Houston Astros77.3% HRR O 0.577.1% H O 0.556.8% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Yainer Diaz propsProps — 202657 games with closing lines
Home Runs
54g15.2%Over: 7-39-8
1vs O 0.5+640
@
Nationals7/6
Nationals7/6✓✗✓✗✗✗P✗✗✗
H: 11.1%(27)A: 15.4%(26)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
5(9%)
Total Matchups
55Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Diaz's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 20%(1-4) | 0%(0-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 87.5%(7-1) | 44.4%(4-5) | 0%(0-9) |
| ★★★★★ | 88.9%(8-1) | 45.5%(5-6) | 30%(3-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 65.2%(15-8) | 31.8%(7-15) | 9.1%(2-20) |
| ★★★★★ | 42.9%(3-4) | 42.9%(3-4) | 33.3%(2-4) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Andrew Alvarez
7/7Alvarez has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 against hitters like Diaz over the last two years, but Diaz has a Well-Hit Rate of just 13.7% in 153 AB's since last season (League Avg: 19.8%) .
★★★★★vs Miles Mikolas
7/6Diaz is batting .315 (67-for-213) against right-handers with low strikeout rates over the last two years, but has a well hit rate of 9.1% (League Avg: 20.2%) in his last five games.
★★★★★vs Mason Englert
7/5Diaz has a Well-Hit Rate of just 7.1% in 14 AB's over the last 5 days; League Avg: 19.5%.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-102-16 Over53g · 125 props
Houston Astros Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Yainer Diaz hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Yainer Diaz hits the over on home runs 0.5 15.2% of the time in 2026, going 7-39-8 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Yainer Diaz over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 54 games in 2026, betting $100 on Yainer Diaz over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$1,390 (+25.74% ROI). The hit rate is 15.2% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Yainer Diaz's home runs average this season?
Yainer Diaz averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 54 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge