Baltimore Orioles75% OUT O 16.550% ER O 2.550% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Trevor Rogers propsProps — 202616 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
16g56.3%Over: 9-7
0vs O 2.5-137
@
Reds7/3
Reds7/3✗✗✗✗✓✗✓✓✓✓
H: 60%(10)A: 25%(4)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
6(38%)
Total Matchups
16Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Rogers's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(3-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 100%(2-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Brady Singer
7/3Current Reds hitters are batting .238 against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Rogers over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Noah Schultz
7/1Not enough matchup data.
★★★★★vs Andrew Alvarez
6/26Nationals hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Rogers.
Game Log
Bet
$
12-10 Over16g · 22 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/3 | @Reds | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -137 |
| 6/26 | vs Nationals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -105 |
| 6/20 | @ Dodgers | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +117 |
| 6/20 | @Dodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/14 | vs Padres | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -131 |
| 6/9 | vs Mariners | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -102 |
| 6/4 | @ Red Sox | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -135 |
| 6/4 | @Red Sox | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 5/29 | vs Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +110 |
| 5/29 | vsBlue Jays | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -174 |
| 5/24 | vs Tigers | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +112 |
| 5/18 | @ Rays | O 2.5 | 7 | W | +108 |
| 5/12 | vs Yankees | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +125 |
| 4/25 | vsRed Sox | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +127 |
| 4/19 | @ Guardians | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -155 |
| 4/14 | vs Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +115 |
| 4/14 | vsDiamondbacks | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -168 |
| 4/7 | @ White Sox | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -140 |
| 4/1 | vs Rangers | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -175 |
| 4/1 | vsRangers | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 3/26 | vs Twins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +119 |
| 3/26 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -175 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Trevor Rogers hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Trevor Rogers hits the over on earned runs 2.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 7-7 with an average actual of 2.6.
Is Trevor Rogers over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 16 games in 2026, betting $100 on Trevor Rogers over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$331 (+20.69% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 2.6.
What is Trevor Rogers's earned runs average this season?
Trevor Rogers averages 2.6 earned runs per game in 2026 across 16 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge