Kansas City Royals80% K O 1.550% OUT O 17.550% ER O 2.5
Season
All Stephen Kolek propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
10g50%Over: 5-5
3vs O 2.5-139
vs
Rays7/2
Rays7/2✓✓✗✗✗✓✗✗✓✓
H: 50%(6)A: 50%(4)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(10%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Kolek's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Outs RecordedO 17.5 | Pitcher KsO 1.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 100%(3-0) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 75%(3-1) | 25%(1-3) | 50%(2-2) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | — | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Ian Seymour
7/2Rays hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Kolek.
★★★★★vs David Sandlin
6/26Right-handed starters with above-average groundball rates like Kolek have an ERA of 3.26 against the White Sox since last year.
★★★★★vs Dustin May
6/21Current Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .656 in their last 31 PA's against Kolek, but other matchup data favors the Cardinals.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-6 Over10g · 11 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/2 | vsRays | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -139 |
| 6/21 | vs Cardinals | O 2.5 | 9 | W | -160 |
| 6/14 | vs Astros | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -110 |
| 6/9 | vs Rangers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -135 |
| 6/3 | @ Reds | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -136 |
| 6/3 | @Reds | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +115 |
| 5/29 | @Rangers | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +105 |
| 5/23 | vs Mariners | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -113 |
| 5/17 | @Cardinals | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -112 |
| 5/12 | @ White Sox | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -150 |
| 5/5 | vs Guardians | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +112 |
Kansas City Royals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Stephen Kolek hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Stephen Kolek hits the over on earned runs 2.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 5-5 with an average actual of 2.7.
Is Stephen Kolek over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Stephen Kolek over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$82 (-8.2% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 2.7.
What is Stephen Kolek's earned runs average this season?
Stephen Kolek averages 2.7 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge