
70% K O 3.562.5% BBA O 2.550% HA O 4.5
Season
Best Performer
Jack Flaherty goes over 1.5 earned runs 80% of the time (4-1)
Props — 202610 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
11Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Flaherty's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 71.4%(5-2) | 66.7%(4-2) | 71.4%(5-2) | 71.4%(5-2) | 33.3%(2-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Chris Bassitt
5/22Current Orioles hitters have struck out 26.1% of the time against pitchers similar to Flaherty over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Orioles.
★★★★★vs Kevin Gausman
5/17Current Blue Jays hitters are batting .234 in their last 1,733 AB's against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like like Flaherty, but other matchup data favors the Blue Jays.
★★★★★vs Freddy Peralta
5/12Right-handed starters have an ERA of 2.80 against the Mets in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Mets.
Game Log
Bet
$
54-78-1 Over133 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/17 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -136 |
| 5/17 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -1000 |
| 5/17 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 4 | L | +1240 |
| 5/17 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +172 |
| 5/17 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -320 |
| 5/17 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +360 |
| 5/17 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -3600 |
| 5/17 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +700 |
| 5/17 | vs | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +110 |
| 5/17 | vs | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -130 |
| 5/17 | vs | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +147 |
| 5/17 | vs | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 18 | W | +100 |
| 5/12 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -570 |
| 5/12 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -236 |
| 5/12 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 2 | L | +174 |
| 5/12 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 2 | L | +356 |
| 5/12 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 2 | L | +700 |
| 5/12 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | -115 |
| 5/12 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -1820 |
| 5/12 | @ | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 2 | L | +1300 |
| 5/12 | @ | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 11 | L | +130 |
| 5/12 | @ | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +107 |
| 5/12 | @ | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +100 |
| 5/12 | @ | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 11 | L | -185 |
| 5/12 | @ | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -105 |
| 5/6 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 10 | W | +110 |
| 5/6 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 10 | W | -1860 |
| 5/6 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 10 | W | -500 |
| 5/6 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 10 | W | -210 |
| 5/6 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 10 | W | +230 |
| 5/6 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 10 | W | +490 |
| 5/6 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 10 | W | +820 |
| 5/6 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 10 | W | +1540 |
| 5/6 | vs | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -175 |
| 5/6 | vs | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +100 |
| 5/6 | vs | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | -105 |
| 5/6 | vs | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +117 |
| 5/6 | vs | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +107 |
| 5/1 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +122 |
| 5/1 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -1160 |
| 5/1 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -396 |
| 5/1 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -172 |
| 5/1 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +249 |
| 5/1 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +504 |
| 5/1 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 4 | L | +1000 |
| 5/1 | vs | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 11 | L | -175 |
| 5/1 | vs | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 11 | L | +124 |
| 5/1 | vs | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 4 | L | +1760 |
| 5/1 | vs | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -165 |
| 5/1 | vs | Hits Allowed | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -171 |
Detroit Tigers Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jack Flaherty hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Jack Flaherty hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 70% of the time in 2026, going 7-3 with an average actual of 4.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$157.
How often does Jack Flaherty hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Jack Flaherty hits the over on earned runs 2.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-5 with an average actual of 2.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$60.
How often does Jack Flaherty hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Jack Flaherty hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 5-5 with an average actual of 4.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$141.
How often does Jack Flaherty hit the over on walks allowed 2.5?
Jack Flaherty hits the over on walks allowed 2.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-3 with an average actual of 2.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$85.
How often does Jack Flaherty hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Jack Flaherty hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 25% of the time in 2026, going 2-6 with an average actual of 12.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$402.
What are Jack Flaherty's best prop bets in 2026?
Jack Flaherty's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 70% (7-3); Walks Allowed O 2.5 at 62.5% (5-3); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 50% (5-5).

Inside Edge