Seth Lugo

Kansas City RoyalsPitcher•2026

Reg3.76 ERA / 51 K / 57.5 IP / 8.0 K/9 / 10G

85.7% BBA O 1.566.7% HA O 4.566.7% OUT O 17.5

Season

All Seth Lugo props

Props — 202611 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

11g

avg 4.6

60%Over: 6-4-1

5vs O 4.5-115

Red Sox5/18

✓✗✓✓P✗✓✓✗✓

H: 66.7%(6)A: 50%(4)

Seasonality

Mar

0%0-1

Apr

50%3-3

May

75%3-1

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

3.9★★★★★

5-Star Games

5(50%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Lugo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 4.5	Earned RunsO 2.5	Hits AllowedO 4.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5	Outs RecordedO 17.5
★★★★★	50%(3-3)	33.3%(2-4)	25%(1-3)	100%(4-0)	66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)	—	0%(0-1)
★★★★★	66.7%(2-1)	0%(0-3)	100%(2-0)	66.7%(2-1)	100%(2-0)
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	—	—	—

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Sonny Gray

5/18

Current Red Sox hitters are batting .284 against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Lugo over the last two years.

★★★★★vs Noah Schultz

5/13

Current White Sox hitters are batting .231 against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Lugo over the last two years.

★★★★★

5/7

Guardians hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Lugo.

Game Log

Bet

30-41-8 Over10g · 79 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
5/18	vsRed Sox	O 1.5	5	W	-3200
5/18	vsRed Sox	O 4.5	5	W	-115
5/18	vsRed Sox	O 7.5	5	L	+750
5/18	vsRed Sox	O 3.5	5	W	-255
5/18	vsRed Sox	O 2.5	5	W	-690
5/18	vsRed Sox	O 8.5	5	L	+1360
5/18	vsRed Sox	O 6.5	5	L	+370
5/18	vsRed Sox	O 5.5	5	L	+182
5/13	@White Sox	O 5.5	4	L	+101
5/13	@White Sox	O 3.5	4	W	-500
5/13	@White Sox	O 7.5	4	L	+430
5/13	@White Sox	O 6.5	4	L	+220
5/13	@White Sox	O 2.5	4	W	-1600
5/13	@White Sox	O 4.5	4	L	-210
5/13	@White Sox	O 9.5	4	L	+1620
5/13	@White Sox	O 8.5	4	L	+830
5/7	vsGuardians	O 7.5	5	L	+1000
5/7	vsGuardians	O 5.5	5	L	+247
5/7	vsGuardians	O 2.5	5	W	-499
5/7	vsGuardians	O 4.5	5	W	+117
5/7	vsGuardians	O 3.5	5	W	-193
5/7	vsGuardians	O 6.5	5	L	+520
5/7	vsGuardians	O 1.5	5	W	-1860
5/7	vsGuardians	O 8.5	5	L	+1680
5/2	@Mariners	O 5.5	6	W	+120
5/2	@Mariners	O 2.5	6	W	-1600
5/2	@Mariners	O 3.5	6	W	-375
5/2	@Mariners	O 4.5	6	W	-165
5/2	@Mariners	O 6.5	6	L	+230
5/2	@Mariners	O 7.5	6	L	+430
5/2	@Mariners	O 8.5	6	L	+760
5/2	@Mariners	O 9.5	6	L	+1400
4/26	vsAngels	O 5.5	3	L	+102
4/26	vsAngels	O 2.5	3	W	-1540
4/26	vsAngels	O 3.5	3	L	-483
4/26	vsAngels	O 4.5	3	L	-207
4/26	vsAngels	O 6.5	3	L	+206
4/26	vsAngels	O 7.5	3	L	+413
4/26	vsAngels	O 8.5	3	L	+830
4/26	vsAngels	O 9.5	3	L	+1600
4/26	vsAngels	O 5.5	0	P	+102
4/26	vsAngels	O 2.5	0	P	-1540
4/26	vsAngels	O 3.5	0	P	-488
4/26	vsAngels	O 4.5	0	P	-207
4/26	vsAngels	O 6.5	0	P	+209
4/26	vsAngels	O 7.5	0	P	+418
4/26	vsAngels	O 8.5	0	P	+810
4/26	vsAngels	O 9.5	0	P	+1600
4/20	vsOrioles	O 5.5	7	W	+102
4/20	vsOrioles	O 2.5	7	W	-1660

Kansas City Royals Teammates

View all

Bobby Witt Jr.Maikel Garcia Vinnie Pasquantino Salvador Perez Carter Jensen Isaac Collins Jac Caglianone Kyle Isbel Michael Massey Lane Thomas Jonathan India Starling Marte Nick Loftin Kris Bubic Michael Wacha

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Seth Lugo hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?

Seth Lugo hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 6-4-1 with an average actual of 4.6.

Is Seth Lugo over 4.5 pitcher ks a good bet?

Based on 11 games in 2026, betting $100 on Seth Lugo over 4.5 pitcher ks at best closing odds has returned +$116 (+10.55% ROI). The hit rate is 60% with an average actual of 4.6.

What is Seth Lugo's pitcher ks average this season?

Seth Lugo averages 4.6 pitcher ks per game in 2026 across 11 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.