Detroit Tigers76.5% K O 3.552.9% HA O 4.545.5% BBA O 2.5
Season
All Jack Flaherty propsProps — 202617 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
17g47.1%Over: 8-9
0vs O 2.5
@
Rangers7/4
Rangers7/4✗✗✗✓✗✓✓✓✓✗
H: 57.1%(7)A: 33.3%(9)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(13%)
Total Matchups
16Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Flaherty's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(6-2) | 71.4%(5-2) | 75%(6-2) | 62.5%(5-3) | 33.3%(2-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 50%(2-2) | 75%(3-1) | 0%(0-2) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Cal Quantrill
7/4Rangers hitters have a 1 star average matchup against Flaherty.
★★★★★vs Tanner Bibee
6/12Current Guardians hitters are batting .220 against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like like Flaherty over the the last two years.
★★★★★vs Luis Castillo
6/7Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Flaherty have an ERA of 5.09 against the Mariners since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
11-11 Over17g · 22 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/4 | @Rangers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/4 | @Rangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -164 |
| 6/28 | vs Astros | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 6/12 | @ Guardians | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +107 |
| 6/7 | vs Mariners | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +105 |
| 6/2 | @ Rays | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +106 |
| 5/28 | vs Angels | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +123 |
| 5/22 | @ Orioles | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +111 |
| 5/17 | vs Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +110 |
| 5/12 | @ Mets | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +107 |
| 5/6 | vs Red Sox | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -175 |
| 5/6 | vsRed Sox | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +117 |
| 5/1 | vsRangers | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -165 |
| 5/1 | vsRangers | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +125 |
| 4/25 | @ Reds | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -102 |
| 4/20 | @Red Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -106 |
| 4/15 | vs Royals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +125 |
| 4/9 | @ Twins | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 4/9 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -175 |
| 4/4 | vs Cardinals | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -122 |
| 3/28 | @ Padres | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -165 |
| 3/28 | @Padres | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +129 |
Detroit Tigers Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jack Flaherty hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Jack Flaherty hits the over on earned runs 2.5 43.8% of the time in 2026, going 7-9 with an average actual of 2.1.
Is Jack Flaherty over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 17 games in 2026, betting $100 on Jack Flaherty over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$20 (-1.18% ROI). The hit rate is 43.8% with an average actual of 2.1.
What is Jack Flaherty's earned runs average this season?
Jack Flaherty averages 2.1 earned runs per game in 2026 across 17 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge