Cade Cavalli

Washington NationalsPitcher•2026

Reg4.00 ERA / 105 K / 90.1 IP / 10.5 K/9 / 19G

68.8% HA O 4.557.9% K O 4.547.1% BBA O 1.5

Season

Best Performer

Cade Cavalli goes over 1.5 pitcher ks 92.9% of the time (13-1-1)

Props — 202620 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

20g

avg 5.3

57.9%Over: 11-8-1

3vs O 4.5-325

Pirates7/5

✗✓✓✗P✓✗✓✓✓

H: 70%(10)A: 40%(10)

Earned Runs

20g

avg 2

36.8%Over: 7-12-1

3vs O 2.5+125

Pirates7/5

✓✗✗✗P✓✓✗✗✗

H: 44.4%(9)A: 25%(8)

Hits Allowed

20g

avg 4.9

57.9%Over: 11-8-1

6vs O 4.5-165

Pirates7/5

✓✗✗✓P✗✓✓✓✗

H: 75%(8)A: 55.6%(9)

Walks Allowed

20g

avg 1.6

47.4%Over: 9-10-1

2vs O 1.5-116

Pirates7/5

✓✗✗✓P✗✗✓✓✗

H: 40%(10)A: 50%(8)

Outs Recorded

19g

avg 13.5

44.4%Over: 8-10-1

7vs O 15.5

Pirates7/5

✗✓✓✗P✗✗✗✓✓

H: 28.6%(7)A: 50%(8)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.2★★★★★

5-Star Games

1(5%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Cavalli's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 4.5	Earned RunsO 2.5	Hits AllowedO 4.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5	Outs RecordedO 15.5
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	—	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)
★★★★★	33.3%(1-2)	33.3%(1-2)	0%(0-2)	0%(0-2)	66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★	50%(5-5)	44.4%(4-5)	66.7%(6-3)	44.4%(4-5)	25%(2-6)
★★★★★	60%(3-2)	20%(1-4)	100%(4-0)	40%(2-3)	33.3%(1-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Bubba Chandler

7/5

Current Pirates hitters have an OPS of .853 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Cavalli over the last two years.

★★★★★vs Connelly Early

6/30

Current Red Sox hitters are batting .230 against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Cavalli over the last two years.

★★★★★vs Cristopher Sánchez

6/25

Phillies hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Cavalli.

Game Log

Bet

124-126-14 Over264 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/5	vsPirates	Outs Recorded	O 16.5	7	L	-117
7/5	vsPirates	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	6	W	+110
7/5	vsPirates	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	2	W	-116
7/5	vsPirates	Earned Runs	O 2.5	3	W	+125
7/5	vsPirates	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	3	L	+730
7/5	vsPirates	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	3	L	+126
7/5	vsPirates	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	3	W	—
7/5	vsPirates	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	3	W	-2800
7/5	vsPirates	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	3	L	-155
7/5	vsPirates	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	3	L	-800
7/5	vsPirates	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	3	L	+470
7/5	vsPirates	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	3	L	+250
7/5	vsPirates	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	3	L	-325
7/5	vsPirates	Outs Recorded	O 17.5	7	L	+101
7/5	vsPirates	Pitcher Ks	O 10.5	3	L	+1340
7/5	vsPirates	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	6	W	-165
7/5	vsPirates	Outs Recorded	O 15.5	7	L	—
6/30	@Red Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	13	W	+680
6/30	@Red Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	13	W	+154
6/30	@Red Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	13	W	+323
6/30	@Red Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	13	W	-960
6/30	@Red Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	13	W	-340
6/30	@Red Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	13	W	-130
6/30	@Red Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	13	W	+1420
6/30	@Red Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	13	W	—
6/30	@Red Sox	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	13	W	—
6/30	@Red Sox	Earned Runs	O 2.5	0	L	+101
6/30	@Red Sox	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	1	L	-111
6/30	@Red Sox	Outs Recorded	O 15.5	21	W	-105
6/30	@Red Sox	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	0	L	-108
6/25	vsPhillies	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	7	W	-144
6/25	vsPhillies	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	7	W	+320
6/25	vsPhillies	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	7	W	-325
6/25	vsPhillies	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	7	W	-900
6/25	vsPhillies	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	7	W	+162
6/25	vsPhillies	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	7	L	+640
6/25	vsPhillies	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	7	W	—
6/25	vsPhillies	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	7	L	—
6/25	vsPhillies	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	7	L	+1360
6/25	vsPhillies	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	5	L	+110
6/25	vsPhillies	Outs Recorded	O 15.5	18	W	+126
6/25	vsPhillies	Earned Runs	O 2.5	2	L	+105
6/25	vsPhillies	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	1	L	-102
6/25	vsPhillies	Outs Recorded	O 14.5	18	W	-170
6/20	@Rays	Outs Recorded	O 16.5	8	L	—
6/20	@Rays	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	3	W	-111
6/20	@Rays	Earned Runs	O 2.5	2	L	+115
6/20	@Rays	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	6	W	—
6/20	@Rays	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	1	L	-110
6/20	@Rays	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	1	L	-650

Washington Nationals Teammates

View all

James Wood CJ Abrams Daylen Lile Jacob Young Keibert Ruiz Curtis Mead Jorbit Vivas Drew Millas Dylan Crews Brady House Joey Wiemer Andrés Chaparro Foster Griffin Zack Littell Miles Mikolas

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Cade Cavalli hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?

Cade Cavalli hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 57.9% of the time in 2026, going 11-8-1 with an average actual of 5.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$269.

How often does Cade Cavalli hit the over on earned runs 2.5?

Cade Cavalli hits the over on earned runs 2.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 6-10-1 with an average actual of 2.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$367.

How often does Cade Cavalli hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?

Cade Cavalli hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 68.8% of the time in 2026, going 11-5-1 with an average actual of 5.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$244.

How often does Cade Cavalli hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?

Cade Cavalli hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 47.1% of the time in 2026, going 8-9-1 with an average actual of 1.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$310.

How often does Cade Cavalli hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?

Cade Cavalli hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 6-8-1 with an average actual of 13.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$44.

What are Cade Cavalli's best prop bets in 2026?

Cade Cavalli's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 68.8% (11-5); Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 57.9% (11-8); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 47.1% (8-9).