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Players/MLB/Miami Marlins/Ryan Gusto/Earned Runs
Ryan Gusto

Ryan Gusto

Miami Marlins•Pitcher•2026
4.52ERA51K55.8IP8.2K/917G
4.52ERA51K55.8IP8.2K/917G
83.3% OUT O 11.571.4% HA O 4.560% K O 3.5
Season
All Ryan Gusto props

Props — 202612 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

12g
avg 2
41.7%Over: 5-7
0vs O 1.5-115
vsNationals8/21
✗✗✓✗✓✗✓✗✗✓
H: 33.3%(3)A: 40%(5)
SeasonalityAll lines
25%
100%
0%
Jun
1-3
Jul
2-0
Aug
0-2
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
11
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Gusto's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsEarned RunsO 2.5Outs RecordedO 11.5Pitcher KsO 3.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★0%(0-1)100%(3-0)66.7%(2-1)66.7%(2-1)0%(0-2)
★★★★★25%(1-3)—66.7%(2-1)100%(1-0)66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★100%(1-0)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)
★★★★★50%(1-1)100%(1-0)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Brad Lord
8/21

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Gusto have an ERA of 3.51 against the Nationals over the last year, but other matchup data favors the Nationals.

★★★★★vs Brady Singer
8/15

Current Reds hitters are batting .230 against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Gusto over the the last two years.

★★★★★vs Grayson Rodriguez
8/9

Current Angels hitters are batting .243 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Gusto over the last two years.

Game Log

Bet
$
7-8 Over12g · 15 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/21vsNationalsO 1.50L-115
8/15@RedsO 2.52L+100
8/9vsAngelsO 1.52W-158
8/4@BravesO 2.51L-102
7/29vsPhilliesO 1.56W-135
7/29vsPhilliesO 2.56W+130
7/24vsPadresO 1.51L-105
7/2@RockiesO 2.53W-103
6/27@CardinalsO 2.50L-110
6/21vsGiantsO 2.51L-110
6/15@PhilliesO 2.55W+115
6/10vsDiamondbacksO 2.50L+125
6/10vsDiamondbacksO 1.50L-175
6/5vsRaysO 0.53W-185
6/5vsRaysO 1.53W+145

Miami Marlins Teammates

View all
Xavier EdwardsOtto LopezJakob MarseeLiam HicksJavier SanojaKyle StowersOwen CaissieJoe MackConnor NorbyGriffin ConineEsteury RuizAgustín RamírezGraham PauleyChristopher MorelAustin Slater

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Ryan Gusto hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Ryan Gusto hits the over on earned runs 2.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-5 with an average actual of 2.3.
Is Ryan Gusto over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 12 games in 2026, betting $100 on Ryan Gusto over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$150 (-12.5% ROI). The hit rate is 37.5% with an average actual of 2.3.
What is Ryan Gusto's earned runs average this season?
Ryan Gusto averages 2.3 earned runs per game in 2026 across 12 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.

Ryan Gusto 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.12 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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