Inside Edge
Yu Darvish
San Diego PadresReg5.54 ERA / 68 K / 69.9 IP / 8.8 K/9 / 15G
Post18.00 ERA / 1 K / 1 IP / 9.0 K/9 / 1G
90% ER O 1.554.5% K O 4.550% HA O 4.5
Season
All Yu Darvish propsProps — 202516 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
16g81.3%Over: 13-3
2vs O 1.5-115
@
Cubs10/2
Cubs10/2✓✓✓✓✓✓✓✗✓✗
H: 100%(6)A: 75%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(25%)
Total Matchups
16Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Darvish's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | — | 100%(4-0) | 75%(3-1) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(2-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 100%(2-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(3-0) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
10/2Current Cubs hitters are batting .244 in their last 2,422 AB's against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Darvish, but other matchup data favors the Cubs.
★★★★★
9/26Diamondbacks hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Darvish.
★★★★★
9/20Pitchers with similar repertoires to Darvish have an ERA of 3.05 against the White Sox over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
14-4 Over16g · 18 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/2 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -115 |
| 9/26 | vs Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -155 |
| 9/20 | @ White Sox | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -150 |
| 9/14 | vs Rockies | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -112 |
| 9/8 | vs Reds | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -150 |
| 9/2 | vs Orioles | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -150 |
| 8/27 | @ Mariners | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +115 |
| 8/22 | vs Dodgers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 8/17 | @Dodgers | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -140 |
| 8/11 | @ Giants | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -160 |
| 8/11 | @Giants | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +125 |
| 8/5 | @Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +115 |
| 7/30 | vs Mets | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +120 |
| 7/24 | @ Cardinals | O 1.5 | 8 | W | -165 |
| 7/24 | @Cardinals | O 2.5 | 8 | W | +125 |
| 7/19 | @ Nationals | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +115 |
| 7/12 | vs Phillies | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -160 |
| 7/7 | vsDiamondbacks | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -120 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Yu Darvish hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Yu Darvish hits the over on earned runs 1.5 90% of the time in 2025, going 9-1 with an average actual of 3.
Is Yu Darvish over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 16 games in 2025, betting $100 on Yu Darvish over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$764 (+47.75% ROI). The hit rate is 90% with an average actual of 3.
What is Yu Darvish's earned runs average this season?
Yu Darvish averages 3 earned runs per game in 2025 across 16 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.