Inside Edge
San Diego Padres100% K O 1.557.1% HA O 4.557.1% OUT O 14.5
Season
All Walker Buehler propsProps — 20269 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
9g44.4%Over: 4-5
2vs O 2.5+110
@
Mariners5/16
Mariners5/16✗✗✓✗✓✗✗✓✓
H: 20%(5)A: 75%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(10%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Buehler's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 1.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-3) | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(3-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(3-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | — | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jeffrey Springs
5/22Current Athletics hitters have struck out 22.8% of the time against pitchers similar to Buehler over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Athletics.
★★★★★vs Logan Gilbert
5/16Current Mariners hitters have struck out 24.3% of the time against pitchers similar to Buehler over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Mariners.
★★★★★vs Kyle Leahy
5/10Current Cardinals hitters have struck out 25.3% of the time against pitchers similar to Buehler over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
7-5 Over9g · 12 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/16 | @Mariners | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +110 |
| 5/10 | vs Cardinals | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -164 |
| 5/10 | vsCardinals | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +116 |
| 5/5 | @ Giants | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +108 |
| 4/28 | vs Cubs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -119 |
| 4/22 | @ Rockies | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -150 |
| 4/22 | @Rockies | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +124 |
| 4/16 | vsMariners | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -125 |
| 4/10 | vsRockies | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 4/5 | @ Red Sox | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +115 |
| 4/5 | @Red Sox | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -165 |
| 3/30 | vsGiants | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +128 |
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Walker Buehler hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Walker Buehler hits the over on earned runs 2.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-5 with an average actual of 2.6.
Is Walker Buehler over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2026, betting $100 on Walker Buehler over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$137 (-15.22% ROI). The hit rate is 44.4% with an average actual of 2.6.
What is Walker Buehler's earned runs average this season?
Walker Buehler averages 2.6 earned runs per game in 2026 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.