Washington Nationals68.8% HA O 4.557.9% K O 4.547.1% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Cade Cavalli propsProps — 202620 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
20g36.8%Over: 7-12-1
3vs O 2.5+125
vs
Pirates7/5
Pirates7/5✓✗✗✗P✓✓✗✗✗
H: 44.4%(9)A: 25%(8)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(5%)
Total Matchups
19Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Cavalli's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | — | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(5-5) | 44.4%(4-5) | 66.7%(6-3) | 44.4%(4-5) | 25%(2-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 20%(1-4) | 100%(4-0) | 40%(2-3) | 33.3%(1-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Bubba Chandler
7/5Current Pirates hitters have an OPS of .853 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Cavalli over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Connelly Early
6/30Current Red Sox hitters are batting .230 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Cavalli over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Cristopher Sánchez
6/25Phillies hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Cavalli.
Game Log
Bet
$
11-12-2 Over20g · 25 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5 | vsPirates | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +125 |
| 6/30 | @ Red Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +101 |
| 6/25 | vs Phillies | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 6/20 | @ Rays | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +115 |
| 6/20 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -162 |
| 6/19 | @Rays | O 2.5 | 0 | P | — |
| 6/19 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | P | -172 |
| 6/13 | vs Mariners | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +106 |
| 6/7 | @ Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +112 |
| 6/1 | vs Marlins | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +131 |
| 6/1 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -175 |
| 5/26 | @ Guardians | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -158 |
| 5/21 | vs Mets | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +121 |
| 5/21 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -172 |
| 5/16 | vs Orioles | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -103 |
| 5/10 | @Marlins | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +121 |
| 5/5 | vs Twins | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +107 |
| 4/29 | @Mets | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +123 |
| 4/29 | @Mets | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -162 |
| 4/23 | vs Braves | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +104 |
| 4/18 | vs Giants | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +119 |
| 4/13 | @Pirates | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -117 |
| 4/7 | vs Cardinals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -137 |
| 4/1 | @Phillies | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +105 |
| 3/26 | @ Cubs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -153 |
Washington Nationals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Cade Cavalli hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Cade Cavalli hits the over on earned runs 2.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 6-10-1 with an average actual of 2.1.
Is Cade Cavalli over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 20 games in 2026, betting $100 on Cade Cavalli over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$502 (-25.1% ROI). The hit rate is 37.5% with an average actual of 2.1.
What is Cade Cavalli's earned runs average this season?
Cade Cavalli averages 2.1 earned runs per game in 2026 across 20 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge