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Players/MLB/Arizona Diamondbacks/Merrill Kelly/Outs Recorded
Merrill Kelly

Merrill Kelly

Arizona Diamondbacks•Pitcher•2026
5.46ERA84K126.9IP6.0K/923G
5.46ERA84K126.9IP6.0K/923G
75% BBA O 1.561.9% HA O 5.554.5% K O 3.5
Season
All Merrill Kelly props

Props — 202622 games with closing lines

Outs Recorded

22g
avg 16.9
45.5%Over: 10-12
12vs O 16.5
@Red Sox8/18
✗✗✓✗✓✗✗✓✗✓
H: 50%(4)A: 40%(5)
SeasonalityAll lines
0%
100%
50%
25%
Apr
0-1
May
2-0
Jul
1-1
Aug
1-3
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(5%)
Total Matchups
22
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Kelly's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsOuts RecordedO 16.5Pitcher KsO 3.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★0%(0-1)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)—
★★★★★0%(0-2)60%(3-2)60%(3-2)60%(3-2)80%(4-1)
★★★★★—25%(1-3)50%(2-2)75%(3-1)100%(4-0)
★★★★★33.3%(1-2)71.4%(5-2)66.7%(4-2)85.7%(6-1)75%(3-1)
★★★★★100%(3-0)60%(3-2)0%(0-4)0%(0-4)33.3%(1-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Ranger Suarez
8/18

Red Sox hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Kelly.

★★★★★vs Ryan Feltner
8/12

Rockies hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Kelly.

★★★★★vs Roki Sasaki
8/7

Dodgers hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Kelly.

Game Log

Bet
$
16-25 Over22g · 41 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/18@Red SoxO 15.512L-122
8/18@Red SoxO 16.512L—
8/18@Red SoxO 20.512L—
8/18@Red SoxO 17.512L—
8/18@Red SoxO 14.512L—
8/12vsRockiesO 17.515L-130
8/12vsRockiesO 20.515L—
8/12vsRockiesO 14.515W—
8/12vsRockiesO 16.515L—
8/7vsDodgersO 15.517W-108
8/7vsDodgersO 16.517W—
8/7vsDodgersO 20.517L—
8/7vsDodgersO 1617W—
8/7vsDodgersO 17.517L—
8/7vsDodgersO 14.517W—
8/2@GuardiansO 16.515L-122
8/2@GuardiansO 17.515L—
7/27@PiratesO 16.517W-104
7/27@PiratesO 20.517L—
7/27@PiratesO 17.517L—
7/27@PiratesO 14.517W—
7/22vsAthleticsO 17.515L-150
7/17vsCardinalsO 17.515L-125
7/9@PadresO 17.521W-130
7/4vsBrewersO 16.515L-130
6/28@RaysO 17.518W-124
6/22@CardinalsO 17.518W-135
6/16vsAngelsO 17.516L-132
6/16vsAngelsO 18.516L+123
6/11@MarlinsO 17.518W-135
6/5vsNationalsO 18.515L+127
6/5vsNationalsO 17.515L-132
5/31@MarinersO 17.516L-156
5/25@GiantsO 17.521W-158
5/20vsGiantsO 17.518W-149
5/15@RockiesO 16.527W-103
5/9vsMetsO 17.521W+100
5/9vsMetsO 16.521W-141
5/3@CubsO 15.513L+115
4/28@BrewersO 16.515L-101
4/21vsWhite SoxO 17.513L-102

Arizona Diamondbacks Teammates

View all
Corbin CarrollGeraldo PerdomoKetel MarteNolan ArenadoGabriel MorenoIldemaro VargasRyan WaldschmidtLars NootbaarTim TawaAdrian Del CastilloLourdes Gurriel Jr.Jose FernandezTommy TroyJorge BarrosaMax Kepler

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Merrill Kelly hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?
Merrill Kelly hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-5 with an average actual of 17.1.
Is Merrill Kelly over 16.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 22 games in 2026, betting $100 on Merrill Kelly over 16.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned -$300 (-13.64% ROI). The hit rate is 44.4% with an average actual of 17.1.
What is Merrill Kelly's outs recorded average this season?
Merrill Kelly averages 17.1 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 22 games. The primary line is set at 16.5.

Merrill Kelly 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.22 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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