Inside Edge
Baltimore Orioles68% HRR O 0.558% H O 0.542% R O 0.5
Season
All Pete Alonso propsProps — 202651 games with closing lines
Home Runs
51g18%Over: 9-41-1
1vs O 0.5+383
@
Rays5/20
Rays5/20✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 16.7%(24)A: 19.2%(26)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
34(68%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Alonso's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 64.7%(22-12) | 20.6%(7-27) | 38.2%(13-21) |
| ★★★★★ | 44.4%(4-5) | 11.1%(1-8) | 33.3%(3-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jack Flaherty
5/22Alonso is slugging 1.167 and hitting .500 in six AB's against Flaherty.
★★★★★vs Steven Matz
5/20Alonso is slugging .535 in his last 182 PA's against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Seymour over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Griffin Jax
5/19Alonso is slugging .539 in his last 249 PA's against right-handers with high strikeout rates like Jax over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
9-99-2 Over50g · 110 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +4200 |
| 5/20 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +383 |
| 5/19 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/19 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +430 |
| 5/18 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/18 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +430 |
| 5/17 | @ Nationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2800 |
| 5/17 | @Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +316 |
| 5/17 | @Nationals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/16 | @Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +373 |
| 5/16 | @Nationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3700 |
| 5/15 | @Nationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3000 |
| 5/15 | @Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +320 |
| 5/13 | vs Yankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 5/13 | vsYankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +540 |
| 5/12 | vsYankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/12 | vsYankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +470 |
| 5/11 | vsYankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +390 |
| 5/11 | vsYankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4100 |
| 5/10 | vs Athletics | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3800 |
| 5/10 | vsAthletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +367 |
| 5/9 | vsAthletics | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3300 |
| 5/9 | vsAthletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +311 |
| 5/8 | vsAthletics | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +353 |
| 5/8 | vsAthletics | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +3800 |
| 5/7 | @ Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4200 |
| 5/7 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +430 |
| 5/6 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +440 |
| 5/6 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +4500 |
| 5/5 | @Marlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4000 |
| 5/5 | @Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +440 |
| 5/4 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +390 |
| 5/4 | @Yankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3000 |
| 5/3 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +428 |
| 5/3 | @Yankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4200 |
| 5/2 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +419 |
| 5/2 | @Yankees | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +4500 |
| 5/1 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +393 |
| 5/1 | @Yankees | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +4300 |
| 4/30 | vs Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 4/30 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +370 |
| 4/30 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 4/30 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +440 |
| 4/29 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +410 |
| 4/29 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +4500 |
| 4/28 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +490 |
| 4/28 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +5500 |
| 4/26 | vs Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +520 |
| 4/26 | vsRed Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 4/25 | vsRed Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +512 |
Baltimore Orioles Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Pete Alonso hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Pete Alonso hits the over on home runs 0.5 18% of the time in 2026, going 9-41-1 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Pete Alonso over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 51 games in 2026, betting $100 on Pete Alonso over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$622 (-12.2% ROI). The hit rate is 18% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Pete Alonso's home runs average this season?
Pete Alonso averages 0.2 home runs per game in 2026 across 51 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.