Washington Nationals63.6% K O 3.550% HA O 5.550% BBA O 1.5
Best Performer
Brad Lord goes over 4.5 hits allowed 85.7% of the time (6-1)
Props — 202517 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
5(6%)
Total Matchups
77Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Lord's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(4-3) | 33.3%(2-4) | 33.3%(1-2) | 57.1%(4-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/28Right-handed starters with above-average groundball rates had an ERA of 3.12 against the White Sox since last year, but other matchup data favors the White Sox.
★★★★★
9/23Braves hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Lord.
★★★★★
9/17Current Braves hitters are batting .274 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Lord over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
36-31 Over67 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/28 | vs White Sox | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -105 |
| 9/28 | vsWhite Sox | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +115 |
| 9/28 | vsWhite Sox | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +110 |
| 9/23 | @ Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -101 |
| 9/23 | @Braves | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -125 |
| 9/23 | @Braves | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +111 |
| 9/23 | @Braves | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -189 |
| 9/17 | vsBraves | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -106 |
| 9/17 | vsBraves | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 9/17 | vsBraves | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +115 |
| 9/17 | vsBraves | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -152 |
| 9/12 | vs Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -126 |
| 9/12 | vsPirates | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +125 |
| 9/12 | vsPirates | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +126 |
| 9/12 | vsPirates | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -158 |
| 9/12 | vsPirates | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -140 |
| 9/6 | @ Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +116 |
| 9/6 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -160 |
| 9/6 | @Cubs | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -135 |
| 9/6 | @Cubs | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +100 |
| 9/6 | @Cubs | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +115 |
| 8/31 | vs Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -110 |
| 8/31 | vsRays | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 7 | W | +115 |
| 8/31 | vsRays | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +120 |
| 8/31 | vsRays | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -110 |
| 8/25 | @ Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +115 |
| 8/25 | @Yankees | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -135 |
| 8/25 | @Yankees | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -155 |
| 8/25 | @Yankees | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 8/20 | vs Mets | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -125 |
| 8/20 | vsMets | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -105 |
| 8/20 | vsMets | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +125 |
| 8/20 | vsMets | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -170 |
| 8/20 | vsMets | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -165 |
| 8/14 | vs Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -146 |
| 8/14 | vsPhillies | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 8/14 | vsPhillies | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -165 |
| 8/14 | vsPhillies | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +115 |
| 8/14 | vsPhillies | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -180 |
| 8/9 | @ Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -115 |
| 8/9 | @Giants | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +105 |
| 8/9 | @Giants | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -160 |
| 8/9 | @Giants | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -170 |
| 8/3 | vs Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 6 | W | +124 |
| 8/3 | vsBrewers | Hits Allowed | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -140 |
| 8/3 | vsBrewers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +150 |
| 8/3 | vsBrewers | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -110 |
| 7/28 | @ Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -110 |
| 7/28 | @Astros | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -118 |
| 7/28 | @Astros | Hits Allowed | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -135 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Brad Lord hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Brad Lord hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 63.6% of the time in 2025, going 7-4 with an average actual of 3.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$269.
How often does Brad Lord hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Brad Lord hits the over on earned runs 2.5 41.7% of the time in 2025, going 5-7 with an average actual of 3.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$176.
How often does Brad Lord hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Brad Lord hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 50% of the time in 2025, going 4-4 with an average actual of 5.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$81.
How often does Brad Lord hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Brad Lord hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 50% of the time in 2025, going 6-6 with an average actual of 1.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$38.
What are Brad Lord's best prop bets in 2025?
Brad Lord's highest-hitting props in 2025: Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 63.6% (7-4); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 50% (4-4); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 50% (6-6).
Inside Edge