Inside Edge
Athletics57.1% ER O 2.550% K O 3.550% HA O 4.5
Season
All Mitch Spence propsProps — 20258 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
8g62.5%Over: 5-3
9vs O 4.5-160
@
Pirates9/21
Pirates9/21✓✓✓✗✓✓✗✗
H: 100%(1)A: 33.3%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(1%)
Total Matchups
67Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Spence's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/28Right-handed relievers have an ERA of 4.85 against the Royals over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★
9/27Matchup data is limited but favors the Royals.
★★★★★
9/21Pitchers with similar repertoires to Spence have an ERA of 3.26 against the Pirates over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-3 Over8g · 9 props
Athletics Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Mitch Spence hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Mitch Spence hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 50% of the time in 2025, going 2-2 with an average actual of 5.5.
Is Mitch Spence over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2025, betting $100 on Mitch Spence over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned +$117 (+14.63% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 5.5.
What is Mitch Spence's hits allowed average this season?
Mitch Spence averages 5.5 hits allowed per game in 2025 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.