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Players/MLB/Atlanta Braves/Tyler Mahle/Earned Runs
Tyler Mahle

Tyler Mahle

Atlanta Braves•Pitcher•2026
4.65ERA108K110.3IP8.8K/921G
4.65ERA108K110.3IP8.8K/921G
66.7% OUT O 16.562.5% BBA O 1.550% ER O 2.5
Season
All Tyler Mahle props

Props — 202620 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

20g
avg 2.5
47.4%Over: 9-10-1
2vs O 2.5+110
@Twins8/18
✗✗✗✓✗✓✗✗✓✗
H: 22.2%(9)A: 70%(10)
SeasonalityAll lines
40%
80%
50%
33%
25%
Apr
2-3
May
4-1
Jun
1-1
Jul
1-2
Aug
1-3
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
22
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Mahle's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Outs RecordedO 16.5
★★★★★33.3%(2-4)50%(2-2)50%(3-3)50%(3-3)66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★50%(2-2)75%(3-1)25%(1-3)33.3%(1-2)66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★75%(3-1)50%(2-2)25%(1-3)25%(1-3)66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★20%(1-4)50%(2-2)100%(4-0)50%(1-1)—

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Shane Drohan
8/23

Brewers hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Mahle.

★★★★★vs Zebby Matthews
8/18

Current Twins hitters are batting .234 against right-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like like Mahle over the the last two years.

★★★★★vs Zac Thornton
8/12

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Mahle have an ERA of 4.31 against the Mets over the last year.

Game Log

Bet
$
10-12-2 Over20g · 24 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/18@TwinsO 2.52L+110
8/12vsMetsO 2.51L+122
8/12vsMetsO 1.51L-173
8/7@YankeesO 2.50L-110
8/1@PadresO 2.55W+102
7/27vsBrewersO 2.50L+108
7/21@RoyalsO 2.53W-118
7/11vsRockiesO 2.51L+116
7/5@RockiesO 3.53L-110
6/29@DiamondbacksO 2.54W-110
6/24vsAthleticsO 1.50L-159
6/24vsAthleticsO 2.50L+130
5/26vsDiamondbacksO 2.53W+117
5/20@DiamondbacksO 2.56W+103
5/15@AthleticsO 2.55W-154
5/10vsPiratesO 1.54W-175
5/10vsPiratesO 2.54W+129
5/3@RaysO 2.50L+123
4/28@PhilliesO 2.55W-118
4/22vsDodgersO 2.50L-103
4/15@RedsO 2.58W-118
4/8vsPhilliesO 2.50L+124
4/3vsMetsO 1.50P-151
4/3vsMetsO 2.50P+130

Atlanta Braves Teammates

View all
Matt OlsonAustin RileyOzzie AlbiesMichael Harris IIDrake BaldwinMike YastrzemskiLane ThomasJonah HeimDominic SmithJorge MateoEli WhiteHa-Seong KimJoey BartAustin WynnsSandy León

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Tyler Mahle hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Tyler Mahle hits the over on earned runs 2.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 9-9-1 with an average actual of 2.5.
Is Tyler Mahle over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 20 games in 2026, betting $100 on Tyler Mahle over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$139 (-6.95% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 2.5.
What is Tyler Mahle's earned runs average this season?
Tyler Mahle averages 2.5 earned runs per game in 2026 across 20 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.

Tyler Mahle 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.20 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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