
70.2% SO O 0.554.2% HRR O 0.552.1% H O 0.5
Season
All Tristan Gray propsProps — 202660 games with closing lines
Home Runs
57g8.3%Over: 4-44-9
0vs O 0.5+520
@
Yankees7/4
P✗✗✗✗P✗✗✗P
H: 7.4%(27)A: 6.7%(30)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(2%)
Total Matchups
87Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Gray's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(4-3) | 14.3%(1-6) | 0%(0-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 45.5%(5-6) | 18.2%(2-9) | 0%(0-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 41.4%(12-17) | 24.1%(7-22) | 13.8%(4-25) |
| ★★★★★ | 37.5%(3-5) | 25%(2-6) | 0%(0-8) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Joey Cantillo
7/7Matchup data is limited but favors Cantillo.
★★★★★vs Ryan Weathers
7/5Gray has a Well-Hit Rate of just 9.1% in 11 AB's over the last 5 days; League Avg: 19.5%.
★★★★★vs Brendan Beck
7/4Gray has a Well-Hit Rate of just 6.7% in 30 AB's against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Beck over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.2%.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-104-20 Over57g · 128 props
Minnesota Twins Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Tristan Gray hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Tristan Gray hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.3% of the time in 2026, going 4-44-9 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Tristan Gray over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 57 games in 2026, betting $100 on Tristan Gray over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$1,170 (-20.53% ROI). The hit rate is 8.3% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Tristan Gray's home runs average this season?
Tristan Gray averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 57 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge