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Players/MLB/Pittsburgh Pirates/Carmen Mlodzinski
Carmen Mlodzinski

Carmen Mlodzinski

Pittsburgh Pirates•Pitcher•2026
4.31ERA85K102.4IP7.5K/929G
4.31ERA85K102.4IP7.5K/929G
90.9% HA O 4.550% BBA O 1.542.9% ER O 2.5
Season
Best Performer

Carmen Mlodzinski goes over 4.5 hits allowed 90.9% of the time (10-1)

Props — 202612 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

12g
avg 3.7
41.7%Over: 5-7
3vs O 3.5+176
vsTigers8/17
✗✗✗✗✗✗✓✓✓✗
H: 40%(5)A: 42.9%(7)

Earned Runs

12g
avg 2.8
58.3%Over: 7-5
4vs O 1.5-125
vsTigers8/17
✓✓✓✗✗✗✓✓✓✗
H: 0%(2)A: 60%(5)

Hits Allowed

12g
avg 6
91.7%Over: 11-1
8vs O 4.5+119
vsTigers8/17
✓✓✓✓✗✓✓✓✓✓
H: 100%(5)A: 83.3%(6)

Walks Allowed

12g
avg 1.7
50%Over: 6-6
1vs O 1.5+168
vsTigers8/17
✗✓✗✓✗✗✓✗✓✓
H: 50%(4)A: 50%(6)

Outs Recorded

12g
avg 13.1
25%Over: 3-9
9vs O 12.5+130
vsTigers8/17
✗✗✗✗✗✓✓✗✗✓
H: 0%(2)A: 0%(1)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(7%)
Total Matchups
55
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Mlodzinski's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 3.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 12.5
★★★★★66.7%(2-1)0%(0-2)100%(3-0)66.7%(2-1)—
★★★★★33.3%(1-2)66.7%(2-1)100%(3-0)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)
★★★★★0%(0-3)0%(0-1)66.7%(2-1)33.3%(1-2)0%(0-1)
★★★★★50%(1-1)—100%(1-0)0%(0-2)0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Framber Valdez
8/17

Current Tigers hitters have struck out 23.4% of the time against pitchers similar to Mlodzinski over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Tigers.

★★★★★vs Janson Junk
8/12

Current Marlins hitters are batting .250 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Mlodzinski over the last two years.

★★★★★vs Zac Thornton
8/7

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Mlodzinski have an ERA of 4.50 against the Mets over the last year.

Game Log

Bet
$
69-96-1 Over166 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/17vsTigersOuts RecordedO 11.59L-190
8/17vsTigersPitcher KsO 2.53W-149
8/17vsTigersEarned RunsO 1.54W-125
8/17vsTigersPitcher KsO 3.53L+176
8/17vsTigersPitcher KsO 5.53L+970
8/17vsTigersPitcher KsO 1.53W-469
8/17vsTigersPitcher KsO 6.53L+1350
8/17vsTigersPitcher KsO 4.53L+421
8/17vsTigersPitcher KsO 0.53W-3900
8/17vsTigersPitcher KsO 7.53L—
8/17vsTigersHits AllowedO 3.58W—
8/17vsTigersOuts RecordedO 12.59L+130
8/17vsTigersHits AllowedO 4.58W+119
8/17vsTigersOuts RecordedO 14.59L—
8/17vsTigersOuts RecordedO 8.59W—
8/17vsTigersWalks AllowedO 1.51L+168
8/17vsTigersPitcher KsO 33P—
8/12@MarlinsPitcher KsO 3.51L-107
8/12@MarlinsOuts RecordedO 13.57L—
8/12@MarlinsPitcher KsO 6.51L+1000
8/12@MarlinsHits AllowedO 4.55W-109
8/12@MarlinsEarned RunsO 2.54W—
8/12@MarlinsPitcher KsO 1.51L-900
8/12@MarlinsPitcher KsO 2.51L-270
8/12@MarlinsPitcher KsO 5.51L+463
8/12@MarlinsPitcher KsO 4.51L+207
8/12@MarlinsPitcher KsO 7.51L—
8/12@MarlinsPitcher KsO 8.51L—
8/12@MarlinsPitcher KsO 0.51W—
8/12@MarlinsWalks AllowedO 1.53W+154
8/12@MarlinsOuts RecordedO 11.57L—
8/12@MarlinsOuts RecordedO 14.57L—
8/12@MarlinsOuts RecordedO 17.57L—
8/12@MarlinsEarned RunsO 1.54W-154
8/12@MarlinsOuts RecordedO 12.57L+113
8/7vsMetsPitcher KsO 3.51L+150
8/7vsMetsOuts RecordedO 12.59L-103
8/7vsMetsPitcher KsO 6.51L+1660
8/7vsMetsPitcher KsO 7.51L—
8/7vsMetsPitcher KsO 5.51L+740
8/7vsMetsPitcher KsO 1.51L-610
8/7vsMetsPitcher KsO 4.51L+350
8/7vsMetsPitcher KsO 2.51L-165
8/7vsMetsPitcher KsO 0.51W—
8/7vsMetsEarned RunsO 1.55W-135
8/7vsMetsHits AllowedO 4.57W+120
8/7vsMetsOuts RecordedO 14.59L—
8/7vsMetsOuts RecordedO 8.59W—
8/7vsMetsOuts RecordedO 11.59L—
8/7vsMetsOuts RecordedO 17.59L—

Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates

View all
Bryan ReynoldsBrandon LoweNick GonzalesHenry DavisJake MangumRyan O'HearnJared TrioloMarcell OzunaSpencer HorwitzOneil CruzEsmerlyn ValdezKonnor GriffinJacob GonzalezJoey BartTyler Callihan

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Carmen Mlodzinski hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Carmen Mlodzinski hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 41.7% of the time in 2026, going 5-7 with an average actual of 3.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$463.
How often does Carmen Mlodzinski hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Carmen Mlodzinski hits the over on earned runs 2.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 3-4 with an average actual of 2.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$155.
How often does Carmen Mlodzinski hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Carmen Mlodzinski hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 90.9% of the time in 2026, going 10-1 with an average actual of 6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$873.
How often does Carmen Mlodzinski hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Carmen Mlodzinski hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 5-5 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$33.
How often does Carmen Mlodzinski hit the over on outs recorded 12.5?
Carmen Mlodzinski hits the over on outs recorded 12.5 0% of the time in 2026, going 0-3 with an average actual of 8.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$300.
What are Carmen Mlodzinski's best prop bets in 2026?
Carmen Mlodzinski's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 90.9% (10-1); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 50% (5-5); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 42.9% (3-4).

Carmen Mlodzinski 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.12 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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