Inside Edge
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Toronto Blue JaysReg0.278 / 3 HR / 21 RBI / 50 H / 4 SB / 50G
76.6% HRR O 0.561.2% H O 0.559.6% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Vladimir Guerrero Jr. propsProps — 202650 games with closing lines
Home Runs
50g6%Over: 3-47
0vs O 0.5+520
@
Yankees5/21
Yankees5/21✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✗
H: 0%(24)A: 11.5%(26)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
4.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
47(92%)
Total Matchups
51Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Jr.'s prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 60%(27-18) | 34.8%(16-30) | 6.5%(3-43) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-4) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Bubba Chandler
5/22Guerrero Jr. has a wOBA of .383 in his last 262 PA's against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Chandler over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Carlos Rodon
5/21Guerrero Jr. has taken Rodon deep 2 times in his last 23 PA's against him.
★★★★★vs Cam Schlittler
5/20Guerrero Jr. is slugging .519 in his last 259 PA's against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Schlittler over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-100 Over50g · 103 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21 | @Yankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 5/21 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +520 |
| 5/20 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 5/20 | @Yankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/19 | @Yankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 5/19 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +430 |
| 5/18 | @Yankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/18 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +440 |
| 5/17 | @ Tigers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +6500 |
| 5/17 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +570 |
| 5/16 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/16 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +473 |
| 5/15 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 5/15 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +600 |
| 5/13 | vs Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 5/13 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +520 |
| 5/12 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 5/12 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +470 |
| 5/11 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 5/11 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +490 |
| 5/10 | vs Angels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/10 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +590 |
| 5/9 | vsAngels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 5/9 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +590 |
| 5/8 | vsAngels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4000 |
| 5/8 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +425 |
| 5/6 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +490 |
| 5/6 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 5/5 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 5/5 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 5/4 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +475 |
| 5/4 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 5/3 | @ Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +390 |
| 5/3 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4000 |
| 5/2 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +475 |
| 5/2 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4100 |
| 5/1 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 5/1 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 4/30 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5600 |
| 4/30 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 4/29 | vs Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +490 |
| 4/29 | vsRed Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 4/28 | vsRed Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +380 |
| 4/28 | vsRed Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3700 |
| 4/27 | vsRed Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +520 |
| 4/27 | vsRed Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 4/26 | vs Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +360 |
| 4/26 | vsGuardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3900 |
| 4/25 | vsGuardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4600 |
| 4/25 | vsGuardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +433 |
Toronto Blue Jays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits the over on home runs 0.5 6% of the time in 2026, going 3-47 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Vladimir Guerrero Jr. over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 50 games in 2026, betting $100 on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$3,315 (-66.3% ROI). The hit rate is 6% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s home runs average this season?
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 50 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.