Merrill Kelly

Arizona DiamondbacksPitcher•2026

Reg5.79 ERA / 53 K / 85.5 IP / 5.6 K/9 / 15G

76.9% HA O 5.571.4% K O 2.570% BBA O 1.5

Season

All Merrill Kelly props

Props — 202614 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

14g

avg 3.6

71.4%Over: 10-4

6vs O 2.5-295

Brewers7/4

✓✓✗✓✗✓✗✓✓✓

H: 100%(6)A: 50%(8)

SeasonalityAll lines

50%

83%

60%

100%

Apr
1-1

May
5-1

Jun
3-2

Jul
1-0

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.5★★★★★

5-Star Games

1(7%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Kelly's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Outs RecordedO 17.5	Pitcher KsO 2.5	Earned RunsO 2.5	Hits AllowedO 5.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★	—	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)	—
★★★★★	50%(1-1)	50%(1-1)	50%(1-1)	50%(1-1)	50%(1-1)
★★★★★	33.3%(1-2)	33.3%(1-2)	66.7%(2-1)	100%(3-0)	100%(3-0)
★★★★★	66.7%(2-1)	100%(5-0)	75%(3-1)	100%(5-0)	66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★	100%(2-0)	100%(3-0)	0%(0-2)	0%(0-2)	50%(1-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Brandon Woodruff

7/4

Right-handed starters have an ERA of 5.38 against the Brewers in the past 30 days.

★★★★★vs Drew Rasmussen

6/28

Several hitters in the Rays lineup have a 5-star matchup against Kelly today.

★★★★★vs Andre Pallante

6/22

Kelly has struck out 30.8% of the Cardinals hitters he has faced in 26 PA's over the last 2 years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Cardinals.

Game Log

Bet

38-74 Over14g · 112 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/4	vsBrewers	O 2.5	6	W	-295
7/4	vsBrewers	O 7.5	6	L	—
7/4	vsBrewers	O 6.5	6	L	+1000
7/4	vsBrewers	O 4.5	6	W	+205
7/4	vsBrewers	O 5.5	6	W	+454
7/4	vsBrewers	O 3.5	6	W	-114
7/4	vsBrewers	O 1.5	6	W	-1040
7/4	vsBrewers	O 0.5	6	W	—
7/4	vsBrewers	O 9.5	6	L	—
7/4	vsBrewers	O 8.5	6	L	—
6/28	@Rays	O 3.5	3	L	-125
6/28	@Rays	O 5.5	3	L	+410
6/28	@Rays	O 6.5	3	L	+880
6/28	@Rays	O 4.5	3	L	+188
6/28	@Rays	O 2.5	3	W	-300
6/28	@Rays	O 7.5	3	L	—
6/28	@Rays	O 1.5	3	W	-1260
6/28	@Rays	O 8.5	3	L	—
6/28	@Rays	O 9.5	3	L	—
6/28	@Rays	O 0.5	3	W	—
6/22	@Cardinals	O 4.5	2	L	+220
6/22	@Cardinals	O 5.5	2	L	+495
6/22	@Cardinals	O 2.5	2	L	-250
6/22	@Cardinals	O 3.5	2	L	-104
6/22	@Cardinals	O 7.5	2	L	—
6/22	@Cardinals	O 1.5	2	W	-860
6/22	@Cardinals	O 0.5	2	W	—
6/22	@Cardinals	O 6.5	2	L	+1080
6/22	@Cardinals	O 9.5	2	L	—
6/22	@Cardinals	O 8.5	2	L	—
6/16	vsAngels	O 3.5	4	W	-204
6/16	vsAngels	O 2.5	4	W	-571
6/16	vsAngels	O 6.5	4	L	+562
6/16	vsAngels	O 4.5	4	L	+118
6/16	vsAngels	O 5.5	4	L	+259
6/16	vsAngels	O 7.5	4	L	+1200
6/16	vsAngels	O 1.5	4	W	-2500
6/11	@Marlins	O 4.5	1	L	+134
6/11	@Marlins	O 6.5	1	L	+670
6/11	@Marlins	O 3.5	1	L	-175
6/11	@Marlins	O 2.5	1	L	-450
6/11	@Marlins	O 5.5	1	L	+305
6/11	@Marlins	O 7.5	1	L	+1400
6/11	@Marlins	O 1.5	1	L	-2000
6/5	vsNationals	O 4.5	4	L	+120
6/5	vsNationals	O 3.5	4	W	-204
6/5	vsNationals	O 5.5	4	L	+270
6/5	vsNationals	O 6.5	4	L	+580
6/5	vsNationals	O 2.5	4	W	-525
6/5	vsNationals	O 7.5	4	L	+1160

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Merrill Kelly hit the over on pitcher ks 2.5?

Merrill Kelly hits the over on pitcher ks 2.5 71.4% of the time in 2026, going 10-4 with an average actual of 3.6.

Is Merrill Kelly over 2.5 pitcher ks a good bet?

Based on 14 games in 2026, betting $100 on Merrill Kelly over 2.5 pitcher ks at best closing odds has returned -$188 (-13.43% ROI). The hit rate is 71.4% with an average actual of 3.6.

What is Merrill Kelly's pitcher ks average this season?

Merrill Kelly averages 3.6 pitcher ks per game in 2026 across 14 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.