Inside Edge
New York Mets75% K O 5.550% BBA O 2.542.9% ER O 2.5
Season
All Tylor Megill propsProps — 202513 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
13g38.5%Over: 5-8
7vs O 4.5+110
vs
Rays6/14
Rays6/14✓✗✗✓✗✗✓✗✗✓
H: 50%(4)A: 16.7%(6)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
15Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Megill's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | — | — | — | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 25%(1-3) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | — | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 40%(2-3) | 20%(1-4) | 25%(1-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
6/14Pitchers with similar repertoires to Megill have an ERA of 3.54 against the Rays over the last year, but other matchup data favors the Rays.
★★★★★
6/8Several hitters in the Rockies lineup have a 5-star matchup against Megill today.
★★★★★
6/3Pitchers with similar repertoires to Megill have an ERA of 4.91 against the Dodgers over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-8 Over13g · 13 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/14 | vsRays | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +110 |
| 6/8 | @ Rockies | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +120 |
| 6/3 | @ Dodgers | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -140 |
| 5/27 | vs White Sox | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -170 |
| 5/21 | @ Red Sox | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -115 |
| 5/16 | @ Yankees | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -115 |
| 5/10 | vs Cubs | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -125 |
| 4/27 | @ Nationals | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -105 |
| 4/21 | vs Phillies | O 4.5 | 1 | L | -110 |
| 4/15 | @ Twins | O 4.5 | 8 | W | +100 |
| 4/9 | vs Marlins | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -125 |
| 4/4 | vs Blue Jays | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -118 |
| 3/28 | @ Astros | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -155 |
New York Mets Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Tylor Megill hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Tylor Megill hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 30% of the time in 2025, going 3-7 with an average actual of 4.3.
Is Tylor Megill over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 13 games in 2025, betting $100 on Tylor Megill over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$371 (-28.54% ROI). The hit rate is 30% with an average actual of 4.3.
What is Tylor Megill's hits allowed average this season?
Tylor Megill averages 4.3 hits allowed per game in 2025 across 13 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.