_
LineTerminalLineTerminal
LineTerminalLineTerminal
HomeScoresResearchPropsA51TeamsPlayers
Player PulseWNBA
AllMLBWNBANFLNBANHL
HomePropsScheduleOddsLineupsWeatherBvP LabProp ScreenerLaunch CodeSwing SignalsPitcher ModelBullpen UsageInside EdgeNRFITeamsPlayers
All
HomeTeamsPlayersProps
MLBMLB
HomeScheduleTeamsPlayersPropsOdds BoardLineupsWeatherBvP LabProp ScreenerLaunch CodeSwing SignalsPitcher ModelNRFIBullpen UsageInside Edge
WNBAWNBA
HomeScheduleTeamsPlayersPropsOdds BoardLineupsShot LabMatchup LabProp Screener
NFLNFL
HomeScheduleTeamsPlayersPropsOdds BoardMatchup LabProp ScreenerDepth ChartsWeatherInside Edge
NBANBA
HomeScheduleTeamsPlayersProps
NHLNHL
HomeScheduleTeamsPlayersProps
Players/MLB/San Diego Padres/Walker Buehler/Earned Runs
Walker Buehler

Walker Buehler

San Diego Padres•Pitcher•2026
4.94ERA104K116.6IP8.0K/925G
4.94ERA104K116.6IP8.0K/925G
66.7% OUT O 14.564.7% BBA O 1.547.4% HA O 4.5
Season
All Walker Buehler props

Props — 202625 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

25g
avg 2.6
36%Over: 9-16
2vs O 2.5+101
@Mets8/17
✗✗✗✓✗✗✓✓✓✗
H: 38.5%(13)A: 27.3%(11)
SeasonalityAll lines
100%
40%
40%
0%
50%
25%
Mar
1-0
Apr
2-3
May
2-3
Jun
0-5
Jul
2-2
Aug
1-3
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(15%)
Total Matchups
26
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Buehler's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 4.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 14.5
★★★★★25%(1-3)50%(2-2)100%(3-0)50%(2-2)50%(1-1)
★★★★★20%(1-4)20%(1-4)20%(1-4)25%(1-3)100%(3-0)
★★★★★57.1%(4-3)57.1%(4-3)66.7%(4-2)100%(4-0)75%(3-1)
★★★★★60%(3-2)0%(0-5)0%(0-3)66.7%(2-1)80%(4-1)
★★★★★25%(1-3)33.3%(1-2)50%(1-1)100%(2-0)25%(1-3)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Bailey Ober
8/23

Twins hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Buehler.

★★★★★vs Nolan McLean
8/17

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Buehler have an ERA of 4.27 against the Mets over the last year.

★★★★★vs Kyle Harrison
8/11

Brewers hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Buehler.

Game Log

Bet
$
12-19 Over25g · 31 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/17@MetsO 2.52L+101
8/11vsBrewersO 2.51L+126
8/11vsBrewersO 1.51L-185
8/6@DiamondbacksO 2.51L-108
8/1vsGiantsO 2.53W+125
7/26@MarlinsO 2.52L-103
7/21@BravesO 2.52L-124
7/11vsBlue JaysO 2.54W+115
7/6vsDiamondbacksO 2.57W+122
7/1@CubsO 3.59W-118
6/26vsDodgersO 2.51L-105
6/20@RangersO 2.51L+120
6/14@OriolesO 3.51L+115
6/14@OriolesO 2.51L-160
6/8vsRedsO 2.51L+120
6/8vsRedsO 1.51L-175
6/3@PhilliesO 2.51L-115
5/27vsPhilliesO 2.52L+118
5/22vsAthleticsO 2.53W+109
5/16@MarinersO 2.52L+110
5/10vsCardinalsO 1.52W-164
5/10vsCardinalsO 2.52L+116
5/5@GiantsO 2.54W+108
4/28vsCubsO 2.52L-119
4/22@RockiesO 2.54W-150
4/22@RockiesO 3.54W+124
4/16vsMarinersO 2.52L-125
4/10vsRockiesO 2.50L+125
4/5@Red SoxO 3.54W+115
4/5@Red SoxO 2.54W-165
3/30vsGiantsO 2.53W+128

San Diego Padres Teammates

View all
Fernando Tatis Jr.Jackson MerrillManny MachadoXander BogaertsGavin SheetsTy FranceLuis RengifoFreddy FerminJake CronenworthMiguel AndujarLuis CampusanoSung-Mun SongNick CastellanosSamad TaylorJase Bowen

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Walker Buehler hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Walker Buehler hits the over on earned runs 2.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 8-16 with an average actual of 2.3.
Is Walker Buehler over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 25 games in 2026, betting $100 on Walker Buehler over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$681 (-27.24% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 2.3.
What is Walker Buehler's earned runs average this season?
Walker Buehler averages 2.3 earned runs per game in 2026 across 25 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.

Walker Buehler 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.25 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

LineTerminal

AI-powered betting intelligence for NBA, WNBA, NHL, MLB, NFL, NCAAB, and NCAAF.

ResearchHow To UseMethodologyTerms of ServicePrivacy PolicyFAQResponsible GamblingContact

LineTerminal provides sports data and analytics for informational and entertainment purposes only. LineTerminal does not accept, place, or facilitate bets or wagers of any kind. Odds data is sourced from third-party providers and may not reflect exact lines at every sportsbook. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Sports betting involves risk — never wager more than you can afford to lose.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-MY-RESET (National Problem Gambling Helpline) or visit ncpgambling.org. Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions. Please gamble responsibly.

© 2026 LineTerminal LLC. All rights reserved.