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Players/MLB/Miami Marlins/Ryan Gusto
Ryan Gusto

Ryan Gusto

Miami Marlins•Pitcher•2026
4.52ERA51K55.8IP8.2K/917G
4.52ERA51K55.8IP8.2K/917G
83.3% OUT O 11.571.4% HA O 4.560% K O 3.5
Season
Best Performer

Ryan Gusto goes over 11.5 outs recorded 83.3% of the time (5-1)

Props — 202612 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

12g
avg 2
41.7%Over: 5-7
0vs O 1.5-115
vsNationals8/21
✗✗✓✗✓✗✓✗✗✓
H: 33.3%(3)A: 40%(5)

Outs Recorded

10g
avg 11.8
50%Over: 5-5
12vs O 11.5
vsNationals8/21
✓✓✓✓✗✗✗✗✓✗
H: 66.7%(3)A: 100%(3)

Pitcher Ks

10g
avg 3.7
60%Over: 6-4
2vs O 3.5-154
vsNationals8/21
✗✓✓✓✗✓✗✓✓✗
H: 60%(5)A: 60%(5)

Hits Allowed

10g
avg 4.8
50%Over: 5-5
5vs O 4.5+115
vsNationals8/21
✓✓✗✓✓✗✗✗✗✓
H: 66.7%(3)A: 75%(4)

Walks Allowed

8g
avg 1.5
50%Over: 4-4
1vs O 1.5
vsNationals8/21
✗✗✗✓✓✗✓✓
H: 50%(4)A: 50%(4)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
11
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Gusto's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsEarned RunsO 2.5Outs RecordedO 11.5Pitcher KsO 3.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★0%(0-1)100%(3-0)66.7%(2-1)66.7%(2-1)0%(0-2)
★★★★★25%(1-3)—66.7%(2-1)100%(1-0)66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★100%(1-0)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)
★★★★★50%(1-1)100%(1-0)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Brad Lord
8/21

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Gusto have an ERA of 3.51 against the Nationals over the last year, but other matchup data favors the Nationals.

★★★★★vs Brady Singer
8/15

Current Reds hitters are batting .230 against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Gusto over the the last two years.

★★★★★vs Grayson Rodriguez
8/9

Current Angels hitters are batting .243 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Gusto over the last two years.

Game Log

Bet
$
64-102 Over166 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/21vsNationalsHits AllowedO 4.55W+115
8/21vsNationalsEarned RunsO 1.50L-115
8/21vsNationalsOuts RecordedO 15.512L—
8/21vsNationalsPitcher KsO 4.52L+148
8/21vsNationalsPitcher KsO 6.52L+750
8/21vsNationalsPitcher KsO 3.52L-154
8/21vsNationalsPitcher KsO 7.52L+1280
8/21vsNationalsPitcher KsO 2.52L-450
8/21vsNationalsPitcher KsO 5.52L+340
8/21vsNationalsPitcher KsO 1.52W-1900
8/21vsNationalsOuts RecordedO 14.512L-172
8/21vsNationalsWalks AllowedO 0.51W-204
8/21vsNationalsWalks AllowedO 1.51L—
8/21vsNationalsPitcher KsO 8.52L—
8/21vsNationalsPitcher KsO 9.52L—
8/21vsNationalsPitcher KsO 0.52W—
8/21vsNationalsPitcher KsO 42L—
8/21vsNationalsOuts RecordedO 20.512L—
8/21vsNationalsOuts RecordedO 11.512W—
8/21vsNationalsHits AllowedO 3.55W-165
8/15@RedsHits AllowedO 4.56W—
8/15@RedsOuts RecordedO 14.514L-125
8/15@RedsPitcher KsO 4.56W-104
8/15@RedsEarned RunsO 2.52L+100
8/15@RedsPitcher KsO 6.56L+435
8/15@RedsPitcher KsO 3.56W-236
8/15@RedsPitcher KsO 8.56L+1780
8/15@RedsPitcher KsO 1.56W-2400
8/15@RedsPitcher KsO 2.56W-620
8/15@RedsPitcher KsO 7.56L+890
8/15@RedsPitcher KsO 5.56W+205
8/15@RedsPitcher KsO 9.56L—
8/15@RedsOuts RecordedO 11.514W—
8/15@RedsOuts RecordedO 17.514L—
8/15@RedsPitcher KsO 0.56W—
8/9vsAngelsHits AllowedO 4.53L-118
8/9vsAngelsOuts RecordedO 14.512L-132
8/9vsAngelsPitcher KsO 4.54L-118
8/9vsAngelsPitcher KsO 6.54L+360
8/9vsAngelsPitcher KsO 3.54W-279
8/9vsAngelsEarned RunsO 1.52W-158
8/9vsAngelsPitcher KsO 5.54L+180
8/9vsAngelsPitcher KsO 7.54L+710
8/9vsAngelsPitcher KsO 8.54L+1400
8/9vsAngelsWalks AllowedO 1.51L+124
8/9vsAngelsPitcher KsO 1.54W-2900
8/9vsAngelsPitcher KsO 2.54W-720
8/9vsAngelsPitcher KsO 9.54L—
8/9vsAngelsPitcher KsO 10.54L—
8/9vsAngelsPitcher KsO 54L—

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Ryan Gusto hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Ryan Gusto hits the over on earned runs 2.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-5 with an average actual of 2.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$158.
How often does Ryan Gusto hit the over on outs recorded 11.5?
Ryan Gusto hits the over on outs recorded 11.5 83.3% of the time in 2026, going 5-1 with an average actual of 13.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$79.
How often does Ryan Gusto hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Ryan Gusto hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 6-4 with an average actual of 3.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$85.
How often does Ryan Gusto hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Ryan Gusto hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 71.4% of the time in 2026, going 5-2 with an average actual of 5.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$194.
How often does Ryan Gusto hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Ryan Gusto hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 4-4 with an average actual of 1.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$217.
What are Ryan Gusto's best prop bets in 2026?
Ryan Gusto's highest-hitting props in 2026: Outs Recorded O 11.5 at 83.3% (5-1); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 71.4% (5-2); Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 60% (6-4).

Ryan Gusto 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.12 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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