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Players/MLB/Detroit Tigers/Jack Flaherty/Earned Runs
Jack Flaherty

Jack Flaherty

Detroit Tigers•Pitcher•2026
4.75ERA102K83.3IP11.0K/919G
4.75ERA102K83.3IP11.0K/919G
52.6% K O 5.547.4% HA O 4.544.4% ER O 2.5
Season
All Jack Flaherty props

Props — 202619 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

19g
avg 2.3
47.4%Over: 9-10
3vs O 2.5-141
@Cubs7/20
✓✗✗✗✗✓✗✓✓✓
H: 50%(8)A: 40%(10)
SeasonalityAll lines
0%
25%
83%
25%
33%
Mar
0-1
Apr
1-3
May
5-1
Jun
1-3
Jul
1-2
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(11%)
Total Matchups
18
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Flaherty's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 5.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 2.5Outs RecordedO 15.5
★★★★★0%(0-2)0%(0-2)0%(0-2)0%(0-1)50%(1-1)
★★★★★50%(1-1)0%(0-2)0%(0-2)—50%(1-1)
★★★★★33.3%(3-6)75%(6-2)66.7%(6-3)55.6%(5-4)28.6%(2-5)
★★★★★100%(4-0)50%(2-2)75%(3-1)0%(0-2)25%(1-3)
★★★★★100%(1-0)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)——

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Jameson Taillon
7/20

Current Cubs hitters have struck out 23.7% of the time against pitchers similar to Flaherty over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Cubs.

★★★★★vs Aaron Nola
7/10

Current Phillies hitters have struck out 23.4% of the time against pitchers similar to Flaherty over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

★★★★★vs Cal Quantrill
7/4

Rangers hitters have a 1 star average matchup against Flaherty.

Game Log

Bet
$
12-13 Over19g · 25 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
7/20@CubsO 2.53W-141
7/20@CubsO 3.53L+120
7/10vsPhilliesO 2.52L+120
7/4@RangersO 2.50L—
7/4@RangersO 1.50L-164
6/28vsAstrosO 2.50L+125
6/12@GuardiansO 2.52L+107
6/7vsMarinersO 2.53W+105
6/2@RaysO 2.50L+106
5/28vsAngelsO 2.53W+123
5/22@OriolesO 2.53W+111
5/17vsBlue JaysO 2.54W+110
5/12@MetsO 2.53W+107
5/6vsRed SoxO 1.52W-175
5/6vsRed SoxO 2.52L+117
5/1vsRangersO 1.54W-165
5/1vsRangersO 2.54W+125
4/25@RedsO 2.56W-102
4/20@Red SoxO 2.50L-106
4/15vsRoyalsO 2.51L+125
4/9@TwinsO 2.51L+120
4/9@TwinsO 1.51L-175
4/4vsCardinalsO 1.55W-122
3/28@PadresO 1.52W-165
3/28@PadresO 2.52L+129

Detroit Tigers Teammates

View all
Kevin McGonigleSpencer TorkelsonDillon DinglerRiley GreeneColt KeithZach McKinstryGleyber TorresMatt VierlingHao-Yu LeeKerry CarpenterJames OutmanJake RogersJahmai JonesZack ShortMax Clark

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Jack Flaherty hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Jack Flaherty hits the over on earned runs 2.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 8-10 with an average actual of 2.2.
Is Jack Flaherty over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 19 games in 2026, betting $100 on Jack Flaherty over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$49 (-2.58% ROI). The hit rate is 44.4% with an average actual of 2.2.
What is Jack Flaherty's earned runs average this season?
Jack Flaherty averages 2.2 earned runs per game in 2026 across 19 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.

Jack Flaherty 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.19 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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