Inside Edge
Miami Marlins88.2% HRR O 0.580.4% H O 0.564.7% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Xavier Edwards propsProps — 202651 games with closing lines
Home Runs
51g11.8%Over: 6-45
0vs O 0.5+1400
vs
Braves5/21
Braves5/21✗✗✓✓✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 16.7%(30)A: 4.8%(21)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
8(15%)
Total Matchups
52Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Edwards's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 85.7%(6-1) | 28.6%(2-5) | 0%(0-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 79.2%(19-5) | 29.2%(7-17) | 12.5%(3-21) |
| ★★★★★ | 78.6%(11-3) | 42.9%(6-8) | 21.4%(3-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 20%(1-4) | 0%(0-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Tobias Myers
5/22Edwards is slugging .737 in his last 25 PA's against right-handers who rely heavily on the curveball like Myers over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Spencer Strider
5/21Strider has allowed a slugging percentage of .491 against top-tier hitters like Edwards over the last 2 years.
★★★★★vs Chris Sale
5/20Edwards has a Well-Hit Rate of just 13.2% in 38 AB's against top tier left-handers like Sale over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-100 Over51g · 106 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21 | vsBraves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 5/21 | vsBraves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 5/20 | vsBraves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/20 | vsBraves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1600 |
| 5/19 | vsBraves | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +40000 |
| 5/19 | vsBraves | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +1300 |
| 5/18 | vsBraves | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +17500 |
| 5/18 | vsBraves | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +1450 |
| 5/17 | @ Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1450 |
| 5/17 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/16 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +25000 |
| 5/16 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1350 |
| 5/15 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +25000 |
| 5/15 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 5/14 | @ Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 5/14 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 5/13 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1450 |
| 5/13 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/12 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +920 |
| 5/12 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/10 | vs Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1650 |
| 5/10 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/9 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +1200 |
| 5/9 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +22500 |
| 5/8 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +22500 |
| 5/8 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +1350 |
| 5/7 | vs Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1450 |
| 5/7 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/6 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 5/6 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/5 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +20000 |
| 5/5 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1350 |
| 5/4 | vs Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1600 |
| 5/4 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +35000 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1750 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/2 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +1650 |
| 5/2 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +40000 |
| 5/1 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1700 |
| 5/1 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +25000 |
| 4/29 | @ Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1350 |
| 4/29 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +25000 |
| 4/28 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 4/28 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1800 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 4/26 | @ Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/26 | @Giants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +25000 |
| 4/25 | @Giants | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +25000 |
| 4/25 | @Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1550 |
Miami Marlins Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Xavier Edwards hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Xavier Edwards hits the over on home runs 0.5 11.8% of the time in 2026, going 6-45 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Xavier Edwards over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 51 games in 2026, betting $100 on Xavier Edwards over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$3,530 (+69.22% ROI). The hit rate is 11.8% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Xavier Edwards's home runs average this season?
Xavier Edwards averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 51 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.