San Diego Padres52.9% H O 0.538.2% HRR O 1.538.2% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Will Wagner propsProps — 202534 games with closing lines
Home Runs
34g0%Over: 0-34
0vs O 0.5+680
@
Orioles7/30
Orioles7/30✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 0%(17)A: 0%(17)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(2%)
Total Matchups
85Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Wagner's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 68.8%(11-5) | 6.3%(1-15) | 0%(0-16) |
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 40%(2-3) | 0%(0-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 28.6%(2-5) | 14.3%(1-6) | 0%(0-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 0%(0-5) | 0%(0-5) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Brandon Pfaadt
9/28Pfaadt has allowed an OPS of .882 against hitters like Wagner over the last two years, but Wagner is batting just .222 in 126 AB's since last season.
★★★★★vs Bruce Zimmermann
9/23Wagner has a wOBA of just .246 in his last 10 PA's against left-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Zimmermann over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Freddy Peralta
9/22Left-handed batters with low ISOs like Wagner have a Well-Hit Rate of just 6.7% against Peralta over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.1%.
Game Log
Bet
$
0-54 Over34g · 54 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/30 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 7/30 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +680 |
| 7/29 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 7/29 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +14000 |
| 7/28 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +775 |
| 7/28 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 7/25 | @ Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 7/24 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 7/22 | vs Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 7/19 | vs Giants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1150 |
| 7/18 | vsGiants | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 7/13 | @ Athletics | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12000 |
| 7/13 | @Athletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +775 |
| 7/11 | @Athletics | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17000 |
| 7/11 | @Athletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +775 |
| 7/9 | @ White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 7/9 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12000 |
| 7/7 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +830 |
| 7/7 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +14000 |
| 7/5 | vs Angels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17000 |
| 7/5 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 7/4 | vsAngels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 7/4 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +825 |
| 7/3 | vsYankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 7/2 | vsYankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12000 |
| 7/2 | vsYankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 6/30 | vsYankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 4/23 | @ Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +875 |
| 4/23 | @Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12000 |
| 4/22 | @Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +13000 |
| 4/22 | @Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +875 |
| 4/20 | vs Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +14000 |
| 4/20 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1050 |
| 4/18 | vsMariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 4/18 | vsMariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +19000 |
| 4/15 | vs Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 4/12 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 4/12 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +19000 |
| 4/10 | @ Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1150 |
| 4/9 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1300 |
| 4/7 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 4/5 | @ Mets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 4/4 | @Mets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 4/1 | vs Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 4/1 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +13000 |
| 3/31 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 3/30 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +830 |
| 3/30 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +14000 |
| 3/29 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +11000 |
| 3/29 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Will Wagner hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Will Wagner hits the over on home runs 0.5 0% of the time in 2025, going 0-34 with an average actual of 0.
Is Will Wagner over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 34 games in 2025, betting $100 on Will Wagner over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$3,400 (-100% ROI). The hit rate is 0% with an average actual of 0.
What is Will Wagner's home runs average this season?
Will Wagner averages 0 home runs per game in 2025 across 34 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge