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Players/MLB/Kansas City Royals/Seth Lugo/Outs Recorded
Seth Lugo

Seth Lugo

Kansas City Royals•Pitcher•2026
4.78ERA111K143IP7.0K/926G
4.78ERA111K143IP7.0K/926G
65.2% BBA O 1.555.6% OUT O 16.547.6% HA O 5.5
Season
All Seth Lugo props

Props — 202627 games with closing lines

Outs Recorded

23g
avg 16.6
60.9%Over: 14-9
18vs O 17.5-174
vsAthletics8/19
✓✗✓✗✓✓✓✗✗✓
H: 80%(5)A: 25%(4)
SeasonalityAll lines
33%
75%
50%
Jun
1-2
Jul
3-1
Aug
1-1
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
8(31%)
Total Matchups
26
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Lugo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 4.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 16.5
★★★★★44.4%(4-5)44.4%(4-5)57.1%(4-3)71.4%(5-2)—
★★★★★0%(0-3)33.3%(1-2)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)
★★★★★50%(2-2)25%(1-3)66.7%(2-1)50%(2-2)—
★★★★★50%(4-4)57.1%(4-3)28.6%(2-5)75%(6-2)66.7%(4-2)
★★★★★33.3%(1-2)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Jeffrey Springs
8/19

Current Athletics hitters have struck out 23.2% of the time against pitchers similar to Lugo over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Athletics.

★★★★★vs Grayson Rodriguez
8/14

Angels hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Lugo.

★★★★★vs Clay Holmes
8/8

Current Cubs hitters have an OPS of .832 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Lugo over the last two years.

Game Log

Bet
$
24-25 Over23g · 49 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/19vsAthleticsO 18.518L—
8/19vsAthleticsO 17.518W-174
8/19vsAthleticsO 23.518L—
8/19vsAthleticsO 14.518W—
8/19vsAthleticsO 20.518L—
8/14@AngelsO 17.514L-115
8/14@AngelsO 20.514L—
8/14@AngelsO 14.514L—
8/8vsCubsO 17.518W-108
8/8vsCubsO 20.518L—
8/8vsCubsO 14.518W—
8/8vsCubsO 16.518W-130
8/2@RockiesO 17.515L-102
8/2@RockiesO 23.515L—
8/2@RockiesO 14.515W—
8/2@RockiesO 20.515L—
8/2@RockiesO 1715L—
8/2@RockiesO 16.515L-118
7/28@TwinsO 17.518W-108
7/28@TwinsO 20.518L—
7/28@TwinsO 14.518W—
7/28@TwinsO 16.518W-114
7/22vsGiantsO 17.521W-128
7/17vsPadresO 16.518W-110
7/17vsPadresO 15.518W-120
7/17vsPadresO 17.518W-105
7/12@OriolesO 15.512L-117
7/7@MetsO 16.513L-113
7/7@MetsO 15.513L—
7/1vsRaysO 15.518W-138
7/1vsRaysO 16.518W-101
6/25@RaysO 17.515L-104
6/25@RaysO 16.515L-135
6/19vsCardinalsO 15.518W-118
6/19vsCardinalsO 16.518W—
6/10vsRangersO 17.510L+107
6/10vsRangersO 16.510L-141
6/4@TwinsO 17.515L-139
6/4@TwinsO 18.515L+112
5/30@RangersO 17.518W-158
5/24vsMarinersO 17.519W-140
5/18vsRed SoxO 17.518W-145
5/13@White SoxO 17.515L-111
5/7vsGuardiansO 17.512L-138
5/7vsGuardiansO 18.512L+128
5/2@MarinersO 17.518W-161
4/20vsOriolesO 17.521W-115
4/9vsWhite SoxO 17.519W-114
3/29@BravesO 15.519W+131

Kansas City Royals Teammates

View all
Carter JensenIsaac CollinsSalvador PerezJac CaglianoneBobby Witt Jr.Michael MasseyNick LoftinVinnie PasquantinoLane ThomasMaikel GarciaKyle IsbelStarling MarteTyler TolbertJosh RojasJohn Rave

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Seth Lugo hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?
Seth Lugo hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 55.6% of the time in 2026, going 5-4 with an average actual of 15.9.
Is Seth Lugo over 16.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 23 games in 2026, betting $100 on Seth Lugo over 16.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned +$162 (+7.04% ROI). The hit rate is 55.6% with an average actual of 15.9.
What is Seth Lugo's outs recorded average this season?
Seth Lugo averages 15.9 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 23 games. The primary line is set at 16.5.

Seth Lugo 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.27 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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