Inside Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks83.3% K O 1.580% HA O 5.575% ER O 2.5
Season
All Merrill Kelly propsProps — 20266 games with closing lines
Pitcher Ks
6g83.3%Over: 5-1
4vs O 1.5-2100
vs
Giants5/20
Giants5/20✓✓✓✓✗✓
H: 100%(3)A: 66.7%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(17%)
Total Matchups
6Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Kelly's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Outs RecordedO 16.5 | Pitcher KsO 1.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | — | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | — | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Tyler Mahle
5/20Current Giants hitters have an OPS of .856 against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Kelly over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Kyle Freeland
5/15Rockies hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Kelly.
★★★★★vs Clay Holmes
5/9Mets hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Kelly.
Game Log
Bet
$
18-28 Over6g · 46 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | vsGiants | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +264 |
| 5/20 | vsGiants | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -189 |
| 5/20 | vsGiants | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +123 |
| 5/20 | vsGiants | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +550 |
| 5/20 | vsGiants | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -501 |
| 5/20 | vsGiants | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -2100 |
| 5/20 | vsGiants | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +1160 |
| 5/15 | @ Rockies | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -3000 |
| 5/15 | @Rockies | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -102 |
| 5/15 | @Rockies | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -630 |
| 5/15 | @Rockies | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +220 |
| 5/15 | @Rockies | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +840 |
| 5/15 | @Rockies | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +450 |
| 5/15 | @Rockies | O 8.5 | 3 | L | +1640 |
| 5/15 | @Rockies | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -238 |
| 5/9 | vs Mets | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +442 |
| 5/9 | vsMets | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -550 |
| 5/9 | vsMets | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +102 |
| 5/9 | vsMets | O 7.5 | 6 | L | +900 |
| 5/9 | vsMets | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +212 |
| 5/9 | vsMets | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -220 |
| 5/9 | vsMets | O 8.5 | 6 | L | +1820 |
| 5/9 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -2400 |
| 5/3 | @ Cubs | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -154 |
| 5/3 | @Cubs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -388 |
| 5/3 | @Cubs | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +154 |
| 5/3 | @Cubs | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +320 |
| 5/3 | @Cubs | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +700 |
| 5/3 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -1400 |
| 5/3 | @Cubs | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +1220 |
| 4/28 | @ Brewers | O 4.5 | 1 | L | -110 |
| 4/28 | @Brewers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -700 |
| 4/28 | @Brewers | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -258 |
| 4/28 | @Brewers | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +195 |
| 4/28 | @Brewers | O 6.5 | 1 | L | +401 |
| 4/28 | @Brewers | O 7.5 | 1 | L | +860 |
| 4/28 | @Brewers | O 8.5 | 1 | L | +1760 |
| 4/28 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -3500 |
| 4/21 | vs White Sox | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -140 |
| 4/21 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -4100 |
| 4/21 | vsWhite Sox | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -800 |
| 4/21 | vsWhite Sox | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -300 |
| 4/21 | vsWhite Sox | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +150 |
| 4/21 | vsWhite Sox | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +310 |
| 4/21 | vsWhite Sox | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +630 |
| 4/21 | vsWhite Sox | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +1100 |
Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Merrill Kelly hit the over on pitcher ks 1.5?
Merrill Kelly hits the over on pitcher ks 1.5 83.3% of the time in 2026, going 5-1 with an average actual of 4.
Is Merrill Kelly over 1.5 pitcher ks a good bet?
Based on 6 games in 2026, betting $100 on Merrill Kelly over 1.5 pitcher ks at best closing odds has returned -$78 (-13% ROI). The hit rate is 83.3% with an average actual of 4.
What is Merrill Kelly's pitcher ks average this season?
Merrill Kelly averages 4 pitcher ks per game in 2026 across 6 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.