Inside Edge
Minnesota Twins66.7% K O 4.550% BBA O 1.542.9% ER O 2.5
Season
Best Performer
David Festa goes over 4.5 pitcher ks 66.7% of the time (4-2)
Props — 202510 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Festa's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | — | — | — | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-4) | 60%(3-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
7/27Pitchers with similar repertoires to Festa have an ERA of 4.26 against the Nationals over the last year, but other matchup data favors the Nationals.
★★★★★
7/21Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Festa have an ERA of 5.09 against the Dodgers since last year.
★★★★★
7/9Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Festa have an ERA of 4.70 against the Cubs since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
18-23 Over41 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/21 | @ Dodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +115 |
| 7/21 | @Dodgers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -125 |
| 7/21 | @Dodgers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -135 |
| 7/21 | @Dodgers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -150 |
| 7/9 | vs Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -110 |
| 7/9 | vsCubs | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +115 |
| 7/9 | vsCubs | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -110 |
| 7/9 | vsCubs | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -115 |
| 7/3 | @ Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -125 |
| 7/3 | @Marlins | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +125 |
| 7/3 | @Marlins | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +100 |
| 7/3 | @Marlins | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -110 |
| 6/27 | @ Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +100 |
| 6/27 | @Tigers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -105 |
| 6/27 | @Tigers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -135 |
| 6/27 | @Tigers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -125 |
| 6/17 | @ Reds | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +126 |
| 6/17 | @Reds | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -135 |
| 6/17 | @Reds | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -105 |
| 6/17 | @Reds | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 6/17 | @Reds | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -160 |
| 6/11 | vs Rangers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +118 |
| 6/11 | vsRangers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +110 |
| 6/11 | vsRangers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -120 |
| 6/11 | vsRangers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -135 |
| 6/5 | @ Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +128 |
| 6/5 | @Athletics | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 8 | W | +125 |
| 6/5 | @Athletics | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -120 |
| 6/5 | @Athletics | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +125 |
| 4/23 | vs White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -122 |
| 4/23 | vsWhite Sox | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -130 |
| 4/23 | vsWhite Sox | Hits Allowed | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -155 |
| 4/23 | vsWhite Sox | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -155 |
| 4/16 | vs Mets | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -140 |
| 4/16 | vsMets | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -175 |
| 4/16 | vsMets | Hits Allowed | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -165 |
| 4/16 | vsMets | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -180 |
| 4/11 | vsTigers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +125 |
| 4/11 | vsTigers | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -155 |
| 4/11 | vsTigers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +120 |
| 4/11 | vsTigers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -135 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does David Festa hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
David Festa hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 66.7% of the time in 2025, going 4-2 with an average actual of 5.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$166.
How often does David Festa hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
David Festa hits the over on earned runs 2.5 42.9% of the time in 2025, going 3-4 with an average actual of 3.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$70.
How often does David Festa hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
David Festa hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 25% of the time in 2025, going 2-6 with an average actual of 3.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$417.
How often does David Festa hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
David Festa hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 50% of the time in 2025, going 5-5 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$87.
What are David Festa's best prop bets in 2025?
David Festa's highest-hitting props in 2025: Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 66.7% (4-2); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 50% (5-5); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 42.9% (3-4).