San Diego Padres100% K O 1.558.3% HA O 4.550% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Walker Buehler propsProps — 202618 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
18g38.9%Over: 7-11
7vs O 2.5+122
vs
Diamondbacks7/6
Diamondbacks7/6✓✓✗✗✗✗✗✗✓✗
H: 30%(10)A: 42.9%(7)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(22%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Buehler's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 1.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 50%(2-2) | 100%(3-0) | 50%(2-2) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 0%(0-4) | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-3) | 75%(3-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(5-0) | 60%(3-2) | 75%(3-1) | 100%(2-0) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Brandon Pfaadt
7/6Right-handed starters have an ERA of 2.85 against the Diamondbacks in the past 30 days.
★★★★★vs Colin Rea
7/1Pitchers with similar repertoires to Buehler have an ERA of 4.61 against the Cubs over the last year.
★★★★★vs Roki Sasaki
6/26Right-handed starters have an ERA of 5.40 against the Dodgers in the past 30 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
10-13 Over18g · 23 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/6 | vsDiamondbacks | O 2.5 | 7 | W | +122 |
| 7/1 | @ Cubs | O 3.5 | 9 | W | -118 |
| 6/26 | vs Dodgers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -105 |
| 6/20 | @ Rangers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 6/14 | @ Orioles | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 6/14 | @Orioles | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -160 |
| 6/8 | vs Reds | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 6/8 | vsReds | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -175 |
| 6/3 | @ Phillies | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -115 |
| 5/27 | vsPhillies | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +118 |
| 5/22 | vs Athletics | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +109 |
| 5/16 | @ Mariners | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +110 |
| 5/10 | vs Cardinals | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -164 |
| 5/10 | vsCardinals | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +116 |
| 5/5 | @ Giants | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +108 |
| 4/28 | vsCubs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -119 |
| 4/22 | @ Rockies | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -150 |
| 4/22 | @Rockies | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +124 |
| 4/16 | vsMariners | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -125 |
| 4/10 | vsRockies | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 4/5 | @ Red Sox | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +115 |
| 4/5 | @Red Sox | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -165 |
| 3/30 | vsGiants | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +128 |
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Walker Buehler hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Walker Buehler hits the over on earned runs 2.5 35.3% of the time in 2026, going 6-11 with an average actual of 2.4.
Is Walker Buehler over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 18 games in 2026, betting $100 on Walker Buehler over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$421 (-23.39% ROI). The hit rate is 35.3% with an average actual of 2.4.
What is Walker Buehler's earned runs average this season?
Walker Buehler averages 2.4 earned runs per game in 2026 across 18 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge