Cade Cavalli

Cade Cavalli

Washington NationalsPitcher2026
Reg4.00 ERA / 61 K / 51.8 IP / 10.6 K/9 / 11G
54.5% K O 4.554.5% HA O 4.550% OUT O 14.5
Season
Best Performer

Cade Cavalli goes over 1.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (9-0)

Props — 202611 games with closing lines

avg 5.5
54.5%Over: 6-5
9vs O 4.5-152
vsMets5/21
H: 66.7%(6)A: 40%(5)
avg 2.1
36.4%Over: 4-7
2vs O 2.5+121
vsMets5/21
H: 40%(5)A: 25%(4)
avg 5.3
54.5%Over: 6-5
4vs O 4.5-155
vsMets5/21
H: 66.7%(6)A: 40%(5)
avg 1.7
45.5%Over: 5-6
1vs O 1.5+100
vsMets5/21
H: 33.3%(6)A: 66.7%(3)
avg 14
50%Over: 5-5
19vs O 15.5+111
vsOrioles5/16
H: 33.3%(3)A: 60%(5)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.1
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
10
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Cavalli's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 4.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 14.5
0%(0-2)50%(1-1)0%(0-2)0%(0-1)50%(1-1)
60%(3-2)50%(2-2)60%(3-2)50%(2-2)50%(1-1)
66.7%(2-1)0%(0-3)100%(3-0)33.3%(1-2)66.7%(2-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs David Peterson
5/21

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Cavalli have an ERA of 4.83 against the Mets over the last year.

vs Chris Bassitt
5/16

Orioles hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Cavalli.

vs Sandy Alcantara
5/10

Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.42 against the Marlins in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Marlins.

Game Log

Bet
$
72-64 Over136 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
5/21vsMetsPitcher KsO 3.59W-353
5/21vsMetsPitcher KsO 2.59W-930
5/21vsMetsPitcher KsO 5.59W+154
5/21vsMetsPitcher KsO 6.59W+320
5/21vsMetsPitcher KsO 4.59W-152
5/21vsMetsPitcher KsO 8.59W+870
5/21vsMetsPitcher KsO 1.59W-4100
5/21vsMetsPitcher KsO 7.59W+640
5/21vsMetsEarned RunsO 2.52L+121
5/21vsMetsHits AllowedO 5.54L+119
5/21vsMetsWalks AllowedO 1.51L+100
5/21vsMetsHits AllowedO 4.54L-155
5/21vsMetsEarned RunsO 1.52W-172
5/21vsMetsPitcher KsO 9.59L+1560
5/16vsOriolesPitcher KsO 4.58W-140
5/16vsOriolesPitcher KsO 3.58W-325
5/16vsOriolesPitcher KsO 2.58W-800
5/16vsOriolesPitcher KsO 7.58W+640
5/16vsOriolesPitcher KsO 5.58W+158
5/16vsOriolesPitcher KsO 6.58W+320
5/16vsOriolesPitcher KsO 8.58L+1060
5/16vsOriolesHits AllowedO 4.58W-155
5/16vsOriolesEarned RunsO 2.53W-103
5/16vsOriolesHits AllowedO 5.58W+125
5/16vsOriolesOuts RecordedO 15.519W+111
5/16vsOriolesWalks AllowedO 1.50L-179
5/10@MarlinsPitcher KsO 2.54W-482
5/10@MarlinsPitcher KsO 4.54L+110
5/10@MarlinsPitcher KsO 7.54L+830
5/10@MarlinsPitcher KsO 6.54L+433
5/10@MarlinsPitcher KsO 5.54L+224
5/10@MarlinsPitcher KsO 3.54W-196
5/10@MarlinsOuts RecordedO 14.517W-164
5/10@MarlinsPitcher KsO 8.54L+1560
5/10@MarlinsPitcher KsO 1.54W-1840
5/10@MarlinsPitcher KsO 9.54L+1780
5/10@MarlinsEarned RunsO 2.52L+121
5/10@MarlinsHits AllowedO 4.54L-165
5/10@MarlinsOuts RecordedO 15.517W+120
5/10@MarlinsHits AllowedO 5.54L+127
5/10@MarlinsWalks AllowedO 1.51L-150
5/5vsTwinsOuts RecordedO 15.512L+120
5/5vsTwinsPitcher KsO 4.52L+170
5/5vsTwinsPitcher KsO 2.52L-750
5/5vsTwinsPitcher KsO 3.52L-275
5/5vsTwinsPitcher KsO 5.52L+194
5/5vsTwinsPitcher KsO 6.52L+390
5/5vsTwinsPitcher KsO 7.52L+750
5/5vsTwinsPitcher KsO 8.52L+1480
5/5vsTwinsEarned RunsO 2.53W+107

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Cade Cavalli hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Cade Cavalli hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 54.5% of the time in 2026, going 6-5 with an average actual of 5.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$246.
How often does Cade Cavalli hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Cade Cavalli hits the over on earned runs 2.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-6 with an average actual of 2.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$310.
How often does Cade Cavalli hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Cade Cavalli hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 54.5% of the time in 2026, going 6-5 with an average actual of 5.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$94.
How often does Cade Cavalli hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Cade Cavalli hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-5 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$228.
How often does Cade Cavalli hit the over on outs recorded 14.5?
Cade Cavalli hits the over on outs recorded 14.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 4-4 with an average actual of 13.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$134.
What are Cade Cavalli's best prop bets in 2026?
Cade Cavalli's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 54.5% (6-5); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 54.5% (6-5); Outs Recorded O 14.5 at 50% (4-4).

Cade Cavalli 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.11 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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Cade Cavalli 2026 Props | LineTerminal