Inside Edge
San Diego Padres68.8% HRR O 0.558.3% H O 0.557.4% TB O 0.5
Season
All Xander Bogaerts propsProps — 202649 games with closing lines
Home Runs
49g14.6%Over: 7-41-1
0vs O 0.5+1040
vs
Dodgers5/20
Dodgers5/20✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 11.5%(26)A: 17.4%(23)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
5(10%)
Total Matchups
49Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Bogaerts's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 0%(0-5) | 0%(0-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(6-4) | 20%(2-8) | 40%(4-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 45.5%(5-6) | 18.2%(2-9) | 27.3%(3-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(6-9) | 6.7%(1-14) | 20%(3-12) |
| ★★★★★ | 85.7%(6-1) | 28.6%(2-5) | 42.9%(3-4) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jeffrey Springs
5/22Matchup data is limited but favors Bogaerts.
★★★★★vs Shohei Ohtani
5/20Bogaerts has an OPS of .887 against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like Ohtani over the last two years but has a well hit rate of 12.1% in his last 91 AB's (League Avg: 20.1%).
★★★★★vs Emmet Sheehan
5/19Bogaerts has a wOBA of just .235 over his last 5 games in 18 PA's.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-94-2 Over49g · 103 props
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Xander Bogaerts hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Xander Bogaerts hits the over on home runs 0.5 14.6% of the time in 2026, going 7-41-1 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Xander Bogaerts over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 49 games in 2026, betting $100 on Xander Bogaerts over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$2,710 (+55.31% ROI). The hit rate is 14.6% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Xander Bogaerts's home runs average this season?
Xander Bogaerts averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 49 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.