
67.4% HRR O 0.555.8% SO O 0.553.5% H O 0.5
Season
All Xander Bogaerts propsProps — 202690 games with closing lines
Home Runs
90g9.3%Over: 8-78-4
0vs O 0.5+680
vs
Diamondbacks7/7
✗P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 6.7%(45)A: 11.1%(45)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
5(6%)
Total Matchups
88Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Bogaerts's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 0%(0-5) | 0%(0-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 61.5%(8-5) | 15.4%(2-11) | 30.8%(4-9) |
| ★★★★★ | 38.9%(7-11) | 16.7%(3-15) | 33.3%(6-12) |
| ★★★★★ | 35%(7-13) | 5%(1-19) | 20%(4-16) |
| ★★★★★ | 56.3%(18-14) | 6.3%(2-30) | 28.1%(9-23) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Zac Gallen
7/7Matchup data is limited but favors Bogaerts.
★★★★★vs Brandon Pfaadt
7/6Bogaerts is batting just .167 (3-18) against Pfaadt.
★★★★★vs Emmet Sheehan
7/5Bogaerts is batting just .167 (1-6) against Sheehan.
Game Log
Bet
$
8-186-9 Over90g · 203 props
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Xander Bogaerts hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Xander Bogaerts hits the over on home runs 0.5 9.3% of the time in 2026, going 8-78-4 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Xander Bogaerts over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 90 games in 2026, betting $100 on Xander Bogaerts over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$10 (-0.11% ROI). The hit rate is 9.3% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Xander Bogaerts's home runs average this season?
Xander Bogaerts averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 90 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge