Atlanta Braves71.4% K O 4.560% BBA O 1.555.6% HA O 4.5
Season
Best Performer
AJ Smith-Shawver goes over 4.5 pitcher ks 71.4% of the time (5-2)
Props — 20259 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
11Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Smith-Shawver's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(5-0) | 14.3%(1-6) | 57.1%(4-3) | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
5/29Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Smith-Shawver have an ERA of 4.94 against the Phillies since last year.
★★★★★
5/28Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Smith-Shawver have an ERA of 4.94 against the Phillies since last year.
★★★★★
5/22Nationals hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Smith-Shawver.
Game Log
Bet
$
23-22 Over45 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/29 | @ Phillies | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +105 |
| 5/29 | @Phillies | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -120 |
| 5/29 | @Phillies | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -155 |
| 5/29 | @Phillies | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -185 |
| 5/29 | @Phillies | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 8 | L | +100 |
| 5/22 | @ Nationals | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 1 | L | -148 |
| 5/22 | @Nationals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 7 | W | +105 |
| 5/22 | @Nationals | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -145 |
| 5/22 | @Nationals | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -195 |
| 5/22 | @Nationals | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 9 | L | -110 |
| 5/15 | vsNationals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +120 |
| 5/15 | vsNationals | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -145 |
| 5/15 | vsNationals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -105 |
| 5/15 | vsNationals | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -150 |
| 5/15 | vsNationals | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +150 |
| 5/15 | vsNationals | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 18 | W | +100 |
| 5/10 | @ Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -140 |
| 5/10 | @Pirates | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -130 |
| 5/10 | @Pirates | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -130 |
| 5/10 | @Pirates | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +140 |
| 5/10 | @Pirates | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 17 | W | +130 |
| 5/5 | vs Reds | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -145 |
| 5/5 | vsReds | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +105 |
| 5/5 | vsReds | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 1 | L | -115 |
| 5/5 | vsReds | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -200 |
| 5/5 | vsReds | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 24 | W | +120 |
| 4/29 | @ Rockies | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -145 |
| 4/29 | @Rockies | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -120 |
| 4/29 | @Rockies | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -130 |
| 4/29 | @Rockies | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -205 |
| 4/29 | @Rockies | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 16 | W | -155 |
| 4/12 | @ Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +105 |
| 4/12 | @Rays | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -120 |
| 4/12 | @Rays | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +100 |
| 4/12 | @Rays | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -115 |
| 4/12 | @Rays | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 15 | W | -175 |
| 4/5 | vs Marlins | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +120 |
| 4/5 | vsMarlins | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +115 |
| 4/5 | vsMarlins | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +100 |
| 4/5 | vsMarlins | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 14 | L | -170 |
| 3/30 | @ Padres | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +105 |
| 3/30 | @Padres | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -105 |
| 3/30 | @Padres | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -120 |
| 3/30 | @Padres | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -175 |
| 3/30 | @Padres | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 12 | L | +106 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does AJ Smith-Shawver hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
AJ Smith-Shawver hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 71.4% of the time in 2025, going 5-2 with an average actual of 4.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$183.
How often does AJ Smith-Shawver hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
AJ Smith-Shawver hits the over on earned runs 2.5 22.2% of the time in 2025, going 2-7 with an average actual of 2.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$480.
How often does AJ Smith-Shawver hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
AJ Smith-Shawver hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 55.6% of the time in 2025, going 5-4 with an average actual of 4.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$29.
How often does AJ Smith-Shawver hit the over on outs recorded 14.5?
AJ Smith-Shawver hits the over on outs recorded 14.5 50% of the time in 2025, going 2-2 with an average actual of 14.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$78.
How often does AJ Smith-Shawver hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
AJ Smith-Shawver hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 60% of the time in 2025, going 3-2 with an average actual of 2.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$42.
What are AJ Smith-Shawver's best prop bets in 2025?
AJ Smith-Shawver's highest-hitting props in 2025: Pitcher Ks O 4.5 at 71.4% (5-2); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 60% (3-2); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 55.6% (5-4).
Inside Edge