Inside Edge
Atlanta Braves71.4% K O 4.560% BBA O 1.555.6% HA O 4.5
Season
All AJ Smith-Shawver propsProps — 20259 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
9g22.2%Over: 2-7
2vs O 2.5-120
@
Phillies5/29
Phillies5/29✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✓✗
H: 33.3%(3)A: 16.7%(6)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
11Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Smith-Shawver's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(5-0) | 14.3%(1-6) | 57.1%(4-3) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
5/29Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Smith-Shawver have an ERA of 4.94 against the Phillies since last year.
★★★★★
5/28Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Smith-Shawver have an ERA of 4.94 against the Phillies since last year.
★★★★★
5/22Nationals hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Smith-Shawver.
Game Log
Bet
$
2-7 Over9g · 9 props
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does AJ Smith-Shawver hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
AJ Smith-Shawver hits the over on earned runs 2.5 22.2% of the time in 2025, going 2-7 with an average actual of 2.1.
Is AJ Smith-Shawver over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2025, betting $100 on AJ Smith-Shawver over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$480 (-53.33% ROI). The hit rate is 22.2% with an average actual of 2.1.
What is AJ Smith-Shawver's earned runs average this season?
AJ Smith-Shawver averages 2.1 earned runs per game in 2025 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.