San Francisco Giants60% HRR O 0.557.6% H O 0.540% R O 0.5
Season
All Willy Adames propsProps — 202693 games with closing lines
Home Runs
93g16.3%Over: 14-72-7
0vs O 0.5+620
vs
Blue Jays7/6
Blue Jays7/6✗✗✗✗PPP✗✗✗
H: 7.3%(41)A: 20%(50)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
16(11%)
Total Matchups
150Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Adames's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 58.8%(10-7) | 29.4%(5-12) | 23.5%(4-13) |
| ★★★★★ | 56.3%(9-7) | 25%(4-12) | 0%(0-16) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(4-4) | 25%(2-6) | 12.5%(1-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 53.1%(17-15) | 21.9%(7-25) | 18.8%(6-26) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(9-9) | 16.7%(3-15) | 16.7%(3-15) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Spencer Miles
7/7Adames is slugging .535 in his last 300 PA's against right-handers with high flyball rates like Fisher over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Kevin Gausman
7/6Adames is batting just .211 (15-for-71) against right-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like Gausman over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Tanner Gordon
7/5Adames has a wOBA of .369 with 12 HR's in his last 224 PA's against bottom tier right-handers like Gordon over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
15-177-17 Over91g · 209 props
San Francisco Giants Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Willy Adames hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Willy Adames hits the over on home runs 0.5 16.3% of the time in 2026, going 14-72-7 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Willy Adames over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 93 games in 2026, betting $100 on Willy Adames over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$30 (+0.32% ROI). The hit rate is 16.3% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Willy Adames's home runs average this season?
Willy Adames averages 0.2 home runs per game in 2026 across 93 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge