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Players/MLB/Washington Nationals/Cade Cavalli
Cade Cavalli

Cade Cavalli

Washington Nationals•Pitcher•2026
3.28ERA162K140.1IP10.4K/927G
3.28ERA162K140.1IP10.4K/927G
60% HA O 4.555.6% OUT O 15.550% K O 5.5
Season
Best Performer

Cade Cavalli goes over 4.5 hits allowed 60% of the time (12-8-1)

Props — 202628 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

28g
avg 5.8
48.1%Over: 13-14-1
11vs O 5.5-148
@Rangers8/19
✓✓✓✗✗✓✓✗✗✓
H: 53.8%(13)A: 42.9%(14)

Earned Runs

28g
avg 1.8
29.6%Over: 8-19-1
0vs O 2.5+129
@Rangers8/19
✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✓✗
H: 38.5%(13)A: 16.7%(12)

Hits Allowed

28g
avg 4.7
51.9%Over: 14-13-1
3vs O 4.5-138
@Rangers8/19
✗✗✓✓✓✗✗✗✓✗
H: 63.6%(11)A: 50%(10)

Walks Allowed

27g
avg 1.5
46.2%Over: 12-14-1
1vs O 1.5-166
@Rangers8/19
✗✓✓✗✓✗✗✓✗✗
H: 50%(14)A: 36.4%(11)

Outs Recorded

27g
avg 15.1
61.5%Over: 16-10-1
18vs O 14.5
@Rangers8/19
✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✗✓
H: 44.4%(9)A: 60%(10)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(7%)
Total Matchups
27
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Cavalli's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 5.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 15.5
★★★★★100%(2-0)0%(0-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)100%(1-0)
★★★★★33.3%(1-2)33.3%(1-2)0%(0-2)0%(0-2)66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★41.7%(5-7)41.7%(5-7)70%(7-3)50%(6-6)25%(2-6)
★★★★★55.6%(5-4)11.1%(1-8)66.7%(4-2)37.5%(3-5)71.4%(5-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Kumar Rocker
8/19

Current Rangers hitters have an OPS of .683 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Cavalli over the last two years.

★★★★★vs Kevin Gausman
8/13

Several hitters in the Cubs lineup have a 5-star matchup against Cavalli today.

★★★★★vs Chase Petty
8/7

Reds hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Cavalli.

Game Log

Bet
$
206-184-14 Over404 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/19@RangersEarned RunsO 2.50L+129
8/19@RangersOuts RecordedO 17.518W-144
8/19@RangersHits AllowedO 4.53L-138
8/19@RangersPitcher KsO 5.511W-148
8/19@RangersPitcher KsO 6.511W+134
8/19@RangersPitcher KsO 3.511W-900
8/19@RangersPitcher KsO 2.511W-4500
8/19@RangersPitcher KsO 4.511W-350
8/19@RangersPitcher KsO 1.511W—
8/19@RangersPitcher KsO 8.511W+540
8/19@RangersPitcher KsO 9.511W+910
8/19@RangersPitcher KsO 7.511W+280
8/19@RangersPitcher KsO 10.511W+1620
8/19@RangersWalks AllowedO 1.51L-166
8/19@RangersOuts RecordedO 14.518W—
8/19@RangersOuts RecordedO 20.518L—
8/19@RangersPitcher KsO 611W—
8/19@RangersEarned RunsO 1.50L—
8/19@RangersPitcher KsO 11.511L—
8/13vsCubsPitcher KsO 3.510W-500
8/13vsCubsPitcher KsO 6.510W+215
8/13vsCubsPitcher KsO 2.510W-1580
8/13vsCubsPitcher KsO 4.510W-208
8/13vsCubsPitcher KsO 5.510W+108
8/13vsCubsPitcher KsO 7.510W+445
8/13vsCubsPitcher KsO 1.510W—
8/13vsCubsPitcher KsO 8.510W+890
8/13vsCubsPitcher KsO 9.510W+1700
8/13vsCubsEarned RunsO 2.50L-112
8/13vsCubsOuts RecordedO 15.524W-125
8/13vsCubsHits AllowedO 5.51L+120
8/13vsCubsPitcher KsO 10.510L—
8/13vsCubsOuts RecordedO 20.524W—
8/13vsCubsOuts RecordedO 17.524W—
8/13vsCubsOuts RecordedO 14.524W—
8/13vsCubsOuts RecordedO 16.524W-110
8/13vsCubsHits AllowedO 4.51L-160
8/13vsCubsWalks AllowedO 1.52W-184
8/13vsCubsPitcher KsO 510W—
8/7vsRedsPitcher KsO 5.58W-165
8/7vsRedsWalks AllowedO 1.52W-133
8/7vsRedsHits AllowedO 4.57W-150
8/7vsRedsOuts RecordedO 17.518W-110
8/7vsRedsEarned RunsO 2.53W+111
8/7vsRedsPitcher KsO 6.58W+110
8/7vsRedsPitcher KsO 3.58W-750
8/7vsRedsPitcher KsO 9.58L+750
8/7vsRedsPitcher KsO 2.58W-3600
8/7vsRedsPitcher KsO 8.58L+430
8/7vsRedsPitcher KsO 4.58W-325

Washington Nationals Teammates

View all
CJ AbramsDaylen LileJacob YoungJames WoodKeibert RuizDylan CrewsJorbit VivasCurtis MeadBrady HouseDrew MillasAndrés ChaparroHarry FordJoey WiemerAbimelec OrtizFoster Griffin

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Cade Cavalli hit the over on pitcher ks 5.5?
Cade Cavalli hits the over on pitcher ks 5.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 13-13-1 with an average actual of 5.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$761.
How often does Cade Cavalli hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Cade Cavalli hits the over on earned runs 2.5 29.2% of the time in 2026, going 7-17-1 with an average actual of 1.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$956.
How often does Cade Cavalli hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Cade Cavalli hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 12-8-1 with an average actual of 4.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$10.
How often does Cade Cavalli hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Cade Cavalli hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 45.8% of the time in 2026, going 11-13-1 with an average actual of 1.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$470.
How often does Cade Cavalli hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Cade Cavalli hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 55.6% of the time in 2026, going 10-8-1 with an average actual of 14.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$305.
What are Cade Cavalli's best prop bets in 2026?
Cade Cavalli's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 60% (12-8); Outs Recorded O 15.5 at 55.6% (10-8); Pitcher Ks O 5.5 at 50% (13-13).

Cade Cavalli 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.28 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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