Inside Edge
Minnesota Twins60% K O 2.560% OUT O 17.555.6% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Bailey Ober propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g50%Over: 5-5
3vs O 2.5+111
vs
Brewers5/17
Brewers5/17✓✗✓✗✗✗✓✗✓✓
H: 42.9%(7)A: 66.7%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Ober's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) | 0%(0-4) | 100%(1-0) | 75%(3-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(2-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
5/17Pitchers with similar repertoires to Ober have an ERA of 4.51 against the Brewers over the last year.
★★★★★vs Eury Perez
5/12Pitchers with similar repertoires to Ober have an ERA of 5.28 against the Marlins over the last year.
★★★★★vs Miles Mikolas
5/6Nationals hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Ober.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-5 Over10g · 12 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/17 | vsBrewers | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +111 |
| 5/12 | vs Marlins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -119 |
| 5/6 | @ Nationals | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -147 |
| 5/6 | @Nationals | O 3.5 | 5 | W | +115 |
| 4/30 | vs Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +102 |
| 4/25 | @ Rays | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -117 |
| 4/19 | vs Reds | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -105 |
| 4/13 | vs Red Sox | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -115 |
| 4/8 | vs Tigers | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -105 |
| 4/3 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -154 |
| 4/3 | vsRays | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +125 |
| 3/29 | @ Orioles | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -113 |
Minnesota Twins Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Bailey Ober hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Bailey Ober hits the over on earned runs 2.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 5-5 with an average actual of 2.3.
Is Bailey Ober over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Bailey Ober over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$21 (-2.1% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 2.3.
What is Bailey Ober's earned runs average this season?
Bailey Ober averages 2.3 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.