How Lugo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 44.4%(4-5) | 44.4%(4-5) | 57.1%(4-3) | 71.4%(5-2) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(2-2) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(4-4) | 57.1%(4-3) | 28.6%(2-5) | 75%(6-2) | 66.7%(4-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Current Athletics hitters have struck out 23.2% of the time against pitchers similar to Lugo over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Athletics.
Angels hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Lugo.
Current Cubs hitters have an OPS of .832 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Lugo over the last two years.
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/19 | vs | O 18.5 | 18 | L | — |
| 8/19 | vs | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -174 |
| 8/19 | vs | O 23.5 | 18 | L | — |
| 8/19 | vs | O 14.5 | 18 | W | — |
| 8/19 | vs | O 20.5 | 18 | L | — |
| 8/14 | @ | O 17.5 | 14 | L | -115 |
| 8/14 | @ | O 20.5 | 14 | L | — |
| 8/14 | @ | O 14.5 | 14 | L | — |
| 8/8 | vs | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -108 |
| 8/8 | vs | O 20.5 | 18 | L | — |
| 8/8 | vs | O 14.5 | 18 | W | — |
| 8/8 | vs | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -130 |
| 8/2 | @ | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -102 |
| 8/2 | @ | O 23.5 | 15 | L | — |
| 8/2 | @ | O 14.5 | 15 | W | — |
| 8/2 | @ | O 20.5 | 15 | L | — |
| 8/2 | @ | O 17 | 15 | L | — |
| 8/2 | @ | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -118 |
| 7/28 | @ | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -108 |
| 7/28 | @ | O 20.5 | 18 | L | — |
| 7/28 | @ | O 14.5 | 18 | W | — |
| 7/28 | @ | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -114 |
| 7/22 | vs | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -128 |
| 7/17 | vs | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -110 |
| 7/17 | vs | O 15.5 | 18 | W | -120 |
| 7/17 | vs | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -105 |
| 7/12 | @ | O 15.5 | 12 | L | -117 |
| 7/7 | @ | O 16.5 | 13 | L | -113 |
| 7/7 | @ | O 15.5 | 13 | L | — |
| 7/1 | vs | O 15.5 | 18 | W | -138 |
| 7/1 | vs | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -101 |
| 6/25 | @ | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -104 |
| 6/25 | @ | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -135 |
| 6/19 | vs | O 15.5 | 18 | W | -118 |
| 6/19 | vs | O 16.5 | 18 | W | — |
| 6/10 | vs | O 17.5 | 10 | L | +107 |
| 6/10 | vs | O 16.5 | 10 | L | -141 |
| 6/4 | @ | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -139 |
| 6/4 | @ | O 18.5 | 15 | L | +112 |
| 5/30 | @ | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -158 |
| 5/24 | vs | O 17.5 | 19 | W | -140 |
| 5/18 | vs | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -145 |
| 5/13 | @ | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -111 |
| 5/7 | vs | O 17.5 | 12 | L | -138 |
| 5/7 | vs | O 18.5 | 12 | L | +128 |
| 5/2 | @ | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -161 |
| 4/20 | vs | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -115 |
| 4/9 | vs | O 17.5 | 19 | W | -114 |
| 3/29 | @ | O 15.5 | 19 | W | +131 |