Miami Marlins58.3% HA O 4.553.3% K O 4.542.9% ER O 2.5
Best Performer
Ryan Gusto goes over 4.5 hits allowed 58.3% of the time (7-5)
Props — 202517 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
28Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Gusto's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 60%(6-4) | 40%(4-6) | 60%(6-4) | 50%(6-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/1Current Nationals hitters are batting .252 in their last 1,183 AB's against pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Gusto, but other matchup data favors the Nationals.
★★★★★
8/27Several hitters in the Braves lineup have a 5-star matchup against Gusto today.
★★★★★
8/9Right-handed starters have an ERA of 2.76 against the Braves in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Braves.
Game Log
Bet
$
36-35 Over71 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/27 | vs Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 8/27 | vsBraves | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 9 | W | +110 |
| 8/27 | vsBraves | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -140 |
| 8/22 | vs Blue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +130 |
| 8/22 | vsBlue Jays | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -105 |
| 8/22 | vsBlue Jays | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +105 |
| 8/22 | vsBlue Jays | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +135 |
| 8/9 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 8 | W | +126 |
| 8/9 | @Braves | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -170 |
| 8/9 | @Braves | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -130 |
| 8/9 | @Braves | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -110 |
| 7/30 | vs Nationals | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -112 |
| 7/30 | vsNationals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +125 |
| 7/30 | vsNationals | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -135 |
| 7/30 | vsNationals | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -110 |
| 7/25 | vs Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +108 |
| 7/25 | vsAthletics | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 8 | W | +115 |
| 7/25 | vsAthletics | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 8 | W | +100 |
| 7/25 | vsAthletics | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -105 |
| 7/6 | @ Dodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +124 |
| 7/6 | @Dodgers | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 7/6 | @Dodgers | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +115 |
| 7/6 | @Dodgers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -160 |
| 6/22 | @ Angels | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +114 |
| 6/22 | @Angels | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -150 |
| 6/22 | @Angels | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -110 |
| 6/22 | @Angels | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -135 |
| 6/22 | @Angels | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -140 |
| 6/16 | @Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -135 |
| 6/16 | @Athletics | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -145 |
| 6/16 | @Athletics | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -110 |
| 6/16 | @Athletics | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -155 |
| 6/11 | vs White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +104 |
| 6/11 | vsWhite Sox | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +115 |
| 6/11 | vsWhite Sox | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -110 |
| 6/11 | vsWhite Sox | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -205 |
| 6/4 | @ Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +132 |
| 6/4 | @Pirates | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +115 |
| 6/4 | @Pirates | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -105 |
| 6/4 | @Pirates | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -190 |
| 5/29 | vs Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -132 |
| 5/29 | vsRays | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +110 |
| 5/29 | vsRays | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -105 |
| 5/29 | vsRays | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -120 |
| 5/23 | vs Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +130 |
| 5/23 | vsMariners | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 5/23 | vsMariners | Hits Allowed | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -160 |
| 5/23 | vsMariners | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -160 |
| 5/12 | vs Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -164 |
| 5/12 | vsRoyals | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Ryan Gusto hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Ryan Gusto hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 53.3% of the time in 2025, going 8-7 with an average actual of 4.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$63.
How often does Ryan Gusto hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Ryan Gusto hits the over on earned runs 2.5 42.9% of the time in 2025, going 6-8 with an average actual of 3.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$154.
How often does Ryan Gusto hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Ryan Gusto hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 58.3% of the time in 2025, going 7-5 with an average actual of 5.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$83.
How often does Ryan Gusto hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Ryan Gusto hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 37.5% of the time in 2025, going 6-10 with an average actual of 1.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$522.
What are Ryan Gusto's best prop bets in 2025?
Ryan Gusto's highest-hitting props in 2025: Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 58.3% (7-5); Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 53.3% (8-7); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 42.9% (6-8).
Inside Edge