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Players/MLB/Kansas City Royals/Seth Lugo/Hits Allowed
Seth Lugo

Seth Lugo

Kansas City Royals•Pitcher•2026
4.78ERA111K143IP7.0K/926G
4.78ERA111K143IP7.0K/926G
65.2% BBA O 1.555.6% OUT O 16.547.6% HA O 5.5
Season
All Seth Lugo props

Props — 202627 games with closing lines

Hits Allowed

27g
avg 5.7
53.8%Over: 14-12-1
9vs O 5.5-123
vsAthletics8/19
✓✓✗✗✓✗✗✗✓✓
H: 25%(12)A: 77.8%(9)
SeasonalityAll lines
0%
80%
50%
40%
67%
Apr
0-4
May
4-1
Jun
2-2
Jul
2-3
Aug
2-1
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
8(31%)
Total Matchups
26
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Lugo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 4.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 16.5
★★★★★44.4%(4-5)44.4%(4-5)57.1%(4-3)71.4%(5-2)—
★★★★★0%(0-3)33.3%(1-2)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)
★★★★★50%(2-2)25%(1-3)66.7%(2-1)50%(2-2)—
★★★★★50%(4-4)57.1%(4-3)28.6%(2-5)75%(6-2)66.7%(4-2)
★★★★★33.3%(1-2)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Jeffrey Springs
8/19

Current Athletics hitters have struck out 23.2% of the time against pitchers similar to Lugo over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Athletics.

★★★★★vs Grayson Rodriguez
8/14

Angels hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Lugo.

★★★★★vs Clay Holmes
8/8

Current Cubs hitters have an OPS of .832 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Lugo over the last two years.

Game Log

Bet
$
17-20-1 Over26g · 38 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/19vsAthleticsO 5.59W-123
8/19vsAthleticsO 6.59W+105
8/14@AngelsO 5.57W+105
8/8vsCubsO 6.55L—
8/8vsCubsO 5.55L-145
8/2@RockiesO 6.55L-135
8/2@RockiesO 7.55L—
7/28@TwinsO 5.56W-135
7/28@TwinsO 6.56L+120
7/22vsGiantsO 6.53L+117
7/22vsGiantsO 5.53L-155
7/17vsPadresO 5.54L-149
7/12@OriolesO 5.54L-135
7/7@MetsO 5.59W-115
7/7@MetsO 7.59W—
7/1vsRaysO 6.59W+106
6/25@RaysO 5.57W+100
6/19vsCardinalsO 5.55L-135
6/10vsRangersO 6.53L+115
6/10vsRangersO 5.53L-156
6/4@TwinsO 5.56W-125
5/30@RangersO 5.56W-116
5/24vsMarinersO 5.56W-140
5/18vsRed SoxO 6.55L+121
5/18vsRed SoxO 5.55L-135
5/13@White SoxO 4.58W-157
5/7vsGuardiansO 5.57W-105
5/2@MarinersO 5.57W+101
5/2@MarinersO 4.57W-160
4/26vsAngelsO 4.514W-160
4/26vsAngelsO 4.50P-155
4/20vsOriolesO 4.51L-149
4/20vsOriolesO 5.51L+100
4/15@TigersO 5.55L+105
4/9vsWhite SoxO 5.54L+109
4/4vsBrewersO 5.54L+123
4/4vsBrewersO 4.54L-154
3/29@BravesO 4.55W-160

Kansas City Royals Teammates

View all
Carter JensenIsaac CollinsSalvador PerezJac CaglianoneBobby Witt Jr.Michael MasseyNick LoftinVinnie PasquantinoLane ThomasMaikel GarciaKyle IsbelStarling MarteTyler TolbertJosh RojasJohn Rave

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Seth Lugo hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Seth Lugo hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 47.6% of the time in 2026, going 10-11 with an average actual of 5.4.
Is Seth Lugo over 5.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 27 games in 2026, betting $100 on Seth Lugo over 5.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$22 (-0.81% ROI). The hit rate is 47.6% with an average actual of 5.4.
What is Seth Lugo's hits allowed average this season?
Seth Lugo averages 5.4 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 27 games. The primary line is set at 5.5.

Seth Lugo 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.27 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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