Carmen Mlodzinski

Pittsburgh PiratesPitcher•2026

Reg4.13 ERA / 44 K / 47.9 IP / 8.3 K/9 / 10G

85.7% HA O 4.583.3% ER O 1.562.5% K O 2.5

Season

All Carmen Mlodzinski props

Props — 20268 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

avg 2.5

62.5%Over: 5-3

0vs O 2.5+125

Cardinals5/20

✗✗✓✓✓✗✓✓

H: 100%(2)A: 75%(4)

Seasonality

Mar

100%1-0

Apr

75%3-1

May

100%1-0

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

3.9★★★★★

5-Star Games

4(50%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Mlodzinski's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 2.5	Earned RunsO 1.5	Hits AllowedO 4.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5	Outs RecordedO 15.5
★★★★★	66.7%(2-1)	100%(2-0)	100%(3-0)	66.7%(2-1)	100%(2-0)
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)	—	0%(0-1)
★★★★★	0%(0-2)	0%(0-1)	50%(1-1)	50%(1-1)	50%(1-1)
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)	—	0%(0-1)	—

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Michael McGreevy

5/20

Mlodzinski has struck out 31% of the Cardinals hitters he has faced in 42 PA's over the last 2 years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Cardinals.

★★★★★vs Landen Roupp

5/8

Giants hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Mlodzinski.

★★★★★vs Rhett Lowder

5/2

Current Reds hitters are batting .218 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Mlodzinski over the last two years.

Game Log

Bet

7-4 Over8g · 11 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
5/20	@Cardinals	O 2.5	0	L	+125
5/8	@Giants	O 2.5	2	L	+122
5/2	vsReds	O 1.5	5	W	-155
4/26	@Brewers	O 1.5	4	W	-161
4/26	@Brewers	O 2.5	4	W	+125
4/21	@Rangers	O 1.5	5	W	-166
4/21	@Rangers	O 2.5	5	W	+120
4/10	@Cubs	O 1.5	0	L	-130
4/4	vsOrioles	O 2.5	2	L	+130
4/4	vsOrioles	O 1.5	2	W	-171
3/29	@Mets	O 1.5	2	W	-160

Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates

View all

Oneil Cruz Bryan Reynolds Brandon Lowe Marcell Ozuna Nick Gonzales Ryan O'Hearn Konnor Griffin Henry Davis Spencer Horwitz Nick Yorke Joey Bart Jake Mangum Jared Triolo Billy Cook Braxton Ashcraft

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Carmen Mlodzinski hit the over on earned runs 1.5?

Carmen Mlodzinski hits the over on earned runs 1.5 83.3% of the time in 2026, going 5-1 with an average actual of 3.

Is Carmen Mlodzinski over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?

Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Carmen Mlodzinski over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$8 (+1% ROI). The hit rate is 83.3% with an average actual of 3.

What is Carmen Mlodzinski's earned runs average this season?

Carmen Mlodzinski averages 3 earned runs per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.