
62.5% K O 3.544.4% ER O 3.533.3% BBA O 1.5
Season
All Tanner Gordon propsProps — 202514 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
14g42.9%Over: 6-8
5vs O 2.5-150
@
Mariners9/24
✓✓✗✓✗✗✗✗✓✓
H: 33.3%(6)A: 66.7%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
1.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(7%)
Total Matchups
14Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Gordon's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 3.5 | Hits AllowedO 6.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | — | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | — | — | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | — | — | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 42.9%(3-4) | 14.3%(1-6) | 14.3%(1-6) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/24Current Mariners hitters have struck out 25% of the time against pitchers similar to Gordon over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Mariners.
★★★★★
9/18Pitchers with similar repertoires to Gordon have an ERA of 5.00 against the Marlins over the last year.
★★★★★
9/12Gordon has struck out 26.3% of the Padres hitters he has faced in 38 PA's over the last 2 years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Padres.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-8 Over14g · 14 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/24 | @ | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -150 |
| 9/18 | vs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -143 |
| 9/12 | @ | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -155 |
| 9/7 | vs | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -110 |
| 8/31 | vs | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -120 |
| 8/26 | @ | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +105 |
| 8/20 | vs | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -130 |
| 8/15 | vs | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -110 |
| 8/10 | @ | O 3.5 | 10 | W | +120 |
| 8/4 | vs | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -135 |
| 7/29 | @ | O 3.5 | 6 | W | +125 |
| 7/23 | vs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +115 |
| 5/28 | @ | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -155 |
| 5/23 | vs | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +115 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Tanner Gordon hit the over on earned runs 3.5?
Tanner Gordon hits the over on earned runs 3.5 44.4% of the time in 2025, going 4-5 with an average actual of 4.
Is Tanner Gordon over 3.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 14 games in 2025, betting $100 on Tanner Gordon over 3.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$253 (-18.07% ROI). The hit rate is 44.4% with an average actual of 4.
What is Tanner Gordon's earned runs average this season?
Tanner Gordon averages 4 earned runs per game in 2025 across 14 games. The primary line is set at 3.5.

Inside Edge