Inside Edge
Baltimore Orioles75% HA O 4.566.7% ER O 2.557.1% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Trevor Rogers propsProps — 20268 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
8g75%Over: 6-2
7vs O 2.5+108
@
Rays5/18
Rays5/18✓✓✓✓✓✓✗✗
H: 60%(5)A: 100%(1)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
6(75%)
Total Matchups
8Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Rogers's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 100%(2-0) | 75%(3-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Shane McClanahan
5/18Current Rays hitters have struck out 24.4% of the time against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Rogers over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Will Warren
5/1Current Yankees hitters have struck out 29.5% of the time against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Rogers over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Garrett Crochet
4/25Current Red Sox hitters have struck out 29.3% of the time against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Rogers over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
8-3 Over8g · 11 props
Baltimore Orioles Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Trevor Rogers hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Trevor Rogers hits the over on earned runs 2.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 4-2 with an average actual of 3.7.
Is Trevor Rogers over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Trevor Rogers over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$411 (+51.38% ROI). The hit rate is 66.7% with an average actual of 3.7.
What is Trevor Rogers's earned runs average this season?
Trevor Rogers averages 3.7 earned runs per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.