Inside Edge
Cincinnati Reds55.3% HRR O 0.551.4% TB O 0.550% H O 0.5
Season
All Tyler Stephenson propsProps — 202647 games with closing lines
Home Runs
47g7.9%Over: 3-35-9
0vs O 0.5+710
@
Phillies5/20
Phillies5/20P✗✗✗✗✗P✓✗✗
H: 4.5%(22)A: 8%(25)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(8%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Stephenson's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-4) | 0%(0-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 20%(1-4) | 20%(1-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 20%(1-4) | 60%(3-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 28.6%(6-15) | 0%(0-21) | 9.5%(2-19) |
| ★★★★★ | 45.5%(5-6) | 9.1%(1-10) | 9.1%(1-10) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Kyle Leahy
5/22Stephenson is slugging .552 in his last 34 PA's against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like Leahy over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Aaron Nola
5/20Stephenson has a Well-Hit Rate of just 7.7% in 13 AB's over the last 5 days; League Avg: 20.9%.
★★★★★vs Jesus Luzardo
5/19Stephenson does not have a well hit ball in 12 AB's over the last 5 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-77-17 Over47g · 97 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | @Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +8000 |
| 5/20 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +710 |
| 5/19 | @Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/19 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +710 |
| 5/18 | @Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/18 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +590 |
| 5/17 | @ Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 5/17 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8400 |
| 5/16 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/16 | @Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 5/15 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8200 |
| 5/15 | @Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +725 |
| 5/14 | vs Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +425 |
| 5/14 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +3300 |
| 5/13 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +7500 |
| 5/13 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +540 |
| 5/12 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 5/12 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +528 |
| 5/12 | vsNationals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/10 | vs Astros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/10 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +590 |
| 5/10 | vsAstros | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +3500 |
| 5/9 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +425 |
| 5/8 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/8 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +520 |
| 5/7 | @ Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +570 |
| 5/7 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 5/6 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +880 |
| 5/6 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/5 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +725 |
| 5/5 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8400 |
| 5/4 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 5/4 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +520 |
| 5/3 | @ Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +850 |
| 5/2 | @Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 5/2 | @Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 5/1 | @Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 5/1 | @Pirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 4/30 | vs Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +571 |
| 4/30 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 4/29 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +4600 |
| 4/29 | vsRockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +471 |
| 4/28 | vsRockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +502 |
| 4/28 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6000 |
| 4/26 | vs Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +525 |
| 4/26 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 4/25 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +6500 |
| 4/25 | vsTigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +500 |
| 4/24 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +8000 |
Cincinnati Reds Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Tyler Stephenson hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Tyler Stephenson hits the over on home runs 0.5 7.9% of the time in 2026, going 3-35-9 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Tyler Stephenson over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 47 games in 2026, betting $100 on Tyler Stephenson over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$1,580 (-33.62% ROI). The hit rate is 7.9% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Tyler Stephenson's home runs average this season?
Tyler Stephenson averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 47 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.