Inside Edge
Colorado Rockies57.9% H O 0.551.4% HRR O 1.544.7% TB O 1.5
Season
All Thairo Estrada propsProps — 202538 games with closing lines
Home Runs
38g7.9%Over: 3-35
0vs O 0.5+750
vs
Blue Jays8/5
Blue Jays8/5✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✓
H: 5%(20)A: 11.1%(18)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(2%)
Total Matchups
53Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Estrada's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-4) | 0%(0-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 20%(1-4) | 0%(0-5) | 40%(2-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 64.3%(9-5) | 14.3%(2-12) | 50%(7-7) |
| ★★★★★ | 71.4%(10-4) | 7.1%(1-13) | 35.7%(5-9) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jose Berrios
8/5Bottom-tier hitters like Estrada are batting just .225 (105-for-466) against Berrios over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Eric Lauer
8/4Matchup data is limited but favors Estrada.
★★★★★vs Mitch Keller
8/3Right-handed batters who make a lot of contact like Estrada have a Well-Hit Rate of just 12.5% against Keller over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20%.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-66 Over38g · 69 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/5 | vsBlue Jays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +13000 |
| 8/5 | vsBlue Jays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 8/4 | vsBlue Jays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +11000 |
| 8/4 | vsBlue Jays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +680 |
| 8/3 | vs Pirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +875 |
| 8/3 | vsPirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17000 |
| 8/2 | vsPirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +19000 |
| 8/2 | vsPirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 8/1 | vsPirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 8/1 | vsPirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +680 |
| 7/30 | @ Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 7/30 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17000 |
| 7/28 | @Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 7/28 | @Guardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +19000 |
| 7/27 | @ Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +13000 |
| 7/27 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 7/26 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 7/26 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +19000 |
| 7/25 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +12000 |
| 7/25 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +1100 |
| 7/7 | @ Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +875 |
| 7/7 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +16000 |
| 7/6 | vs White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 7/6 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +14000 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +9000 |
| 7/5 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +13000 |
| 7/4 | vsWhite Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 7/3 | vs Astros | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +11000 |
| 7/3 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +725 |
| 7/2 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +11000 |
| 7/2 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 7/1 | vsAstros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 7/1 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +11000 |
| 6/29 | @ Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +14000 |
| 6/29 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +870 |
| 6/28 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 6/27 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +19000 |
| 6/27 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 6/26 | vs Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +11000 |
| 6/26 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 6/25 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1060 |
| 6/24 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +19000 |
| 6/24 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 6/17 | @ Nationals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +1100 |
| 6/16 | @Nationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +14000 |
| 6/16 | @Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 6/15 | @ Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 6/14 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1050 |
| 6/13 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
Colorado Rockies Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Thairo Estrada hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Thairo Estrada hits the over on home runs 0.5 7.9% of the time in 2025, going 3-35 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Thairo Estrada over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 38 games in 2025, betting $100 on Thairo Estrada over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$575 (-15.13% ROI). The hit rate is 7.9% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Thairo Estrada's home runs average this season?
Thairo Estrada averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2025 across 38 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.