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Players/MLB/Atlanta Braves/Bryce Elder
Bryce Elder

Bryce Elder

Atlanta Braves•Pitcher•2026
4.00ERA113K135.1IP7.5K/924G
4.00ERA113K135.1IP7.5K/924G
57.9% OUT O 17.556.5% BBA O 1.545.8% K O 4.5
Season
Best Performer

Bryce Elder goes over 17.5 outs recorded 57.9% of the time (11-8)

Props — 202624 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

24g
avg 4.7
45.8%Over: 11-13
5vs O 4.5+158
vsDiamondbacks8/16
✓✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✓✗
H: 40%(15)A: 55.6%(9)

Earned Runs

24g
avg 2.5
41.7%Over: 10-14
1vs O 2.5-117
vsDiamondbacks8/16
✗✓✗✗✗✗✓✓✓✓
H: 33.3%(15)A: 55.6%(9)

Hits Allowed

24g
avg 5.2
33.3%Over: 8-16
4vs O 5.5-107
vsDiamondbacks8/16
✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✓✓
H: 40%(15)A: 22.2%(9)

Walks Allowed

24g
avg 1.9
58.3%Over: 14-10
1vs O 1.5-183
vsDiamondbacks8/16
✗✓✓✓✓✗✓✗✓✓
H: 53.3%(15)A: 62.5%(8)

Outs Recorded

22g
avg 17.1
59.1%Over: 13-9
18vs O 17.5-104
vsDiamondbacks8/16
✓✗✓✓✗✓✗✗✓✗
H: 75%(12)A: 28.6%(7)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(9%)
Total Matchups
23
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Elder's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 4.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 17.5
★★★★★50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)0%(0-2)
★★★★★66.7%(2-1)33.3%(1-2)33.3%(1-2)66.7%(2-1)66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★16.7%(1-5)50%(3-3)33.3%(2-4)83.3%(5-1)40%(2-3)
★★★★★100%(4-0)75%(3-1)50%(2-2)50%(2-2)100%(3-0)
★★★★★37.5%(3-5)25%(2-6)25%(2-6)42.9%(3-4)66.7%(4-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Michael Soroka
8/16

Diamondbacks hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Elder.

★★★★★vs Christian Scott
8/10

Mets hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Elder.

★★★★★vs Eury Pérez
8/5

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Elder have an ERA of 4.92 against the Marlins over the last year.

Game Log

Bet
$
160-170 Over330 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/16vsDiamondbacksPitcher KsO 4.55W+158
8/16vsDiamondbacksPitcher KsO 3.55W-142
8/16vsDiamondbacksPitcher KsO 2.55W-380
8/16vsDiamondbacksPitcher KsO 5.55L+360
8/16vsDiamondbacksPitcher KsO 6.55L+750
8/16vsDiamondbacksPitcher KsO 7.55L+1520
8/16vsDiamondbacksPitcher KsO 1.55W-1460
8/16vsDiamondbacksPitcher KsO 8.55L—
8/16vsDiamondbacksOuts RecordedO 17.518W-104
8/16vsDiamondbacksHits AllowedO 5.54L-107
8/16vsDiamondbacksWalks AllowedO 1.51L-183
8/16vsDiamondbacksEarned RunsO 2.51L-117
8/16vsDiamondbacksPitcher KsO 0.55W—
8/16vsDiamondbacksPitcher KsO 45W—
8/16vsDiamondbacksOuts RecordedO 16.518W—
8/16vsDiamondbacksOuts RecordedO 20.518L—
8/16vsDiamondbacksOuts RecordedO 14.518W—
8/10vsMetsPitcher KsO 6.54L+468
8/10vsMetsPitcher KsO 4.54L+102
8/10vsMetsHits AllowedO 5.510W+103
8/10vsMetsPitcher KsO 3.54W-220
8/10vsMetsWalks AllowedO 1.53W-101
8/10vsMetsOuts RecordedO 17.515L-120
8/10vsMetsPitcher KsO 7.54L+980
8/10vsMetsPitcher KsO 2.54W-525
8/10vsMetsPitcher KsO 1.54W-2600
8/10vsMetsPitcher KsO 5.54L+219
8/10vsMetsEarned RunsO 2.57W+105
8/10vsMetsPitcher KsO 8.54L—
8/10vsMetsPitcher KsO 9.54L—
8/10vsMetsPitcher KsO 0.54W—
8/10vsMetsOuts RecordedO 20.515L—
8/10vsMetsOuts RecordedO 14.515W—
8/5vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 6.53L+340
8/5vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 5.53L+165
8/5vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 2.53W-650
8/5vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 4.53L-120
8/5vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 3.53L-250
8/5vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 7.53L+750
8/5vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 10.53L—
8/5vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 9.53L—
8/5vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 1.53W—
8/5vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 8.53L+1420
8/5vsMarlinsHits AllowedO 5.51L+107
8/5vsMarlinsOuts RecordedO 16.521W-132
8/5vsMarlinsWalks AllowedO 1.52W-116
8/5vsMarlinsEarned RunsO 2.51L+100
8/5vsMarlinsOuts RecordedO 14.521W—
8/5vsMarlinsOuts RecordedO 20.521W—
8/5vsMarlinsOuts RecordedO 17.521W+105

Atlanta Braves Teammates

View all
Matt OlsonAustin RileyOzzie AlbiesMichael Harris IIDrake BaldwinMike YastrzemskiLane ThomasJonah HeimDominic SmithJorge MateoEli WhiteHa-Seong KimJoey BartAustin WynnsSandy León

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Bryce Elder hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Bryce Elder hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 45.8% of the time in 2026, going 11-13 with an average actual of 4.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$119.
How often does Bryce Elder hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Bryce Elder hits the over on earned runs 2.5 41.7% of the time in 2026, going 10-14 with an average actual of 2.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$306.
How often does Bryce Elder hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Bryce Elder hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 8-16 with an average actual of 5.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$708.
How often does Bryce Elder hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Bryce Elder hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 56.5% of the time in 2026, going 13-10 with an average actual of 1.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$75.
How often does Bryce Elder hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Bryce Elder hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 57.9% of the time in 2026, going 11-8 with an average actual of 17.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$224.
What are Bryce Elder's best prop bets in 2026?
Bryce Elder's highest-hitting props in 2026: Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 57.9% (11-8); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 56.5% (13-10); Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 45.8% (11-13).

Bryce Elder 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.24 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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