Pittsburgh Pirates87.5% HA O 4.583.3% ER O 1.557.1% BBA O 1.5
Season
Best Performer
Carmen Mlodzinski goes over 4.5 hits allowed 87.5% of the time (7-1)
Props — 20269 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(13%)
Total Matchups
32Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Mlodzinski's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(3-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) | — | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Hurston Waldrep
7/7Current Braves have struck out just 6% of the time in their last 16 PA's against Mlodzinski.
★★★★★vs Cade Cavalli
7/5RHP's who have a similar repertoire to Mlodzinski have an ERA of 4.32 against the Nationals over the last 2 years.
★★★★★vs Carson Palmquist
7/4RHP's who have a similar repertoire to Mlodzinski have an ERA of 4.33 against the Nationals over the last 2 years.
Game Log
Bet
$
52-61 Over113 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/25 | vs Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -160 |
| 5/25 | vsCubs | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 15 | L | +105 |
| 5/25 | vsCubs | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +295 |
| 5/25 | vsCubs | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 2 | L | +1320 |
| 5/25 | vsCubs | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 2 | L | +640 |
| 5/25 | vsCubs | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +140 |
| 5/25 | vsCubs | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -400 |
| 5/25 | vsCubs | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -1900 |
| 5/25 | vsCubs | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +104 |
| 5/25 | vsCubs | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +113 |
| 5/25 | vsCubs | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +124 |
| 5/25 | vsCubs | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -140 |
| 5/25 | vsCubs | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +128 |
| 5/20 | @ Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 1 | L | +1320 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +288 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 1 | L | +610 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +133 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -174 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -460 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -1900 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 1 | L | +1780 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +125 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +110 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -185 |
| 5/20 | @Cardinals | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +102 |
| 5/8 | @ Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +116 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +253 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 1 | L | +1720 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -201 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -2400 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 1 | L | +1140 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +122 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +115 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 1 | L | +540 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -541 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 18 | W | -110 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -155 |
| 5/8 | @Giants | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -137 |
| 5/2 | vs Reds | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 17 | W | +131 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 10 | W | -122 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 10 | W | -750 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 10 | W | -292 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 10 | W | +172 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 10 | W | +360 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 10 | W | +760 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 10 | W | +1460 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -155 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 8 | W | +105 |
| 5/2 | vsReds | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 17 | W | -169 |
Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Carmen Mlodzinski hit the over on pitcher ks 2.5?
Carmen Mlodzinski hits the over on pitcher ks 2.5 55.6% of the time in 2026, going 5-4 with an average actual of 4.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$310.
How often does Carmen Mlodzinski hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Carmen Mlodzinski hits the over on earned runs 1.5 83.3% of the time in 2026, going 5-1 with an average actual of 3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$208.
How often does Carmen Mlodzinski hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Carmen Mlodzinski hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 87.5% of the time in 2026, going 7-1 with an average actual of 5.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$542.
How often does Carmen Mlodzinski hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Carmen Mlodzinski hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 4-3 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$87.
How often does Carmen Mlodzinski hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Carmen Mlodzinski hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 3-4 with an average actual of 15. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$48.
What are Carmen Mlodzinski's best prop bets in 2026?
Carmen Mlodzinski's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 87.5% (7-1); Earned Runs O 1.5 at 83.3% (5-1); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 57.1% (4-3).
Inside Edge