Javier Assad

Javier Assad

Chicago CubsPitcher2026
Reg4.45 ERA / 33 K / 52.6 IP / 5.6 K/9 / 14G
66.7% BBA O 1.550% OUT O 15.533.3% HA O 4.5
Season
Best Performer

Javier Assad goes over 1.5 pitcher ks 83.3% of the time (5-1)

Props — 20267 games with closing lines

avg 3.1
28.6%Over: 2-5
2vs O 3.5+110
vsCardinals7/5
H: 0%(3)A: 50%(4)
avg 2.1
28.6%Over: 2-5
0vs O 2.5+132
vsCardinals7/5
H: 0%(3)A: 50%(4)
avg 4.3
28.6%Over: 2-5
2vs O 4.5
vsCardinals7/5
H: 0%(2)A: 50%(4)
avg 15.9
57.1%Over: 4-3
14vs O 15.5-125
vsCardinals7/5
H: 50%(2)A: 50%(4)
avg 1.5
66.7%Over: 4-2
2vs O 1.5+125
vsCardinals7/5
H: 50%(2)A: 75%(4)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.1
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
17
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Assad's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 3.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Outs RecordedO 15.5Walks AllowedO 1.5
50%(1-1)0%(0-2)0%(0-2)100%(2-0)0%(0-1)
0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)
0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)
33.3%(1-2)66.7%(2-1)66.7%(2-1)33.3%(1-2)100%(3-0)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Matthew Liberatore
7/5

Cardinals hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Assad.

vs Nolan McLean
6/24

Mets hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Assad.

vs Sean Sullivan
6/17

Right-handed starters have an ERA of 5.05 against the Rockies in the past 30 days.

Game Log

Bet
$
32-56 Over88 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
7/5vsCardinalsHits AllowedO 4.52L
7/5vsCardinalsEarned RunsO 1.50L-175
7/5vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 2.52L-220
7/5vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 3.52L+110
7/5vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 4.52L+240
7/5vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 5.52L+540
7/5vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 6.52L+1180
7/5vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 0.52W
7/5vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 1.52W-1040
7/5vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 7.52L
7/5vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 9.52L
7/5vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 8.52L
7/5vsCardinalsWalks AllowedO 1.52W+125
7/5vsCardinalsEarned RunsO 2.50L+132
7/5vsCardinalsHits AllowedO 5.52L+115
7/5vsCardinalsOuts RecordedO 15.514L-125
7/5vsCardinalsOuts RecordedO 16.514L-110
6/24@MetsOuts RecordedO 15.515L-109
6/24@MetsEarned RunsO 2.53W+110
6/24@MetsPitcher KsO 1.55W-1600
6/24@MetsPitcher KsO 5.55L+350
6/24@MetsPitcher KsO 3.55W-160
6/24@MetsPitcher KsO 4.55W+154
6/24@MetsPitcher KsO 6.55L+750
6/24@MetsPitcher KsO 0.55W
6/24@MetsPitcher KsO 2.55W-429
6/24@MetsPitcher KsO 7.55L+1420
6/24@MetsHits AllowedO 5.55L+124
6/24@MetsWalks AllowedO 1.52W-110
6/24@MetsHits AllowedO 4.55W
6/24@MetsPitcher KsO 8.55L
6/17vsRockiesPitcher KsO 3.51L-158
6/17vsRockiesPitcher KsO 2.51L-395
6/17vsRockiesPitcher KsO 5.51L+290
6/17vsRockiesPitcher KsO 6.51L+640
6/17vsRockiesPitcher KsO 4.51L+138
6/17vsRockiesHits AllowedO 5.55L-116
6/17vsRockiesEarned RunsO 2.52L+105
6/17vsRockiesWalks AllowedO 1.50L+122
6/17vsRockiesPitcher KsO 1.51L-1400
6/17vsRockiesPitcher KsO 7.51L+1220
6/17vsRockiesPitcher KsO 9.51L
6/17vsRockiesPitcher KsO 8.51L
6/17vsRockiesPitcher KsO 0.51W
6/17vsRockiesOuts RecordedO 16.517W-118
6/12@GiantsPitcher KsO 5.55L+820
6/12@GiantsPitcher KsO 3.55W+146
6/12@GiantsPitcher KsO 4.55W+346
6/12@GiantsPitcher KsO 2.55W-173
6/12@GiantsPitcher KsO 1.55W-525

Chicago Cubs Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Javier Assad hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Javier Assad hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 2-5 with an average actual of 3.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$291.
How often does Javier Assad hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Javier Assad hits the over on earned runs 2.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 2-5 with an average actual of 2.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$309.
How often does Javier Assad hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Javier Assad hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 2-4 with an average actual of 4.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$237.
How often does Javier Assad hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Javier Assad hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 3-3 with an average actual of 15.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$41.
How often does Javier Assad hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Javier Assad hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 4-2 with an average actual of 1.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$128.
What are Javier Assad's best prop bets in 2026?
Javier Assad's highest-hitting props in 2026: Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 66.7% (4-2); Outs Recorded O 15.5 at 50% (3-3); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 33.3% (2-4).

Javier Assad 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.7 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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