How Kelly's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Outs RecordedO 16.5 | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 60%(3-2) | 60%(3-2) | 60%(3-2) | 80%(4-1) |
| ★★★★★ | — | 25%(1-3) | 50%(2-2) | 75%(3-1) | 100%(4-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 71.4%(5-2) | 66.7%(4-2) | 85.7%(6-1) | 75%(3-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 60%(3-2) | 0%(0-4) | 0%(0-4) | 33.3%(1-2) |
Red Sox hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Kelly.
Rockies hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Kelly.
Dodgers hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Kelly.
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/18 | @ | O 15.5 | 12 | L | -122 |
| 8/18 | @ | O 16.5 | 12 | L | — |
| 8/18 | @ | O 20.5 | 12 | L | — |
| 8/18 | @ | O 17.5 | 12 | L | — |
| 8/18 | @ | O 14.5 | 12 | L | — |
| 8/12 | vs | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -130 |
| 8/12 | vs | O 20.5 | 15 | L | — |
| 8/12 | vs | O 14.5 | 15 | W | — |
| 8/12 | vs | O 16.5 | 15 | L | — |
| 8/7 | vs | O 15.5 | 17 | W | -108 |
| 8/7 | vs | O 16.5 | 17 | W | — |
| 8/7 | vs | O 20.5 | 17 | L | — |
| 8/7 | vs | O 16 | 17 | W | — |
| 8/7 | vs | O 17.5 | 17 | L | — |
| 8/7 | vs | O 14.5 | 17 | W | — |
| 8/2 | @ | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -122 |
| 8/2 | @ | O 17.5 | 15 | L | — |
| 7/27 | @ | O 16.5 | 17 | W | -104 |
| 7/27 | @ | O 20.5 | 17 | L | — |
| 7/27 | @ | O 17.5 | 17 | L | — |
| 7/27 | @ | O 14.5 | 17 | W | — |
| 7/22 | vs | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -150 |
| 7/17 | vs | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -125 |
| 7/9 | @ | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -130 |
| 7/4 | vs | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -130 |
| 6/28 | @ | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -124 |
| 6/22 | @ | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -135 |
| 6/16 | vs | O 17.5 | 16 | L | -132 |
| 6/16 | vs | O 18.5 | 16 | L | +123 |
| 6/11 | @ | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -135 |
| 6/5 | vs | O 18.5 | 15 | L | +127 |
| 6/5 | vs | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -132 |
| 5/31 | @ | O 17.5 | 16 | L | -156 |
| 5/25 | @ | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -158 |
| 5/20 | vs | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -149 |
| 5/15 | @ | O 16.5 | 27 | W | -103 |
| 5/9 | vs | O 17.5 | 21 | W | +100 |
| 5/9 | vs | O 16.5 | 21 | W | -141 |
| 5/3 | @ | O 15.5 | 13 | L | +115 |
| 4/28 | @ | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -101 |
| 4/21 | vs | O 17.5 | 13 | L | -102 |