Inside Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates85.7% HA O 4.583.3% ER O 1.562.5% K O 2.5
Season
Best Performer
Carmen Mlodzinski goes over 4.5 hits allowed 85.7% of the time (6-1)
Props — 20268 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(50%)
Total Matchups
8Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Mlodzinski's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(3-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Michael McGreevy
5/20Mlodzinski has struck out 31% of the Cardinals hitters he has faced in 42 PA's over the last 2 years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Cardinals.
★★★★★vs Landen Roupp
5/8Giants hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Mlodzinski.
★★★★★vs Rhett Lowder
5/2Current Reds hitters are batting .218 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Mlodzinski over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
49-51 Over100 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | @ Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 1 | L | +1320 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +288 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 1 | L | +610 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +133 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -174 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -460 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -1900 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 1 | L | +1780 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +125 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +110 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -185 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +102 |
| 5/8 | @ Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +116 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +253 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 1 | L | +1720 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -201 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -2400 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 1 | L | +1140 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +122 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +115 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 1 | L | +540 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -541 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 18 | W | -110 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -155 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -137 |
| 5/2 | vs Reds | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 17 | W | +131 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 10 | W | -122 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 10 | W | -750 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 10 | W | -292 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 10 | W | +172 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 10 | W | +360 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 10 | W | +760 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 10 | W | +1460 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -155 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 8 | W | +105 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 17 | W | -169 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 10 | W | -3300 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +149 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -199 |
| 4/26 | @ Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -125 |
| 4/26 | @Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -900 |
| 4/26 | @Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -325 |
| 4/26 | @Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +168 |
| 4/26 | @Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +350 |
| 4/26 | @Brewers | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 11 | L | +120 |
| 4/26 | @Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +680 |
| 4/26 | @Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 4 | L | +1520 |
| 4/26 | @Brewers | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -161 |
| 4/26 | @Brewers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -110 |
Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Carmen Mlodzinski hit the over on pitcher ks 2.5?
Carmen Mlodzinski hits the over on pitcher ks 2.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-3 with an average actual of 4.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$210.
How often does Carmen Mlodzinski hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Carmen Mlodzinski hits the over on earned runs 1.5 83.3% of the time in 2026, going 5-1 with an average actual of 3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$208.
How often does Carmen Mlodzinski hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Carmen Mlodzinski hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 85.7% of the time in 2026, going 6-1 with an average actual of 5.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$470.
How often does Carmen Mlodzinski hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Carmen Mlodzinski hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 4-3 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$87.
How often does Carmen Mlodzinski hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Carmen Mlodzinski hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 3-3 with an average actual of 15. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$52.
What are Carmen Mlodzinski's best prop bets in 2026?
Carmen Mlodzinski's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 85.7% (6-1); Earned Runs O 1.5 at 83.3% (5-1); Pitcher Ks O 2.5 at 62.5% (5-3).