Season
Best Performer
Bailey Ober goes over 2.5 earned runs 53.3% of the time (8-7)
Props — 202615 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(7%)
Total Matchups
14Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Ober's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(3-3) | 50%(3-3) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(4-2) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 50%(2-2) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Slade Cecconi
7/22Current Guardians hitters are batting .245 against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Ober over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Colin Rea
7/17Current Cubs hitters have struck out 23.7% of the time against pitchers similar to Ober over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Cubs.
★★★★★vs Mitch Keller
5/30Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Ober have an ERA of 3.67 against the Pirates since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
82-107 Over189 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/22 | @ Guardians | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -110 |
| 7/22 | @Guardians | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -167 |
| 7/22 | @Guardians | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 2 | L | +1740 |
| 7/22 | @Guardians | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -130 |
| 7/22 | @Guardians | Pitcher Ks | O 0.5 | 2 | W | — |
| 7/22 | @Guardians | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +186 |
| 7/22 | @Guardians | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -1480 |
| 7/22 | @Guardians | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +430 |
| 7/22 | @Guardians | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -325 |
| 7/22 | @Guardians | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 2 | L | +830 |
| 7/22 | @Guardians | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -122 |
| 7/22 | @Guardians | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 7/22 | @Guardians | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +105 |
| 7/22 | @Guardians | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 12 | L | -110 |
| 7/17 | @ Cubs | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -101 |
| 7/17 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +180 |
| 7/17 | @Cubs | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +122 |
| 7/17 | @Cubs | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -106 |
| 7/17 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 7 | W | -1260 |
| 7/17 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -350 |
| 7/17 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -134 |
| 7/17 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 7 | L | +1760 |
| 7/17 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 7 | W | +860 |
| 7/17 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +400 |
| 7/17 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 7 | L | — |
| 7/17 | @Cubs | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 7/17 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 0.5 | 7 | W | — |
| 7/17 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 7 | L | — |
| 7/17 | @Cubs | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 16 | W | +135 |
| 7/17 | @Cubs | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 16 | W | -175 |
| 7/9 | vsGuardians | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +115 |
| 7/9 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -148 |
| 7/9 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +1500 |
| 7/9 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -1660 |
| 7/9 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +164 |
| 7/9 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -350 |
| 7/9 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +730 |
| 7/9 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +390 |
| 7/9 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 0.5 | 5 | W | — |
| 7/9 | vsGuardians | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +114 |
| 7/9 | vsGuardians | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -143 |
| 7/9 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 7/9 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 7/9 | vsGuardians | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +120 |
| 7/9 | vsGuardians | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +164 |
| 7/9 | vsGuardians | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 15 | W | -166 |
| 5/30 | @ Pirates | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 14 | L | -106 |
| 5/30 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +700 |
| 5/30 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +1380 |
| 5/30 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -1580 |
Minnesota Twins Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Bailey Ober hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Bailey Ober hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 6-9 with an average actual of 4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$555.
How often does Bailey Ober hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Bailey Ober hits the over on earned runs 2.5 53.3% of the time in 2026, going 8-7 with an average actual of 2.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$152.
How often does Bailey Ober hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Bailey Ober hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 4-6 with an average actual of 5.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$181.
How often does Bailey Ober hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Bailey Ober hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 6-8 with an average actual of 1.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$251.
How often does Bailey Ober hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?
Bailey Ober hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 25% of the time in 2026, going 1-3 with an average actual of 15. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$208.
What are Bailey Ober's best prop bets in 2026?
Bailey Ober's highest-hitting props in 2026: Earned Runs O 2.5 at 53.3% (8-7); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 42.9% (6-8); Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 40% (6-9).
Inside Edge