Inside Edge
Baltimore Orioles75% HA O 5.566.7% K O 2.555.6% ER O 2.5
Season
All Chris Bassitt propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g55.6%Over: 5-4-1
4vs O 2.5-145
@
Nationals5/16
Nationals5/16✓✗✓✗P✓✗✗✓✓
H: 20%(5)A: 80%(5)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(27%)
Total Matchups
11Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Bassitt's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | — | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jack Flaherty
5/22Right-handed starters have an ERA of 2.78 against the Tigers in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Tigers.
★★★★★vs Cade Cavalli
5/16Nationals hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Bassitt.
★★★★★vs Luis Severino
5/10Pitchers with similar repertoires to Bassitt have an ERA of 5.27 against the Athletics over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-5-1 Over10g · 11 props
Baltimore Orioles Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Chris Bassitt hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Chris Bassitt hits the over on earned runs 2.5 55.6% of the time in 2026, going 5-4-1 with an average actual of 2.6.
Is Chris Bassitt over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Chris Bassitt over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$41 (+4.1% ROI). The hit rate is 55.6% with an average actual of 2.6.
What is Chris Bassitt's earned runs average this season?
Chris Bassitt averages 2.6 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.