vsAstrosHits AllowedO 5.52L-105
6/25vsAstrosWalks AllowedO 1.50L-120
6/25vsAstrosPitcher KsO 0.56W
6/25vsAstrosOuts RecordedO 17.518W+104
6/25vsAstrosOuts RecordedO 16.518W-130
6/20vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 4.55W+124
6/20vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 3.55W-190
6/20vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 2.55W-500
6/20vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 5.55L+270
6/20vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 6.55L+580
6/20vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 1.55W-2100
6/20vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 0.55W
6/20vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 7.55L+1060
6/20vsWhite SoxEarned RunsO 2.51L+100
6/20vsWhite SoxOuts RecordedO 15.518W-128
6/20vsWhite SoxHits AllowedO 4.51L
6/20vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 9.55L
6/20vsWhite SoxPitcher KsO 8.55L
6/20vsWhite SoxOuts RecordedO 16.518W-105
6/20vsWhite SoxEarned RunsO 1.51L
6/20vsWhite SoxHits AllowedO 5.51L+125
6/20vsWhite SoxWalks AllowedO 1.53W+117
6/15@AstrosPitcher KsO 2.50P-500
6/15@AstrosPitcher KsO 7.50P+1240
6/15@AstrosPitcher KsO 5.50P+260

Detroit Tigers Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Troy Melton hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Troy Melton hits the over on earned runs 2.5 16.7% of the time in 2026, going 1-5-1 with an average actual of 1.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$402.
How often does Troy Melton hit the over on pitcher ks 1.5?
Troy Melton hits the over on pitcher ks 1.5 85.7% of the time in 2026, going 6-1-1 with an average actual of 4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$65.
How often does Troy Melton hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Troy Melton hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 20% of the time in 2026, going 1-4-1 with an average actual of 2.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$284.
How often does Troy Melton hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Troy Melton hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 3-4-1 with an average actual of 1.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$106.
How often does Troy Melton hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Troy Melton hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 100% of the time in 2026, going 4-0-1 with an average actual of 16.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$296.
What are Troy Melton's best prop bets in 2026?
Troy Melton's highest-hitting props in 2026: Outs Recorded O 15.5 at 100% (4-0); Pitcher Ks O 1.5 at 85.7% (6-1); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 42.9% (3-4).

Troy Melton 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.8 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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