Inside Edge
Atlanta Braves70% K O 4.562.5% OUT O 17.555.6% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Bryce Elder propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g30%Over: 3-7
3vs O 2.5+120
vs
Red Sox5/16
Red Sox5/16✓✗✗✗✓✓✗✗✗✗
H: 33.3%(6)A: 25%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(10%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Elder's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Payton Tolle
5/16Right-handed starters have an ERA of 2.05 against the Red Sox in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Red Sox.
★★★★★vs Justin Wrobleski
5/10Pitchers with similar repertoires to Elder have an ERA of 4.94 against the Dodgers over the last year.
★★★★★vs George Kirby
5/5Mariners hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Elder.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-7 Over10g · 10 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/16 | vsRed Sox | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +120 |
| 5/10 | @ Dodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -140 |
| 5/5 | @ Mariners | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -108 |
| 4/30 | vs Tigers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +102 |
| 4/25 | vs Phillies | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +106 |
| 4/20 | @ Nationals | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +125 |
| 4/15 | vs Marlins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +101 |
| 4/10 | vs Guardians | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +119 |
| 4/4 | @ Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -128 |
| 3/30 | vs Athletics | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +108 |
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Bryce Elder hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Bryce Elder hits the over on earned runs 2.5 30% of the time in 2026, going 3-7 with an average actual of 1.4.
Is Bryce Elder over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Bryce Elder over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$250 (-25% ROI). The hit rate is 30% with an average actual of 1.4.
What is Bryce Elder's earned runs average this season?
Bryce Elder averages 1.4 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.