San Diego Padres52.9% H O 0.538.2% HRR O 1.538.2% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Will Wagner propsProps — 202534 games with closing lines
Walks
31g35.5%Over: 11-20
1vs O 0.5+240
@
Orioles7/30
Orioles7/30✓✓✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗
H: 28.6%(14)A: 41.2%(17)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(2%)
Total Matchups
85Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Wagner's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 68.8%(11-5) | 6.3%(1-15) | 0%(0-16) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 40%(2-3) | 0%(0-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 28.6%(2-5) | 14.3%(1-6) | 0%(0-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 0%(0-5) | 0%(0-5) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Brandon Pfaadt
9/28Pfaadt has allowed an OPS of .882 against hitters like Wagner over the last two years, but Wagner is batting just .222 in 126 AB's since last season.
★★★★★vs Bruce Zimmermann
9/23Wagner has a wOBA of just .246 in his last 10 PA's against left-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Zimmermann over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Freddy Peralta
9/22Left-handed batters with low ISOs like Wagner have a Well-Hit Rate of just 6.7% against Peralta over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.1%.
Game Log
Bet
$
11-20 Over31g · 31 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/30 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +240 |
| 7/29 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +165 |
| 7/28 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +250 |
| 7/25 | @ Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +260 |
| 7/24 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +255 |
| 7/22 | vs Yankees | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +255 |
| 7/19 | vs Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +310 |
| 7/13 | @ Athletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +180 |
| 7/11 | @Athletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +205 |
| 7/9 | @ White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +185 |
| 7/7 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +155 |
| 7/3 | vsYankees | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +250 |
| 7/2 | vsYankees | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +220 |
| 6/30 | vsYankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +255 |
| 4/23 | @ Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +230 |
| 4/22 | @Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +180 |
| 4/20 | vs Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +185 |
| 4/18 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +250 |
| 4/15 | vs Braves | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +265 |
| 4/12 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +160 |
| 4/10 | @ Red Sox | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +200 |
| 4/9 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +170 |
| 4/7 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +170 |
| 4/5 | @ Mets | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +125 |
| 4/4 | @Mets | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +145 |
| 4/1 | vs Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 3/31 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +170 |
| 3/30 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +165 |
| 3/29 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +170 |
| 3/28 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +170 |
| 3/27 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +235 |
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Will Wagner hit the over on walks 0.5?
Will Wagner hits the over on walks 0.5 35.5% of the time in 2025, going 11-20 with an average actual of 0.4.
Is Will Wagner over 0.5 walks a good bet?
Based on 31 games in 2025, betting $100 on Will Wagner over 0.5 walks at best closing odds has returned +$205 (+6.61% ROI). The hit rate is 35.5% with an average actual of 0.4.
What is Will Wagner's walks average this season?
Will Wagner averages 0.4 walks per game in 2025 across 31 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge