Inside Edge
Kansas City Royals85.7% BBA O 1.566.7% HA O 4.566.7% OUT O 17.5
Season
All Seth Lugo propsProps — 202611 games with closing lines
Outs Recorded
7g71.4%Over: 5-2
18vs O 17.5-145
vs
Red Sox5/18
Red Sox5/18✓✗✗✓✓✓✓
H: 75%(4)A: 50%(2)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
5(50%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Lugo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(3-3) | 33.3%(2-4) | 25%(1-3) | 100%(4-0) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-3) | 100%(2-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — | — | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Sonny Gray
5/18Current Red Sox hitters are batting .284 against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Lugo over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Noah Schultz
5/13Current White Sox hitters are batting .231 against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Lugo over the last two years.
★★★★★
5/7Guardians hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Lugo.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-3 Over7g · 8 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/18 | vsRed Sox | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -145 |
| 5/13 | @ White Sox | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -111 |
| 5/7 | vs Guardians | O 17.5 | 12 | L | -138 |
| 5/7 | vsGuardians | O 18.5 | 12 | L | +128 |
| 5/2 | @ Mariners | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -161 |
| 4/20 | vs Orioles | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -115 |
| 4/9 | vsWhite Sox | O 17.5 | 19 | W | -114 |
| 3/29 | @ Braves | O 15.5 | 19 | W | +131 |
Kansas City Royals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Seth Lugo hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Seth Lugo hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 4-2 with an average actual of 17.2.
Is Seth Lugo over 17.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 7 games in 2026, betting $100 on Seth Lugo over 17.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned +$237 (+33.86% ROI). The hit rate is 66.7% with an average actual of 17.2.
What is Seth Lugo's outs recorded average this season?
Seth Lugo averages 17.2 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 7 games. The primary line is set at 17.5.