Minnesota Twins64.7% K O 5.557.1% HA O 4.550% OUT O 17.5
Season
All Taj Bradley propsProps — 202617 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
17g29.4%Over: 5-12
1vs O 2.5+110
vs
Guardians7/7
Guardians7/7✗✗✗✗✓✓✓✓✗✗
H: 28.6%(7)A: 37.5%(8)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
15Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Bradley's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(6-2) | 37.5%(3-5) | 42.9%(3-4) | 28.6%(2-5) | 33.3%(2-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 100%(3-0) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Joey Cantillo
7/7Guardians hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Bradley.
★★★★★vs Tatsuya Imai
7/1Pitchers with similar repertoires to Bradley have an ERA of 4.25 against the Astros over the last year.
★★★★★vs Tomoyuki Sugano
6/26Pitchers with similar repertoires to Bradley have an ERA of 4.53 against the Rockies over the last year, but other matchup data favors the Rockies.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-14 Over17g · 20 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/7 | vsGuardians | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +110 |
| 7/1 | @ Astros | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -108 |
| 6/26 | vs Rockies | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -102 |
| 6/20 | @ Diamondbacks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -120 |
| 6/14 | vs Cardinals | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -103 |
| 6/9 | @ Tigers | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +100 |
| 6/3 | vs White Sox | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +110 |
| 5/29 | @ Pirates | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +125 |
| 5/23 | @ Red Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -148 |
| 5/5 | @ Nationals | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -128 |
| 4/29 | vs Mariners | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +101 |
| 4/24 | @ Rays | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +128 |
| 4/18 | vs Reds | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -162 |
| 4/18 | vsReds | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +110 |
| 4/12 | @ Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -171 |
| 4/12 | @Blue Jays | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +122 |
| 4/7 | vsTigers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +125 |
| 4/7 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -160 |
| 4/2 | @ Royals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -129 |
| 3/28 | @ Orioles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -155 |
Minnesota Twins Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Taj Bradley hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Taj Bradley hits the over on earned runs 2.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 5-10 with an average actual of 2.5.
Is Taj Bradley over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 17 games in 2026, betting $100 on Taj Bradley over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$640 (-37.65% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 2.5.
What is Taj Bradley's earned runs average this season?
Taj Bradley averages 2.5 earned runs per game in 2026 across 17 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge