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Players/MLB/Washington Nationals/Cade Cavalli/Earned Runs
Cade Cavalli

Cade Cavalli

Washington Nationals•Pitcher•2026
3.28ERA162K140.1IP10.4K/927G
3.28ERA162K140.1IP10.4K/927G
60% HA O 4.555.6% OUT O 15.550% K O 5.5
Season
All Cade Cavalli props

Props — 202628 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

28g
avg 1.8
29.6%Over: 8-19-1
0vs O 2.5+129
@Rangers8/19
✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✓✗
H: 38.5%(13)A: 16.7%(12)
SeasonalityAll lines
20%
50%
29%
20%
25%
Apr
1-4
May
2-2
Jun
2-5
Jul
1-4
Aug
1-3
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(7%)
Total Matchups
27
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Cavalli's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 5.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 15.5
★★★★★100%(2-0)0%(0-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)100%(1-0)
★★★★★33.3%(1-2)33.3%(1-2)0%(0-2)0%(0-2)66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★41.7%(5-7)41.7%(5-7)70%(7-3)50%(6-6)25%(2-6)
★★★★★55.6%(5-4)11.1%(1-8)66.7%(4-2)37.5%(3-5)71.4%(5-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Kumar Rocker
8/19

Current Rangers hitters have an OPS of .683 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Cavalli over the last two years.

★★★★★vs Kevin Gausman
8/13

Several hitters in the Cubs lineup have a 5-star matchup against Cavalli today.

★★★★★vs Chase Petty
8/7

Reds hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Cavalli.

Game Log

Bet
$
12-20-2 Over28g · 34 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/19@RangersO 2.50L+129
8/19@RangersO 1.50L—
8/13vsCubsO 2.50L-112
8/7vsRedsO 2.53W+111
8/2@BravesO 2.52L+103
7/28vsBlue JaysO 2.52L+122
7/22@RockiesO 2.50L-155
7/17@AthleticsO 2.52L+100
7/12vsYankeesO 2.52L+110
7/5vsPiratesO 2.53W+125
6/30@Red SoxO 2.50L+101
6/25vsPhilliesO 2.52L+105
6/20@RaysO 2.52L+115
6/20@RaysO 1.52W-162
6/19@RaysO 2.50P—
6/19@RaysO 1.50P-172
6/13vsMarinersO 2.53W+106
6/7@DiamondbacksO 2.54W+112
6/1vsMarlinsO 2.52L+131
6/1vsMarlinsO 1.52W-175
5/26@GuardiansO 1.51L-158
5/21vsMetsO 2.52L+121
5/21vsMetsO 1.52W-172
5/16vsOriolesO 2.53W-103
5/10@MarlinsO 2.52L+121
5/5vsTwinsO 2.53W+107
4/29@MetsO 2.52L+123
4/29@MetsO 1.52W-162
4/23vsBravesO 2.52L+104
4/18vsGiantsO 2.51L+119
4/13@PiratesO 2.54W-117
4/7vsCardinalsO 1.51L-137
4/1@PhilliesO 2.51L+105
3/26@CubsO 1.52W-153

Washington Nationals Teammates

View all
CJ AbramsDaylen LileJacob YoungJames WoodKeibert RuizDylan CrewsJorbit VivasCurtis MeadBrady HouseDrew MillasAndrés ChaparroHarry FordJoey WiemerAbimelec OrtizFoster Griffin

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Cade Cavalli hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Cade Cavalli hits the over on earned runs 2.5 29.2% of the time in 2026, going 7-17-1 with an average actual of 1.9.
Is Cade Cavalli over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 28 games in 2026, betting $100 on Cade Cavalli over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$1,091 (-38.96% ROI). The hit rate is 29.2% with an average actual of 1.9.
What is Cade Cavalli's earned runs average this season?
Cade Cavalli averages 1.9 earned runs per game in 2026 across 28 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.

Cade Cavalli 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.28 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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