How Lugo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 44.4%(4-5) | 44.4%(4-5) | 57.1%(4-3) | 71.4%(5-2) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(2-2) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(4-4) | 57.1%(4-3) | 28.6%(2-5) | 75%(6-2) | 66.7%(4-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Current Athletics hitters have struck out 23.2% of the time against pitchers similar to Lugo over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Athletics.
Angels hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Lugo.
Current Cubs hitters have an OPS of .832 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Lugo over the last two years.
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/19 | vs | O 5.5 | 9 | W | -123 |
| 8/19 | vs | O 6.5 | 9 | W | +105 |
| 8/14 | @ | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +105 |
| 8/8 | vs | O 6.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 8/8 | vs | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -145 |
| 8/2 | @ | O 6.5 | 5 | L | -135 |
| 8/2 | @ | O 7.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 7/28 | @ | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -135 |
| 7/28 | @ | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +120 |
| 7/22 | vs | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +117 |
| 7/22 | vs | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -155 |
| 7/17 | vs | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -149 |
| 7/12 | @ | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -135 |
| 7/7 | @ | O 5.5 | 9 | W | -115 |
| 7/7 | @ | O 7.5 | 9 | W | — |
| 7/1 | vs | O 6.5 | 9 | W | +106 |
| 6/25 | @ | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +100 |
| 6/19 | vs | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -135 |
| 6/10 | vs | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +115 |
| 6/10 | vs | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -156 |
| 6/4 | @ | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -125 |
| 5/30 | @ | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -116 |
| 5/24 | vs | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -140 |
| 5/18 | vs | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +121 |
| 5/18 | vs | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -135 |
| 5/13 | @ | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -157 |
| 5/7 | vs | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -105 |
| 5/2 | @ | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +101 |
| 5/2 | @ | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -160 |
| 4/26 | vs | O 4.5 | 14 | W | -160 |
| 4/26 | vs | O 4.5 | 0 | P | -155 |
| 4/20 | vs | O 4.5 | 1 | L | -149 |
| 4/20 | vs | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +100 |
| 4/15 | @ | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +105 |
| 4/9 | vs | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +109 |
| 4/4 | vs | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +123 |
| 4/4 | vs | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -154 |
| 3/29 | @ | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -160 |