Inside Edge
Washington Nationals54.5% K O 4.554.5% HA O 4.550% OUT O 14.5
Season
All Cade Cavalli propsProps — 202611 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
11g36.4%Over: 4-7
2vs O 2.5+121
vs
Mets5/21
Mets5/21✗✓✗✓✗✗✗✓✗✗
H: 40%(5)A: 25%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Cavalli's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 50%(2-2) | 60%(3-2) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-3) | 100%(3-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs David Peterson
5/21Pitchers with similar repertoires to Cavalli have an ERA of 4.83 against the Mets over the last year.
★★★★★vs Chris Bassitt
5/16Orioles hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Cavalli.
★★★★★vs Sandy Alcantara
5/10Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.42 against the Marlins in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Marlins.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-7 Over11g · 13 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21 | vsMets | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +121 |
| 5/21 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -172 |
| 5/16 | vs Orioles | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -103 |
| 5/10 | @ Marlins | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +121 |
| 5/5 | vs Twins | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +107 |
| 4/29 | @Mets | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +123 |
| 4/29 | @Mets | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -162 |
| 4/23 | vs Braves | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +104 |
| 4/18 | vs Giants | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +119 |
| 4/13 | @ Pirates | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -117 |
| 4/7 | vs Cardinals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -137 |
| 4/1 | @ Phillies | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +105 |
| 3/26 | @ Cubs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -153 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Cade Cavalli hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Cade Cavalli hits the over on earned runs 2.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-6 with an average actual of 2.2.
Is Cade Cavalli over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 11 games in 2026, betting $100 on Cade Cavalli over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$345 (-31.36% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 2.2.
What is Cade Cavalli's earned runs average this season?
Cade Cavalli averages 2.2 earned runs per game in 2026 across 11 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.