Inside Edge
Baltimore Orioles75% HA O 4.566.7% ER O 2.557.1% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Trevor Rogers propsProps — 20268 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
8g75%Over: 6-2
8vs O 4.5-159
@
Rays5/18
Rays5/18✓✓✗✓✓✓✓✗
H: 60%(5)A: 100%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
6(75%)
Total Matchups
8Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Rogers's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 100%(2-0) | 75%(3-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Shane McClanahan
5/18Current Rays hitters have struck out 24.4% of the time against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Rogers over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Will Warren
5/1Current Yankees hitters have struck out 29.5% of the time against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Rogers over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Garrett Crochet
4/25Current Red Sox hitters have struck out 29.3% of the time against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Rogers over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
9-3 Over8g · 12 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/18 | @Rays | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +105 |
| 5/18 | @Rays | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -159 |
| 5/12 | vs Yankees | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +110 |
| 4/25 | vs Red Sox | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +115 |
| 4/25 | vsRed Sox | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -150 |
| 4/19 | @ Guardians | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -145 |
| 4/14 | vs Diamondbacks | O 5.5 | 9 | W | +100 |
| 4/14 | vsDiamondbacks | O 4.5 | 9 | W | -163 |
| 4/7 | @ White Sox | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -119 |
| 4/1 | vs Rangers | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -166 |
| 4/1 | vsRangers | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +120 |
| 3/26 | vs Twins | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -144 |
Baltimore Orioles Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Trevor Rogers hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Trevor Rogers hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 75% of the time in 2026, going 6-2 with an average actual of 6.
Is Trevor Rogers over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Trevor Rogers over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned +$261 (+32.63% ROI). The hit rate is 75% with an average actual of 6.
What is Trevor Rogers's hits allowed average this season?
Trevor Rogers averages 6 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.