Mitch Spence

AthleticsPitcher•2025

Reg5.55 ERA / 66 K / 77.9 IP / 7.6 K/9 / 32G

57.1% ER O 2.550% K O 3.550% HA O 4.5

Season

Best Performer

Mitch Spence goes over 2.5 earned runs 57.1% of the time (4-3)

Props — 20258 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

avg 3.4

50%Over: 4-4

1vs O 3.5-125

Pirates9/21

✗✗✓✓✗✗✓✓

H: 33.3%(3)A: 66.7%(3)

Earned Runs

avg 3.3

50%Over: 4-4

6vs O 2.5+105

Pirates9/21

✓✓✓✗✓✗✗✗

H: 66.7%(3)A: 50%(4)

Hits Allowed

avg 6.1

62.5%Over: 5-3

9vs O 4.5-160

Pirates9/21

✓✓✓✗✓✓✗✗

H: 100%(1)A: 33.3%(3)

Walks Allowed

avg 1.4

42.9%Over: 3-4

2vs O 1.5-106

Pirates9/21

✓✗✗✓✗✗✓

H: 0%(3)A: 66.7%(3)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

1.5★★★★★

5-Star Games

1(1%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Spence's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 3.5	Earned RunsO 2.5	Hits AllowedO 4.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)
★★★★★	100%(2-0)	66.7%(2-1)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-2)
★★★★★	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)	—	0%(0-1)
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★

9/28

Right-handed relievers have an ERA of 4.85 against the Royals over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★

9/27

Matchup data is limited but favors the Royals.

★★★★★

9/21

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Spence have an ERA of 3.26 against the Pirates over the last year.

Game Log

Bet

17-15 Over32 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
9/21	@Pirates	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	1	L	-125
9/21	@Pirates	Earned Runs	O 2.5	6	W	+105
9/21	@Pirates	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	9	W	+125
9/21	@Pirates	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	2	W	-106
9/21	@Pirates	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	9	W	-160
7/9	vsBraves	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	3	L	-140
7/9	vsBraves	Earned Runs	O 2.5	8	W	-140
7/9	vsBraves	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	9	W	-110
7/9	vsBraves	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	1	L	-155
7/2	@Rays	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	5	W	-156
7/2	@Rays	Earned Runs	O 2.5	4	W	-120
7/2	@Rays	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	7	W	-130
7/2	@Rays	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	0	L	-105
6/27	@Yankees	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	5	W	+112
6/27	@Yankees	Earned Runs	O 2.5	2	L	-140
6/27	@Yankees	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	3	L	-155
6/27	@Yankees	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	4	W	-180
6/21	vsGuardians	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	3	L	+106
6/21	vsGuardians	Earned Runs	O 2.5	4	W	+105
6/21	vsGuardians	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	8	W	+120
6/21	vsGuardians	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	1	L	+100
6/16	vsAstros	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	2	L	-125
6/16	vsAstros	Earned Runs	O 2.5	1	L	+130
6/16	vsAstros	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	7	W	-150
6/16	vsAstros	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	1	L	+120
6/10	@Angels	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	4	W	-145
6/10	@Angels	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	3	L	+120
6/10	@Angels	Earned Runs	O 2.5	0	L	+115
6/5	vsTwins	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	4	W	+115
6/5	vsTwins	Earned Runs	O 1.5	1	L	-150
6/5	vsTwins	Hits Allowed	O 3.5	3	L	-125
6/5	vsTwins	Walks Allowed	O 0.5	1	W	-220

Athletics Teammates

View all

Brent Rooker Lawrence Butler Tyler Soderstrom Nick Kurtz Shea Langeliers Jacob Wilson Max Muncy Miguel Andujar JJ Bleday Darell Hernaiz Max Schuemann Denzel Clarke Gio Urshela Willie MacIver Colby Thomas

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Mitch Spence hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?

Mitch Spence hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 50% of the time in 2025, going 3-3 with an average actual of 3.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$52.

How often does Mitch Spence hit the over on earned runs 2.5?

Mitch Spence hits the over on earned runs 2.5 57.1% of the time in 2025, going 4-3 with an average actual of 3.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$65.

How often does Mitch Spence hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?

Mitch Spence hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 50% of the time in 2025, going 2-2 with an average actual of 5.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$71.

How often does Mitch Spence hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?

Mitch Spence hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 33.3% of the time in 2025, going 2-4 with an average actual of 1.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$250.

What are Mitch Spence's best prop bets in 2025?

Mitch Spence's highest-hitting props in 2025: Earned Runs O 2.5 at 57.1% (4-3); Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 50% (3-3); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 50% (2-2).