Bailey Ober

Bailey Ober

Minnesota TwinsPitcher2026
Reg4.67 ERA / 46 K / 65.5 IP / 6.3 K/9 / 12G
66.7% K O 2.560% OUT O 17.558.3% ER O 2.5
Season
Best Performer

Bailey Ober goes over 1.5 pitcher ks 90% of the time (9-1)

Props — 202612 games with closing lines

avg 3.8
66.7%Over: 8-4
3vs O 2.5-400
@Pirates5/30
H: 57.1%(7)A: 80%(5)
avg 2.8
58.3%Over: 7-5
7vs O 2.5-120
@Pirates5/30
H: 42.9%(7)A: 80%(5)
avg 5.3
50%Over: 6-6
12vs O 5.5+108
@Pirates5/30
H: 50%(6)A: 33.3%(3)
avg 1.5
45.5%Over: 5-6
1vs O 1.5-145
@Pirates5/30
H: 50%(6)A: 40%(5)
avg 16.8
54.5%Over: 6-5
14vs O 16.5-106
@Pirates5/30
H: 66.7%(3)A: 50%(2)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.3
5-Star Games
1(8%)
Total Matchups
12
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Ober's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 2.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 17.5
100%(1-0)100%(1-0)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)
80%(4-1)60%(3-2)0%(0-4)60%(3-2)100%(1-0)
50%(1-1)50%(1-1)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)50%(1-1)
50%(2-2)50%(2-2)66.7%(2-1)50%(2-2)50%(1-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Mitch Keller
5/30

Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Ober have an ERA of 3.67 against the Pirates since last year.

vs Sonny Gray
5/24

Right-handed starters have an ERA of 2.30 against the Red Sox in the past 30 days.

5/17

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Ober have an ERA of 4.51 against the Brewers over the last year.

Game Log

Bet
$
61-82 Over143 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
5/30@PiratesOuts RecordedO 16.514L-106
5/30@PiratesPitcher KsO 6.53L+700
5/30@PiratesPitcher KsO 7.53L+1380
5/30@PiratesPitcher KsO 1.53W-1580
5/30@PiratesPitcher KsO 2.53W-400
5/30@PiratesPitcher KsO 4.53L+154
5/30@PiratesPitcher KsO 3.53L-155
5/30@PiratesPitcher KsO 5.53L+320
5/30@PiratesHits AllowedO 5.512W+108
5/30@PiratesEarned RunsO 2.57W-120
5/30@PiratesOuts RecordedO 15.514L-131
5/30@PiratesWalks AllowedO 1.51L-145
5/24@Red SoxPitcher KsO 2.53W-471
5/24@Red SoxPitcher KsO 1.53W-1920
5/24@Red SoxPitcher KsO 7.53L+1260
5/24@Red SoxPitcher KsO 4.53L+130
5/24@Red SoxPitcher KsO 3.53L-178
5/24@Red SoxPitcher KsO 6.53L+597
5/24@Red SoxPitcher KsO 5.53L+279
5/24@Red SoxEarned RunsO 2.54W-102
5/24@Red SoxHits AllowedO 5.57W+115
5/24@Red SoxWalks AllowedO 1.50L-113
5/24@Red SoxHits AllowedO 4.57W-153
5/17vsBrewersPitcher KsO 1.51L-2300
5/17vsBrewersPitcher KsO 2.51L-517
5/17vsBrewersPitcher KsO 4.51L+121
5/17vsBrewersOuts RecordedO 17.515L-130
5/17vsBrewersPitcher KsO 7.51L+1160
5/17vsBrewersPitcher KsO 6.51L+580
5/17vsBrewersPitcher KsO 3.51L-191
5/17vsBrewersPitcher KsO 5.51L+270
5/17vsBrewersHits AllowedO 4.56W-161
5/17vsBrewersEarned RunsO 2.53W+111
5/12vsMarlinsOuts RecordedO 17.527W-105
5/12vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 4.57W+135
5/12vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 7.57L+1240
5/12vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 2.57W-400
5/12vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 1.57W-1820
5/12vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 3.57W-160
5/12vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 6.57W+630
5/12vsMarlinsPitcher KsO 5.57W+280
5/12vsMarlinsEarned RunsO 2.50L-119
5/12vsMarlinsHits AllowedO 5.52L+120
5/12vsMarlinsWalks AllowedO 1.50L-151
5/6@NationalsOuts RecordedO 17.515L-112
5/6@NationalsPitcher KsO 3.53L-144
5/6@NationalsPitcher KsO 1.53W-1560
5/6@NationalsPitcher KsO 2.53W-408
5/6@NationalsPitcher KsO 4.53L+154
5/6@NationalsPitcher KsO 5.53L+320

Minnesota Twins Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Bailey Ober hit the over on pitcher ks 2.5?
Bailey Ober hits the over on pitcher ks 2.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 8-4 with an average actual of 3.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$223.
How often does Bailey Ober hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Bailey Ober hits the over on earned runs 2.5 58.3% of the time in 2026, going 7-5 with an average actual of 2.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$161.
How often does Bailey Ober hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Bailey Ober hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-5 with an average actual of 4.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$229.
How often does Bailey Ober hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Bailey Ober hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 45.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-6 with an average actual of 1.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$150.
How often does Bailey Ober hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Bailey Ober hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 3-2 with an average actual of 18.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$87.
What are Bailey Ober's best prop bets in 2026?
Bailey Ober's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 2.5 at 66.7% (8-4); Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 60% (3-2); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 58.3% (7-5).

Bailey Ober 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.12 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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